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September 28, 2009 - So much disinformation gets pushed on talk radio, and I get the fact that agendas are being served, but what aggravates me isnbsp; how much of that ballyhoo is just bought into asnbsp; fact without the facts actually getting checked. So, just the facts: Re: California Water and the lsquo;pumps being turned offrsquo;: Kennbsp;Salazar of the Department of the Interior said: "They are asking the federal government to turn on water pumps that deliver water through the Bay Delta to Central Valley users, but the pumps are on," according to a Interior fact sheet updated on September 17. "The temporary pumping restrictions that were required under the Endangered Species Act ended on June 30th. They accounted for approximately one-quarter of 2009 water delivery shortages to farms and water users; the other three-quarters of this yearrsquo;s delivery shortage were the result of a lack of run-off." The folks are ...

Employment numbers, while their decline has moderated, still haven't recovered. This will likely take some time and will weigh heavily on the economy no matter how much other span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_0"indicators/span improve. Not many people seem to be covering this today, but the White House did release some interesting data yesterday (a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087amp;sid=aNaqecavD9ek"span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_1"bloomberg/span/a):br /br /blockquoteU.S. a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=USURTOT%3AIND" t_delay="50" t_width="110" t_bgcolor="#ddedd9" t_fontface="Verdana,sans-serif" t_fontcolor="#000000" t_static="true" t_above="true"unemployment/a will surge to 10 percent this year and the budget a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=FDEBTY%3AIND" t_delay="50" t_width="110" t_bgcolor="#ddedd9" t_fontface="Verdana,sans-serif" t_fontcolor="#000000" t_static="true" t_above="true"deficit/a will be $1.5 trillion next year, both higher than previous Obama administration forecastsbr /because of a recession that was deeper and longer than expected, White House budget chief a href="http://search.bloomberg.com/search?q=Peter+Orszagamp;site=wnewsamp;client=wnewsamp;proxystylesheet=wnewsamp;output=xml_no_dtdamp;ie=UTF-8amp;oe=UTF-8amp;filter=pamp;getfields=wnnisamp;sort=date:D:S:d1" t_delay="50" t_width="110" t_bgcolor="#ddedd9" t_fontface="Verdana,sans-serif" t_fontcolor="#000000" t_static="true" t_above="true"Peter span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_2"Orszag/span/a said.br /br /The Office of Management and Budget forecasts a weaker economic recovery than it saw in May as the gross domestic product ...

I want to preface this by saying I'm not as bullish on "frontier markets" as I am on "emerging markets". (I define frontier markets as Africa, the Middle East, Eastern Europe; I define emerging markets as the BRIC countries, and a few others). But while the frontier markets were marked down especially hard in 2008, I'm still bullish on their outlook. Many are resource rich, and with political stability, their economies will grow. Keep in mind also that I have a very long time horizon until retirement, and can afford to be patient with investments like these. I do own T Rowe Price's African and Middle East Fund (a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=tramx"TRAMX/a). A recent development for them (within the past year) is that they were allowed to buy shares in Saudi Arabia, which is one of the most attractive countries to invest in in that region. ...

In the weekly report that always seems to move prices 5% one way or the other, the natural gas supply report showed a higher than expected supply in natural gas. a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087amp;sid=aJ._taTKDeSE"Here's the story from Bloomberg/a:br /br /blockquoteNatural gas futures fell the most in two months after a government report showed a bigger-than- estimated increase in U.S. stockpiles. Supplies in storage gained 66 billion cubic feet in the week ended July 31 to 3.089 trillion cubic feet, the a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=DOENUSCH%3AIND" t_delay="50" t_width="110" t_bgcolor="#ddedd9" t_fontface="Verdana,sans-serif" t_fontcolor="#000000" t_static="true" t_above="true"Energy Department/a said. Analysts forecast a gain of 61 billion. The total was a record for late July, based on weekly department data going back to 1994.br /br /“We have a lot of supply and it really weighs on the market,” said a href="http://search.bloomberg.com/search?q=Phil+Flynnamp;site=wnewsamp;client=wnewsamp;proxystylesheet=wnewsamp;output=xml_no_dtdamp;ie=UTF-8amp;oe=UTF-8amp;filter=pamp;getfields=wnnisamp;sort=date:D:S:d1" t_delay="50" t_width="110" t_bgcolor="#ddedd9" t_fontface="Verdana,sans-serif" t_fontcolor="#000000" t_static="true" t_above="true"Phil Flynn/a, vicebr /president of research at PFG Best in Chicago. “The dollar ...

p style="text-align: left;"By Claus Vistesen: Copenhagenbr /emspan/span/em/pp style="text-align: center;"emspanbr //span/em/pp style="text-align: center;"emspanChina! China! burning bright /span/em/p p style="text-align: center;"emspanIn a bubble, Day and Night /span/em/p p style="text-align: center;"emspanIs it Bust or is it Boom/span/em/p p style="text-align: center;"emspanThat frames thy fearful asymmetry?* /span/em/p pbr //p pspanbr //span/ppspanCan you feel it? That calm and soothing feeling of low volatility and heaven bound risky assets driven by green shoots and second derivatives. Well, if you can't you are excused since neither can yours truly, or more precisely; he has a distinctly difficult time seeing from where people get the idea that we are headed for a broad based global recovery. However, beauty as always lies in the eye of the beholder and whichever way you look at it would be difficult to completely deny that the three key ingredients for a global recovery (and a resurgence of carry trade) in the form of ...

