You can add gold demand to the list of items being supported by China. China was the sole market to see positive growth in consumer demand for gold, rising 12 percent from a year ago the World Gold Council reports. Total gold demand in China reached 120 tonnes, nearly double the amount from just four years ago. Overall, gold demand was off 34 percent from 2008 but that is largely the result of exceptionally high demand increases during the darkest time of the financial crisis. On a year-to-date basis, gold demand is only down 6.3 percent. Chinarsquo;s improving economy has made consumers less price sensitive than those in India and the Middle East who have not fully adjusted to gold prices at current levels. Jewelry demand in India fell 42 percent on a year-over-year basis but Indians havenrsquo;t abandoned their strong cultural connection to gold. Exchange activity among consumersmdash;where old pieces are swapped for ...

While the Indian government buys its gold in the hundred of tons, a growing number of people around the world are buying by the ounce. For years Irsquo;ve been saying on TV and elsewhere that one-ounce coins like the American Eagle and the Canadian Maple Leaf make excellent gifts that the recipients will always remember and treasure. The same goes for 24-karat gold jewelry. The U.S. Mint seems to be thinking the same thing ndash; it plans to restart the sale of half-ounce, quarter-ounce and one-tenth-ounce gold coins on December 3, just in time for Christmas gift-giving. Last year, the Mint ran out. Coin sales have been impressive this year ndash; the Mint has sold more than 1.1 million of the one-ounce American Eagles and 140,000 American Buffalo coins, also one ounce. In Britain, the Royal Mint quadrupled its gold-coin output in the third quarter of 2009 to meet demand. The World Gold Council says ...

With prices testing their record high of $1,033 an ounce set last year gold has again become the hot topic of conversation.

But while many analysts are focusing on threat of inflation – which could be a byproduct of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s reluctance to withdraw monetary stimulus – investors should really be watching China.

“In the post-financial crisis global economy, China is quickly becoming the proverbial ‘800-pound gorilla’ – the player that has to be courted, but that can’t be tamed,” said Money Morning Contributing Editor Peter Krauth.

In a recent article for Money Morning, Krauth said that he believes the stage has been set for gold to make a lasting run above $1,000 an ounce, in no small part because of China.

For the past six years China has quietly been stocking up on gold, boosting its holdings of the yellow metal to 1,054 metric tons from 400

...

“Whether through exuberant hedgies or anxious private investors, gold just keeps pushing higher…”

So speculative betting on gold going higher now equals a record-busting 752-tonne position in Comex futures and options, yet this is not a bubble according to Michael Pento of Deltaga.

Let’s say otherwise. Let’s say that gold prices, surging by almost $100-per-ounce in barely a month, are very much in a bubble…blown up by near-zero interest rates worldwide and a sharply negative cost of borrowing after inflation. Were that the case, the question before potential and existing investors would be simple:

Is this “irrational exuberance” or a “permanently high plateau”?

Alan Greenspan applied the former to US price/earnings in Dec. 1996; Irving Fisher said the latter of US equities in Oct. 1929. Both were looking at what history would decide were clearly bubbles in hindsight. But Greenspan was three years and 105% early.

Fisher spoke less than 72 hours before

...

Wersquo;re heading into September this week, so itrsquo;s a good time to revisit the historic seasonality of gold and gold stocks. Over the past four decades, September has been the best time for gold in terms of its month-over-month price appreciation. You can see this on the chart belowmdash;in a typical year, the price of gold in September rises 2.5 percent above its August price. The gold price has risen in 16 of the 20 Septembers since 1989, by far the best success ratio of any month of the year. What accounts for this predictable trend? September kicks off several of the planetrsquo;s most potent gold-demand drivers: The post-monsoon wedding season in India and Diwali, one of the countryrsquo;s most important festivals; Restocking by jewelry makers in advance of the Christmas shopping season in the United States; The holy month of Ramadan in the Muslim ...

Wersquo;re heading into September this week, so itrsquo;s a good time to revisit the historic seasonality of gold and gold stocks. Over the past four decades, September has been the best time for gold in terms of its month-over-month price appreciation. You can see this on the chart belowmdash;in a typical year, the price of gold in September rises 2.5 percent above its August price. The gold price has risen in 16 of the 20 Septembers since 1989, by far the best success ratio of any month of the year. What accounts for this predictable trend? September kicks off several of the planetrsquo;s most potent gold-demand drivers: The post-monsoon wedding season in India and Diwali, one of the countryrsquo;s most important festivals; Restocking by jewelry makers in advance of the Christmas shopping season in the United States; The holy month of Ramadan in the Muslim ...

Gold pared gains on Friday as the euro retreated from highs against the dollar in the wake of second-quarter GDP data from the United States.

Spot gold was bid at $935.10 an ounce at 1325 GMT, against $933.30 an ounce late in New York on Thursday. It earlier hit a session high of $939.65. U.S. gold futures for August delivery on the COMEX division of the New York Mercantile Exchange edged up 50 cents to $935.40 an ounce.

The euro gave up ground against the U.S. currency after data released on Friday showed the U.S. economy contracted at a slower-than-expected pace in the second quarter, which analysts said backs views the recession is winding down.

“The U.S. GDP data was fairly good; it is still contracting but at a much slower pace, much better than the first quarter,” said Andrey Kryuchenkov, an analyst at VTB Capital.

“But the personal consumption data wasn’t so good,” he added.

...

Gold rose on Thursday as the dollar fell versus a basket of currencies, with rebounding stock markets and U.S. jobless figures showing a decline in continuing claims boosting appetite for assets seen as higher risk.

U.S. data showed the number of U.S. workers filing new claims for jobless benefits rose slightly more than expected last week, but a gauge of underlying labor trends fell for a fifth straight week.

Spot gold was bid at $933.50 an ounce at 1311 GMT, against $929.00 an ounce late in New York on Wednesday. U.S. gold futures for August delivery on the COMEX division of the New York Mercantile Exchange rose $6.20 to $933.40 an ounce.

“If this is welcomed by the equities market and triggers a fresh boost, that could benefit gold,” said CMC Markets strategist Ashraf Laidi.

The dollar was down 0.39 percent at 79.3 against a basket of currencies and was lower against the euro following the

...

As you review your investment portfolio to size up your current exposure to gold, keep one key point in mind: When it comes to profits, there’s no rush like a speculative gold rush.

And that’s just what we have at hand.

Inflationary fears are on the march the world over. And most of those worries are due to the trillions of dollars in stimulus spending the world’s central bankers have engineered. Those worries about the pressure from rising prices are destined to cause the next big asset bubble.

And the color of this particular bubble will be gold.

The irony here is that even though central bankers are the cause of this looming bubble in gold prices, a higher gold price isn’t their objective.

They apparently believe that freshly minted “fiat dollars” - trillions of them - are just what’s needed.

Let me explain.

The plan, you see, is quite ingenious - on its face,

...

“Words from the Wise” this week comes to you in a shortened format as I do not have access to my normal research resources while on the road in Europe (also see my post “Gone A.W.O.L. - to Slovenia and Switzerland“). Although very little commentary is provided, a full dose of excerpts from interesting news items and quotes from market commentators is included.

While investors’ hopes of an economic recovery might have got ahead of reality, the cartoonists continually reminded us of worrisome issues …

Source: Signe Wilkinson, Washington Post,  June 18, 2009.

The past week’s performance of the major asset classes is summarized by the chart below - a mixed bag so to speak.

Source: StockCharts.com

A summary of

...