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Overly Leveraged Private Equity Deals Add to Unemployment and Deepen Recession

Shah Gilani (December 11th, 2008) Writes:

The once booming business of private equity faces an uncertain future. What’s not uncertain, however, is that many private equity deals are imploding from the weight of leveraged debt and greed. Inevitable bankruptcies will result in higher unemployment and a deeper recession.

Private equity is an asset class consisting of equity securities in operating companies that are not publicly traded.  The name “private equity”is the rechristened, kinder and more gentile label for what used to be known as leveraged buyouts, or LBOs. But make no mistake about it, while leverage may not be part of the name any more, it remains a big part of every private equity deal.

LBO firms, or “franchises”, as Henry Kravis, co-founder of Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co. (KKR), likes to call his shop, acquire publicly traded operating companies. Then they streamline management and operations to increase profitability and hope to cash out

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Alliance Data Systems Corp.;, Alpha Media Group Inc.;, American Media Inc.;, Apollo Group Inc, Bank, bank lenders;, Blackstone Group LP;, Carlyle Group Ltd.;, Cerberus Capital Management LP, Chrysler LLC, contrarian profits, Delaware Court of Chancery;, Delphi Corp.;, Federal Deposit Insurance Company;, Federal Reserve System, Fortress Investment Group Llc, GateHouse Media Inc.;, General Motors Acceptance Corporation;, GMAC LLC;, Goldman Sachs Group Inc, Harbinger Capital Partners, Henry Kravis, Hexion Specialty Chemicals Inc., Huntsman Corp., John Snow, Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co, Lazard Ltd.;, Lillian Vernon;, Linens 'n Things, Market Commentary, Maxim;, Merrill Lynch, non-bank lenders;, piggy-bank, Randall Quarles;, Residential Capital LLC;, Sallie Mae, SLM Corp, sound banking;, Standard;, Steve Rattner's Quadrangle Capital Partners;, Texas Pacific Group;, Thomson Reuters, TPG Capital;, UBS Securities LLC, United Rentals Inc, Us Federal Reserve, Us Treasury, USD, Washington Mutual Inc

Billions in U.S. Bank Rescue Funds are Fueling Buyouts Worldwide – Instead of Lending at Home

Contrarian Profits (December 5th, 2008) Writes:

Bank of American Corp. (BAC), which is getting $15 billion from the U.S. government as part of the Treasury Department’s $250 billion “recapitalization” effort, is doubling its stake in state-owned China Construction Bank Corp., and will hold a 20% stake worth $24 billion in China’s second-largest lender when that deal is finalized.

PNC Financial Services Group Inc. (PNC), which will get $7.7 billion from Treasury’s Troubled Assets Relief Program (TARP), is using that cash infusion to help finance its $5.2 billion buyout of embattled National City Corp. (NCC).

And U.S. Bancorp (USB), which received a $6.6 billion capital infusion from that same rescue package, has acquired two California lenders – Downey Savings & Loan Association, F.A., a subsidiary of Downey Financial Corp. (DSL), and PFF Bank & Trust, a subsidiary of PFF Bancorp Inc. (OTC: PFFB). U.S. Bank

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acquired bank;, American Corp., appropriate law;, Bank, Banking, bbt, California, China, China Construction Bank Corp;, Citigroup Inc, contrarian profits, Department of the Treasury, distinct competitive advantage, Downey Financial Corp.;, Downey Savings & Loan Association;, Doyle L. Arnold, F.A.;, failed bank, Fdic, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp, Financial Services, foreign banks, Fueling Buyouts Worldwide;, Gilani;, Goldman Sachs Group Inc, Harris H. Simmons, Henry M. "Hank" Paulson Jr ., Investment Bank, John A. Allison IV, Jpmorgan Chase, Let's Make a Deal, Louis Basenese, Market Commentary, Morgan Stanley, National City Corp., North Carolina, Paulson, PFF Bancorp Inc., PFF Bank & Trust;, pnc financial services group inc, R. Shah Gilani, Salt Lake City, Suntrust Banks Inc, Take BB&T Corp.;, The Bear Stearns Cos., The Wall Street Journal, Trigger Event;, U.S. Bank Rescue Funds;, United Kingdom, United States, Us Bancorp, Us Bank, Us Government, Us Treasury, USD, Washington Mutual Inc, Winston-Salem, Zions Bancorporation

Why Fed Policies and Treasury Department Bailouts Will Lead to Inflation Rather Than Deflation

Contrarian Profits (December 3rd, 2008) Writes:

The U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) both fell in October. Those declines – combined with sharp downward spirals in worldwide stock and commodity prices – have caused many analysts, and even central bankers, to worry that we are on the brink of deflation.

Such concerns may be warranted in the short-term. But in the long run, deflation won’t be the challenge we face.

Thanks to an overly aggressive central bank, and more than $1.5 trillion in U.S. Treasury Department bailout programs – as well as other factors related to the ongoing global financial crisis – inflation will be the problem that ultimately bedevils us.

