“I think stocks are topping out, commodities are topping out and the dollar is making a bottom,” says Robert Prechter, president of Elliott Wave International and author of “Conquer the Crash“.

According to Yahoo Finance - Tech Ticker, Prechter also makes the seemingly counterintuitive argument that the dollar will rally because there’s so much debt, rather than being doomed because of it. “If the economy turns sour again in 2010, as he predicts, Prechter says the dollar will benefit as more dollar-denominated IOUs get called by creditors seeking to shore up their own balance sheets, as was the case in 2008.

“A sustained rally in the dollar would have devastating consequences for stocks, emerging-market assets, high-yield debt and commodities. But gold might be the exception, because it represents ‘real money’ and more people are questioning the global paper money system, Prechter says.”

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• Visa (NYSE:V) reported earnings of 74 cents a share, 3 cents above Zacks estimates on revenues of $1.9 billion above estimates of $1.8 billion. The company expects 2010 revenue growth at the lower end of its 11-15% range, but 2011 growth above 20%

• International Paper (NYSE:IP) reported third quarter results of 37 cents a share, 14 cents above Zacks estimates, on inline revenues of $5.92 billion, off 13.1%. According to the company, at the end of its third quarter, "we began to see some modest improvements in demand in some segments of our paper and packaging businesses"

• Yahoo's (NASDAQ:YHOO) analyst meeting is due to be held at 11:00 ET

• Arcelor Mittal (NYSE:MT), the world's largest steel company, reported a $903 million third quarter profit, noting "We have seen the first signs of recovery in the third quarter...We should continue to see further gradual improvement through 2010, although the operating

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ValueClick Inc. (VCLK) is set to announce its third quarter results on Oct 27. We expect the company to report in-line third quarter results, if not higher than the guidance, due to the continued deterioration in the lead generation business.   Headquartered in Westlake Village, California, ValueClick is a diversified provider of Internet advertising solutions and online marketing services for online advertisers and website publishers.   ValueClick directly competes only with Marchex (MCHX) for placing web advertisements on affiliate networks. However, large Web portals such as Google (GOOG), Yahoo! (YHOO) and MSN continue to increase competition for ValueClick’s display ad business. Over the long-term, we are very positive on online advertising growth; however, current economic conditions are creating significant headwinds for ValueClick and others in the industry. We have a neutral rating on ValueClick.   Revenue Outlook   For the third quarter, the company expects ...

“The US is an empire in decline, according to Niall Ferguson, Harvard professor and author of The Ascent of Money,” reported Aaron Task of Yahoo Finance - Tech Ticker.

“People have predicted the end of America in the past and been wrong,” Ferguson concedes. “But let’s face it: If you’re trying to borrow $9 trillion to save your financial system …and already half your public debt held by foreigners, it’s not really the conduct of rising empires, is it? Excessive debt is usually a predictor of subsequent trouble.”

The report highlights Ferguson as saying America today is comparable to Britain circa 1900: a dominant empire underestimating the rise of a new power. In Britain’s case back then it was Germany; in America’s case today, it’s China.

“When China’s economy is equal in size to that of the U.S., which could come as early as 2027

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Weak global economic conditions and a downgrade of Well Fargo by prominent banking analyst Richard Bove spooked investors even as Morgan Stanley and Yahoo reported better-than-expected earnings.  The Dow Jones industrial average slipped below the 10,000 level yesterday as markets pulled back in the final hour of trading.

Bove of Rochdale Securities said earnings at Well Fargo (NYSE:WFC) were helped by mortgage-servicing fees rather than improving business trends, and trimmed his rating on the bank to “sell" from “hold."  However, Well Fargo and Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS), which reported its first quarterly profit in a year, were behind the market’s strength earlier in the session.  Bove also cited accelerating loan losses at the firm for the downgrade.  After Bove’s cut, FBR slashed its rating on the firm to "underperform," questioning Well Fargo's earnings quality.

