Chicago, IL – November 23, 2009 – Zacks.com announces the list of stocks featured in the Analyst Blog. Every day the Zacks Equity Research analysts discuss the latest news and events impacting stocks and the financial markets. Stocks recently featured in the blog include: Dell Inc. (DELL), Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A), Burlington Northern Santa Fe Corporation (BNI), JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and Wells Fargo (WFC).

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Here are highlights from Friday’s Analyst Blog:

Dell Falls Short of Expectations

Dell Inc. (DELL) reported third quarter 2010 EPS of 23 cents, below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 27 cents.

Revenue for the quarter was $10.75 billion, down 17.0% from $12.97 billion reported in the year-ago quarter and up 1.0% from $10.62 billion reported in the previous quarter. The company’s third quarter reported revenue was adversely affected by the timing of the Windows 7 launch and due to backlog buildup in the company’s SMB and consumer businesses.

Large Enterprise posted revenue of $3.4 billion, an increase of 4.0% sequentially and decline of 23.0% year-over-year. In the last quarter, the company expended its networking partnership with Brocade and Juniper, and introduced products like PowerEdge 11g servers and expanded PowerVault storage systems.

Public revenue for the quarter was $3.7 billion, down 3.0% on sequentially and 7.0% from the year-ago quarter. Shipments were down 12.0% on a sequential basis, due to seasonality in the U.S. public sector business.

Small and Medium Business revenue for the quarter was $3.0 billion, up 5.0% sequentially and down 19.0% from the year-ago quarter. Shipments increased 9% sequentially. The segment benefited from steadily improving demand in both the Americas and the Asia-Pacific region, as well as better performance in EMEA during the second half.

Revenues for Consumer Business were down 10.0% year-over-year, but flat sequentially to $2.8 billion with shipments growing 4% sequentially.

Dell’s total sales in China, India, Brazil and Russia increased 18.0% sequentially and 5.0% over last year. China, the second-largest revenue generating country for Dell, reported revenue increase of 20.0% sequentially and 8.0% from the year-ago quarter.

Buffett Borrows for Rail Acquisition

Warren Buffett, the CEO and Chairman of Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) announced on Thursday to borrow $8 billion of loan for the acquisition of Burlington Northern Santa Fe Corporation (BNI). Berkshire Hathaway, which already owns a 22% stake in Burlington Northern, announced earlier this month it would acquire the rest for a total value of $34 billion. Buffet agreed to pay $100 a share in cash and stock to buy the rest of the company.

The $8 billion loan that will be provided by JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and Wells Fargo (WFC) is intended to be paid back in three years’ time.

For Berkshire, the acquisition of Burlington Northern, or BNSF, the second largest railroad, will be its biggest to date. With it, Berkshire is adding a railroad transportation business with its already diverse range of businesses including retail, manufacturing and insurance, as well as several regional electric and gas utilities.

The acquisition is expected to close in early 2010 and is subject to Burlington Northern’s shareholder approval. Post acquisition, Burlington Northern will operate from its headquarters as a wholly owned subsidiary of Berkshire Hathaway.

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It is rare to see a stock split for either the Berkshire "A" shares or the "B" shares. Over the years, Warren Buffett has resisted calls to split the stock.

The "A" shares have long been out of reach for nearly everyone except professional investors. In the past 52 weeks, those shares traded in the range of $70,000 to $119,000 per share.

The "A" shares are obviously not very attainable for most investors.

Many investors turned to the "B" shares but even those "cheaper" shares traded in the range of $2241 to $3969 in the last 52 weeks. Again, for many investors, owning a share of Berkshire was likely out of reach.

Berkshire's board voted for the 50 to 1 split in the deal to acquire all of Burlington Northern with 60% cash and 40% stock. It would transform Berkshire's "B" shares into a price that most investors can afford.

The stock split, however, is still subject to shareholder approval. If split today, the B shares would trade around $66 per share.

[In full disclosure, the writer of this article owns shares of Berkshire "B" shares.]

And then, poof!

Before value investors could even blink, stocks moved higher and, so far, haven't looked back. Over the next 8 months, the valuation on the S&P 500 nearly doubled.