As long as oil and commodity prices drop, the PPI and CPI indices, which include oil and commodity prices, also will fall. Such a decline, however, does not constitute deflation; it is simply a one-time price adjustment. This is particularly true if most

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Why Fed Policies and Treasury Department Bailouts Will Lead to Inflation Rather Than Deflation

Martin Hutchinson (December 3rd, 2008) Writes:
The U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) both fell in October. Those declines – combined with sharp downward spirals in worldwide stock and commodity prices – have caused many analysts, and even central bankers, to worry that we are on the brink of deflation. Such concerns may be warranted in the short-term. But in the long run, deflation won’t be the challenge we face. Thanks to an overly aggressive central bank, and more than $1.5 trillion in U.S. Treasury Department bailout programs – as well as other factors related to the ongoing global financial crisis – inflation will be the problem that ultimately bedevils us. As long as oil and commodity prices drop, the PPI and CPI indices, which include oil and commodity prices, also will fall. Such a decline, however, does not constitute deflation; it is simply a one-time ...

How To Find Out If Your Bank Is Next In Line To Fail

Contrarian Profits (November 14th, 2008) Writes:

18 banks have gone under so far this year. But how do you know if yours will be next? Keith Fitz-Gerald says the IRA Bank Industry Stress Index can be used like a financial X-ray to see what’s really going on in the banking sector.

This from Money Morning:

When federal banking regulators last week seized the Houston-based Franklin Bank SSB (FBTX), it became the 18th bank failure this year amid the ongoing credit crisis. With total assets of $5.1 billion and total deposits of $3.7 billion, Franklin wasn’t the largest bank failure this year – that honor belongs to IndyMac Bancorp Inc. (OTC: IDMCQ), which had more than $30 billion in estimated assets when it was seized by U.S. banking regulators in July. At the time, IndyMac was also the third-largest bank failure in U.S. history, reaching all the way back to 1934, U.S.

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How To Find Out If Your Bank Is Next In Line To Fail

Contrarian Profits (November 14th, 2008) Writes:

18 banks have gone under so far this year. But how do you know if yours will be next? Keith Fitz-Gerald says the IRA Bank Industry Stress Index can be used like a financial X-ray to see what’s really going on in the banking sector.

This from Money Morning:

When federal banking regulators last week seized the Houston-based Franklin Bank SSB (FBTX), it became the 18th bank failure this year amid the ongoing credit crisis. With total assets of $5.1 billion and total deposits of $3.7 billion, Franklin wasn’t the largest bank failure this year – that honor belongs to IndyMac Bancorp Inc. (OTC: IDMCQ), which had more than $30 billion in estimated assets when it was seized by U.S. banking regulators in July. At the time, IndyMac was also the third-largest bank failure in U.S. history, reaching all the way back to 1934, U.S.

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By Ignoring the Treasury Secretary’s Advice, Did WaMu Make the Worst Possible Deal for Itself?

Money Morning (November 10th, 2008) Writes:
.S. Treasury Secretary Henry M. “Hank” Paulson Jr. warned former Washington Mutual Inc. (OTC: WAMUQ) Chief Executive Officer Kerry Killinger to sell the thrift to JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) two months before WaMu failed, both The Seattle Times and Bloomberg News reported. According to the published reports, Paulson telephoned Killinger and told him that “you should have sold to JPMorgan Chase in the spring, and you should do so now. Things could get a lot more difficult for you.” The Times report quoted a WaMu executive who was familiar with the incident, but didn’t disclose the source’s name. Sign up below… and we’ll send you a new investment report for free: “Credit ...

More Financial Weapons of Mass Destruction: Credit Default Swaps Lurk Waiting For a Kill

Alex Stanczyk (November 7th, 2008) Writes:

Alex’s Notes: Personally, I find it comical that anyone even goes to the DTCC for data anymore. I mean seriously, we are looking to the company responsible to ensure the proper clearing of shares of stock on the US market, who clearly is in cahoots with major brokerages allowing massive naked shorting and letting them get away with it free and clear?

Ya..that makes alot of sense. Fox guarding the henhouse.

The current corruption in the financial centers of the USA is truly despicable.

You want to know how big the credit derivative problem really is? Go research what the Bank of International Settlements (BIS) in Basel Switzerland has to say about it .

Try over $500 TRILLION in notional value.