The Dow Jones industrial average fell below the psychologically important 10,000 level, declining 92.12 points, or

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• Eli Lilly (NYSE:LLY) reported third quarter earnings of $1.20 a share, 18 cents ahead of Zacks estimates, on third quarter revenues of $5.56 billion.  The company said, "Our performance in the third quarter once again was driven by volume-based sales growth, improving gross margins and tight control of operating expenses, allowing us to deliver very attractive earnings growth"

• Yahoo (NASDAQ:YHOO) results beat Zacks estimates of 7 cents, coming in at 13 cents, as the company’s operations benefitted from cost-cutting measures; revenues held steady with last quarter's at $1.13 billion.  According to CFO Morse, "There's a change occurring in Yahoo, that will value that kind of work - that good old-fashioned, get-your-hands-dirty kind of find ways to take costs down or make sure that they don't go up as much as they otherwise would have - type work"

• SanDisk (NASDAQ:SNDK) results also beat projections on earnings of 75 cents, well

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MARKET COMMENT October 20, 2009 TAKING A BREAK It was a pretty strange day. Logic would argue for a big rally following earnings from Apple, Texas Instruments and Caterpillar; but no, instead investors focused on weaker than expected housing data and sold. It’s like I said at the end of last night’s commentary: “that’s why they play the game.” As this is written, the “better than expected” earnings are rolling in from the likes of Yahoo and SanDisk. Both stocks are bid higher in after hours trading. And volume is repeating the previous pattern of being heavier (although today’s volume was hardly “heavy”) on selling than buying. Breadth was negative. ...

With buyers back in action, US stocks rose to their fresh one-year highs and remained near their high points as optimism grew that an economic recovery, helped by solid third-quarter earnings reports and increased M&A activity, is on cards. 

The Dow Jones industrial average rose 96.28 points, or 0.96%, to close at 10,092.19.  The broader S&P 500 index jumped 10.23 points, or 0.94%, to 1,097.91 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq climbed 19.52 points, or 0.91%, to 2,176.32, its highest point since September 26, 2008.  Market breadth was positive, with advancing shares ahead of decliners by a margin of three-to-one.  Only five of the DJIA thirty declined in price.

After the close, iPhone maker Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) and Texas Instruments (NYSE:TXN) reported better-than-estimated numbers, fuelling hopes for the technology industry.  Last week Google Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOG) and Intel Corp’s (NASDAQ:INTC) numbers had come in above expectations.

Although there were some jitters last

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Companies featured in this edition of the newsletter: CHIP, ENZ, GERS, IWEB, OMCM, ONEZ, XSNX

Markets hit fresh highs for ‘09 yet again last week, as the first round of earnings helped to assuage investor concerns that operating results would underpin robust gains in equities this year. All told, the Dow gained 130 points to end the week at 9995 after briefly cracking the 10,000 mark, gaining 1.3% on the week and extending its gains to 13.9% on the year. The Nasdaq gained 0.8% on the week to close at 2156, up 36.8% on the year, while the S&P 500 and Russell 2000 gained 1.5% and 0.2% respectively, bringing their YTD totals to 20.4% and 23.4%.

Earnings stole the spotlight last week as things got off to a strong start early with JP Morgan handily beating expectations calling for $0.51 per share, reporting earnings of $0.82 per share. Citigroup

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Headquartered in Westlake Village, California, ValueClick Inc. (VCLK) is a diversified provider of Internet advertising solutions and online marketing services for online advertisers and website publishers.

ValueClick is one of the largest online display advertising network operators in the industry. We believe the rebound in the company’s Comparison Shopping and Search segment and positive display ad trends in the U.S. will drive growth in the near-term.   The company’s second quarter earnings were above expectations, demonstrating its focus on driving bottom-line growth. However revenue was down year over year in the most recent quarter, impacted negatively by weakness in the lead generation business, which pulled down the Media segment’s revenue significantly. The lead generation business continues to deteriorate and has been taken into account in the subdued outlook for the third quarter.   ValueClick directly competes only with Marchex (MCHX) for placing web advertisements on affiliate networks. Moreover large

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