Make no mistake; the rally has been great. Every investor has benefitted. For value investors, current market conditions are both the best of times and the worst of times.

Who doesn't feel a tinge of jealousy as growth investors cash in on multi-decade highs for stocks like Amazon.com? If you're like me, sometimes it's tempting to just throw in the towel and follow the crowd into the growth stocks, even if they are trading with P/Es at 50 or higher.

But never fear. Value investing isn’t dead. Value stocks are still out there, even amidst this once-in-a-generation stock rally. It’s just a matter of digging deeper than usual to find them.

Look Beyond the P/E Ratio

Most value investors know to look at the price-to-earnings ratio (or P/E) to find stocks that are undervalued. To find true value remember that the lower the P/E, the more undervalued the stock.

Many value investors use a P/E under 20, which is a great starting point in normal markets. However, stocks are more expensive now.

So while you should start with the P/E ratio, don’t end there. You’re going to need some more tools in your arsenal to find the true value stocks.

3 Tools to Use to Dig for Value Stocks

1. Use Price-to-Sales
   Many value investors neglect the sales component, which is a mistake since sales, unlike earnings, cannot easily be manipulated. There are no "charges" or "exclusions" or other accounting hocus pocus with sales. They usually are what they are, which makes it easy to compare quarter over quarter and year over year. The lower the P/S ratio, the better. Look for a P/S ratio less than 1.
2. Growth is still your friend
   Growth? For value investors? Value investors can use the PEG ratio, which is the price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) divided by earnings growth. Once again, the more undervalued the stock, the lower the PEG ratio. Look for PEG ratios under 1 for undervalued stocks.
3. Look at the Industry Rank
   This is a little known factor that can give you powerful results when used with a value metric. Zacks ranks industries according to improving earnings prospects, so value investors can look at the Industry Rank lists to get an idea of which industries have rising earnings estimates. The Zacks Industry Rank is the average of the Zacks Rank for all companies in the industry. Just like with the Zacks Rank, the lower it is, the better. So a Zacks Industry Rank of 1.00 is better than one of 4.35.

Value Is King in Bull and Bear Markets

Numerous studies of bull and bear markets throughout the world come to one conclusion: it may not be glamorous, but value investing outperforms growth investing over the long term.

Is it any surprise that one of the greatest investors of all time, Warren Buffett, is a value investor?

Now is the time to stay the course. Don’t let the expensive stocks like Amazon blind you with their glamour. Value is still king.

Digging for Value Every Day

I know how frustrating it is to find value stocks as the markets continue to climb. I seek out value stocks every trading day with the Zacks Value Trader trading service, and some days there just isn't much to get excited about. But all it takes is finding a hidden gem here and there for a value investor to really profit.

Just a few days ago, for instance, I added an American generic drug company to the Value Trader portfolio. It has great "digging deep" value fundamentals, such as a price-to-sales ratio of just 0.9 and a low PEG ratio of 0.19. On top of that, analysts believe it has great earnings growth prospects of 52.26% over the next five years. Amazon, by comparison, is expected to grow at just 32.56% over the same time period. Take that Amazon!

The Value Trader has dug deep to find many other great stocks in 2009 and is up +38.5% over the first 9 months of the year. That is nearly double the S&P 500 over the same time period, proving that value hasn’t gone away; you just have to know where to look.

I invite you to see what stocks are in the portfolio and learn the secrets behind the Value Trader's success. Be sure to check it out before the special offer ends on Saturday October 31.

About Zacks Value Trader

All the Best,

Tracey Ryniec

Tracey, as Zacks Value Stock Strategist, helps Zacks.com customers find the best value stocks through her daily commentary. She is also the Editor in charge of the market-beating Zacks Value Trader.

A quick search of the ETF database will show you something quite telling—71 ETFs are dedicated to a slice of the market self-defined as either “growth” or “value.” That’s nearly 10 percent of the U.S. ETF market.

But honestly, why?

First, there’s a definitional issue. Russell (just to pick one index provider) defines their growth and value universe based on two characteristics: price-to-book and “projected growth” based on IBES (Institutional Brokers’ Estimate System) consensus estimates. This very distinction makes the indexer in me cringe. By taking the market and slicing it into buckets, and then picking one, investors are fundamentally picking stocks, and I still believe that rarely makes sense.