Found a couple of things I wanted to pass along. (Both from Bloomberg)br /br /br /1) a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20603037amp;sid=a.pZggcuVEp8"Chinese Stocks to Recover From Plunge, Fisher Says/a.br /br /blockquoteChinese a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=SHCOMP%3AIND" onmouseover="return escape( popwQuoteShort( this, 'SHCOMP:IND' ))"stocks/a will recover from their steepest drop since November and end the year higher as speculation that the government will limit bank loans is unfounded, billionaire investor a href="http://search.bloomberg.com/search?q=Kenneth+Fisheramp;site=wnewsamp;client=wnewsamp;proxystylesheet=wnewsamp;output=xml_no_dtdamp;ie=UTF-8amp;oe=UTF-8amp;filter=pamp;getfields=wnnisamp;sort=date:D:S:d1" onmouseover="return escape( popwSearchNews( this ))"Kenneth Fisher/a said. pThe nation’s economy is “gangbusters compared to the rest of the world, why would they try to kick that?” said Fisher, who has about $900 million invested in Chinese shares among the $28 billion he manages as chief executive officer of Fisher Investments Inc. in Woodside, California. “They have zero incentive” to curb lending, he said. /p/blockquotepbr //ppZero incentive? How about the incentive to avert a massive ...

Just saw this out a href="http://bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087amp;sid=arz6MqVbTVBs"from Bloomberg/a. I'm not heavy into gold, but keep an eye on it now that David Einhorn and John Paulson have been buying it. I owned the silver ETF for a short time, and may buy it again as it has come down a bit in recent weeks. Although ETF's are great, when you're buying in these volumes, they can defeat their purpose.br /br /span style="font-weight: bold;"-Greenlight Capital Inc., the $5 billion hedge-fund firm run by /spana style="font-weight: bold;" href="http://search.bloomberg.com/search?q=David+Einhornamp;site=wnewsamp;client=wnewsamp;proxystylesheet=wnewsamp;output=xml_no_dtdamp;ie=UTF-8amp;oe=UTF-8amp;filter=pamp;getfields=wnnisamp;sort=date:D:S:d1" onmouseover="return escape( popwSearchNews( this ))"David Einhorn/aspan style="font-weight: bold;", told investors it switched all of its holdings in a gold exchange-traded fund into bullion during the second quarter. /spanbr /br /span style="font-weight: bold;"-The New York-based fund said the cost of keeping gold in a storage facility is less than it paid in fees for the /spana style="font-weight: bold;" href="http://bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=GLD%3AUS" ...

a href="http://bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601213amp;sid=ag111_Nsp2jU"Interesting piece/a out at Bloomberg about CGM's Ken Heebner trailing the market again for a 2nd year in a row after a huge 80% return in 2007:br /br /ullia href="http://search.bloomberg.com/search?q=Kenneth+Heebneramp;site=wnewsamp;client=wnewsamp;proxystylesheet=wnewsamp;output=xml_no_dtdamp;ie=UTF-8amp;oe=UTF-8amp;filter=pamp;getfields=wnnisamp;sort=date:D:S:d1" onmouseover="return escape( popwSearchNews( this ))"Kenneth Heebner/a’s CGM Focus Fund is at the bottom of the heap for the second consecutive year after investments in insurers such as a href="http://bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=HIG%3AUS" onmouseover="return escape( popwQuoteShort( this, 'HIG:US' ))"Hartford Financial Group Inc/a. and retailer Wal-Mart Stores Inc. went awry./lilia href="http://bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=CGMFX%3AUS" onmouseover="return escape( popwQuoteShort( this, 'CGMFX:US' ))"CGM Focus/a, with $3.6 billion in assets, trailed 96 percent of similarly managed funds in 2008 and 99 percent this year through July 9, according to data compiled by a href="http://www.morningstar.com/" target="_blank" onmouseover="return escape( popwOpenWebSite( this ))"Morningstar Inc/a. Heebner, co-founder of Boston-based Capital Growth Management LP, had the only fund in the group with $100 million or more that ranked in the bottom 5 percent in both years, ...

This is a fairly well-known fact, but the fates of newly emerging economies like Dubai have been closely tied with the price of oil. Although the slowdown in the UAE has been well documented, the projection of higher oil prices does bode well for economies like these. Bloomberg picked up on this a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601109amp;sid=aiEExZkE_oS4amp;refer=home"theme in an article today/a:br /br /ulliCrude prices that have stabilized above $50 a barrel mean the Middle East’s oil-rich economies are likely to pull out of the global financial crisis sooner than the rest of the world. Saudi Arabia, the largest Arab economy and the world’s biggest oil exporter, is attracting renewed interest from investors including leveraged-buyout firm KKR amp; Co. Qatar and Abu Dhabi have returned to international capital markets. /liliStock markets are rallying across the region, led by Saudi Arabia, whose a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=SASEIDX%3AIND" t_above="true" t_static="true" t_fontcolor="#000000" t_fontface="Verdana,sans-serif" t_bgcolor="#ddedd9" t_width="110" t_delay="50"Tadawul All Share Index/a ended ...