This beast who lurks in the shadows of the financial world is the boogey man under the bed that no one wants to acknowledge or talk about. But this boogey man is real. And

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Abigail Moses, Ambac Financial Group Inc, American International Group Inc., Andrea Cicione, Armonk;, Atlanta, Austin, Bank Failures, Bank of International Settlements, bloomberg, BNP Paribas SA, bond insurance;, California, Canada, Clearing Corp.;, Credit Derivatives Research LLC;, data warehouse;, Depository Trust;, DTCC;, electronic systems, Federal Reserve Bank, Federal Reserve System, Gold Markets, Henry Hu;, Iceland, Inc, Insurance, International Swaps and Derivatives Association, Investors Service, Jpmorgan Chase, Judy Inosanto;, Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc, London, Mbia Inc, Mitchell Sonkin;, Moody's Investors Service, New York, new york fed, Seattle, Shannon D. Harrington;, Texas, Tim Backshall;, Trade Information Warehouse;, United States, University of Texas, USD, Walnut Creek;, Wamu, Washington Mutual Inc, Web site Nov.;

$250bn Bank Rescue Will Encourage Acquisitions, Not Lending

Contrarian Profits (October 30th, 2008) Writes:

The Treasury’s plan to inject $250 billion in capital directly into US banks is underway. But William Patalon III says some of these taxpayer funds will be used by big banks to acquire junior competitors. This means the increase in lending that the plan is supposed to spark will be modest at best. And less competition in the banking sector could mean a rise in fees going forward.

This from Money Morning:

While the U.S. government’s plan to invest $250 billion into U.S. financial institutions has been billed as a strategy that will bolster the health of the banking system and also jump-start lending, the recapitalization plan is likely to have a secondary effect – one that whipsawed U.S. taxpayers likely won’t be very happy to learn about.

Those billions are a virtual lock to set off a merger tsunami in which the biggest banks use taxpayer money to get bigger

...
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Allied Irish Banks Plc, Banco Santander SA, Bank, bank executives, Bank Rescue Funds, bank-recapitalization program, BB&T Corp., Ben S, Ben S. Bernanke, Boenning & Scattergood Inc, central bank policymakers, Cincinnati, Co. LP, Columbus, contrarian profits, Doug Landy, Doyle L. Arnold, Fdic, Federal Reserve System, Fifth Third Bancorp, Financial Services, Goldman Sachs Group Inc, Gordon Brown, Harris H. Simmons, Henry M. "Hank" Paulson, Henry R. Kravis, Huntington Bancshares Inc, Investment Bank, Joe DiMaggio, John A. Allison IV, JPMorgan Chase & Co., Kenny Keltner, KKR & Co. LP, law, Let's Make a Deal, M&T Bank Corp., Market Commentary, Matthew Schultheis, Morgan Stanley, National City Corp., North Carolina, Ohio, Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, Plain Dealer, pnc financial services group inc, Richard K. Davis, Salt Lake City, Sovereign Bancorp Inc., Spain, Stephen A. Schwarzman, Suntrust Banks Inc, The Associated Press, The Bear Stearns Cos., The Blackstone Group, The Wall Street Journal, U.S. Treasury Department, United Kingdom, United States, Us Bancorp, Us Federal Reserve, Us Government, Us Treasury, USD, Washington Mutual Inc, William Patalon III, Winston-Salem, Zions Bancorporation

Billions in Bank Rescue Funds are Fueling Buyout Deals, and not the Increase in Loans That Would Help Ease the Financial Crisis

William Patalon (October 30th, 2008) Writes:
While the U.S. government’s plan to invest $250 billion into U.S. financial institutions has been billed as a strategy that will bolster the health of the banking system and also jump-start lending, the recapitalization plan is likely to have a secondary effect – one that whipsawed U.S. taxpayers likely won’t be very happy to learn about. Those billions are a virtual lock to set off a merger tsunami in which the biggest banks use taxpayer money to get bigger – admittedly removing the smaller, weaker banks from the market, but ultimately also reducing the competition that benefited consumers and kept the explosion in banking fees from being far worse than it already is. One last point: Experts say that takeovers financed by the government infusions are likely to have less of a beneficial impact on the economy than an actual increase in ...
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Allied Irish Banks Plc, Banco Santander SA, Bank, bank executives, Bank Rescue Funds, bank-recapitalization program, BB&T Corp., Ben S, Ben S. Bernanke, Boenning & Scattergood Inc, central bank policymakers, Cincinnati, Co. LP, Columbus, distinct competitive advantage, Doug Landy, Doyle L. Arnold, Fdic, Federal Reserve System, Fifth Third Bancorp, Financial Services, Goldman Sachs Group Inc, Gordon Brown, Harris H. Simmons, Henry M. "Hank" Paulson, Henry R. Kravis, Huntington Bancshares Inc, Investment Bank, Joe DiMaggio, John A. Allison IV, JPMorgan Chase & Co., Kenny Keltner, KKR & Co. LP, law, Let's Make a Deal, M&T Bank Corp., Market Commentary, Matthew Schultheis, Morgan Stanley, National City Corp., North Carolina, Ohio, Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, Plain Dealer, pnc financial services group inc, Richard K. Davis, Salt Lake City, Shah Gilani, Sovereign Bancorp Inc., Spain, Stephen A. Schwarzman, Suntrust Banks Inc, The Associated Press, The Bear Stearns Cos., The Blackstone Group, The Wall Street Journal, U.S. Treasury Department, United Kingdom, United States, Us Bancorp, Us Federal Reserve, Us Government, Us Treasury, USD, Washington Mutual Inc, Winston-Salem, Zions Bancorporation

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