Let’s take a look under the hood at one family of growth and value: the iShares Russell 3000 series.

This brutal chart looks at the Russell 3000 ETF, IWW, and compares it with the growth and value ETFs, IWZ and IWW, respectively. It’s a pretty compelling story for value investors, and indeed, it’s been a bad 10 years to be chasing earnings estimates—the value investor has made over 30 percent. The growth investor has lost nearly 40 percent, and was down over 50 percent earlier this year. Self-proclaimed value investors will undoubtedly say “duh” at this and note that the whole point of investing is to buy cheap and sell expensive, and that’s just what a value index is designed to do—select the cheaper stocks from a pool.

The problem, of course, is that Warren Buffett doesn’t run the index. The determination of what goes into which buckets is only made once a year in June (in the case of Russell), and stocks ping-pong between the two buckets based on where they happened to be trading at reconstitution. The top performers list for both the growth and value indexes over the past calendar year includes AIG, Citi and Martha Stewart. The decision to sell in one index and buy in the other was simply formulaic, and the timing entirely planned.

In short, it replaces the fallacy of picking the winner based on research, or a hunch, with picking the winner based on the calendar.

Further, there’s increasing evidence that the distinction between growth and value is far less relevant than it has been in years past. Consider the same chart over the last year:

In this time period, the growth investor has ruled the day, losing just about 6 percent vs. the value investor’s 14.25 percent decline.

But perhaps more important for investors focused on actual portfolio construction instead of just stock picking, there’s evidence that the growth and value buckets could just as well be a random distribution.

This chart plots the correlation between IWZ and IWW since inception, looking at rolling 30-day periods and daily returns.

Back during the end of the dot-com run-up and through the dismal 2001 period, there was a real difference between growth and value. It was possible to make the case that the two buckets had distinct performance characteristics: that splitting the universe based on IBES rank and price-to-book ratios created distinct portfolios where one zigged while the other zagged. Alas, what I see when I look at this chart is that the two buckets are now essentially identical, with correlations predictably in the 90s since the middle of the decade.

ETFs give us access to virtually every asset class in the world, from fine-grained equity sectors and themes to international bonds and currency. That the ETF industry has focused so much energy on the dinosaurs of growth and value seems unfortunate.

Speaking at a Brookings Institution conference, Bernanke, however, added a note of caution, saying, “Even though from a technical perspective the recession is very likely over at this point, it’s still going to feel like a very weak economy for some time."

This morning’s stock futures indicate Wall Street would open with gains, helped by increased M&A activity, optimistic guidance from companies, and words from Warren Buffett that Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK.A) is "buying stocks right as we speak."

Yesterday, the 30-stock Dow Jones industrial average gained 57 points, or 0.6%, to 9,683.41, its highest point since October 6.  The broad Standard & Poor’s 500 index edged up 0.3% to close at 1,052.63, its highest level in almost a year.  The tech-heavy NASDAQ advanced 10.86 points, or 0.52%, to 2,102.64.  NYSE volume picked up to 1.5 billion shares yesterday from 1.2 billion on Monday, with advancing shares outpacing decliners by a seven-to-three margin.  Treasury prices declined, with the 10-year off 6/32 as its yield rose to 3.447% on increased risk demands.

Best Buy (NYSE:BBY), the country’s largest home-electronic chain, and Kroger (NYSE:KR) painted a mixed picture.  Best Buy reported a 22% plunge in quarterly earnings and its shares shed more than 5% to $38.32.  However, the company lifted its FY10 earnings outlook to a range of $2.70 to $3.00 per share and said it sees full-year revenue of $48 billion to $49 billion.  Kroger shares dived 7.5% after the company reported weaker-than-expected earnings and cut its outlook.  Health care shares declined 0.8% as President Obama reiterated his commitment to medical care reform, sending shares of Coventry Health Care (NYSE:CVH) down 7.1%, and United Health Group (NYSE:UNH) down 3.7%.   

Eight of the ten S&P500 industry groups moved higher on the day.  Basic material (+2.5%) and industrial (+1.1%) sector shares led the advance on improved recovery prospects and higher commodity prices.  The gains in the Dow Average were led by materials and industrial companies like Alcoa (NYSE:AA) and Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT) as the index gained for the seventh time in eight days.  Alcoa (NYSE:AA) shares jumped 8.1% and were the leading gainers on the DJIA; AK Steel (NYSE:AKS) shares advanced 5.7%, and US Steel (NYSE:X) shares gained 4.8%.  Among industrial recovery stocks, Textron (NYSE:TXT) shares gained 6.6%, Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT) rose 6%, Deere (NYSE:DE) advanced 4.4% and General Electric (NYSE:GE) added 4.2%. Oil and gas shares rose 0.9% as weekly crude inventory numbers are expected to show a 2.4 million decline last week.

However, the dollar failed to capitalize on the positive US economic news and sank to fresh yearly lows against a basket of currencies, due to its role as a funding currency given the fall in the benchmark US 3-month Libor rate to its lowest on record and the Fed's well-publicized promise to keep interest rates low.

The benchmark S&P 500 index closed up 1% at 989.67. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.9% to 9,217.94 and the Nasdaq Composite index gained 1.3% to 1,955.92.  About four stocks advanced for every one that declined.  Volume was light with only 991 million shares exchanging hands.  With investors back among equities, Treasuries declined, as the 2-year fell 1/32 and its yield rose to 1.028%, and the price of the 10-year eased 12/32 in price and its yield increased to 3.517%. The measure of market volatility, the CBOE Vix, reversed Tuesday's near-15% jump, retreating 6.1% to 26.18.

With no clear sings of a near-future rebound, and a shaky U.S. consumer continuing to hold dollars, investors appear nervous about the next leg of a rally that many feel has gone too far too fast.  This morning’s U.S. stock futures indicate shares are set to fall at the opening.  Technology stocks are expected to remain under pressure following last night’s cautious projections from Hewlett-Packard (NYSE:HPQ).    

On Tuesday, financial, industrial and technology stocks showed strength.  Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) rose 2.8%.  Among financial issues, Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) added 2.1%, while JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:JPM) rose 2.4%.  Key stocks yesterday fueled stock market gains.  The retail sector got a boost as Target (NYSE:TGT) reported better-than-expected results, helped by cost-cutting measures and lower inventories.  Home Depot (NYSE:HD) also beat expectations due to its lowered costs, and also raised its full-year guidance.

A number of shares also benefited from analyst upgrades, including American Express (NYSE:AXP), which was the leading gainer on the DJIA with its 4.3% advance.  The firm received a KBW upgrade to "outperform", citing "improving trends in credit."  Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) raised its rating of HSBC (NYSE:HBC) to "buy," noting its loan loss provisions may decline.  Broadpoint AmTech raised Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) to "buy."

Gains were broad-based with nine of the ten S&P500 industry sectors recording gains.  Leading the gainers were basic materials (+1.8%), financials (+1.7%), industrials and technology shares (+1.5%) and oil and gas (+1.0%).  Only health care, a defensive sector, eased with a modest, 0.1% drop.

Meanwhile, Warren Buffett warned in a New York Times article that "Enormous dosages of monetary medicine continue to be administered and, before long, we will need to deal with their side effects."

Among the corporate results, Deere (NYSE:DE) and BJ Wholesale (NYSE:BJ) have reported their earnings. Limited (NYSE:LTD), Network Appliance (NASDAQ:NTAP), and Petsmart (NASDAQ:PETM) are also scheduled to report.

Traders were in the pause mode yesterday but indexes managed to end the day in positive territory.  The Dow Jones industrial average edged up 4.76 points, or 0.06%, to 8,183.17 points.  The S&P 500 index added 3.12 points, or 0.35%, at 882.68 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq was up 5.38 points, or 0.31%, at 1,752.55.  Trading was light with only 1.01 billion shares on the NYSE exchanging hands and advancing shares ahead of declining issues by a three-to-two margin.  Treasuries declined with the 2-year off 1/32 and the 10-year down 28/32 despite signs of strength in a 30-year debt auction.

Consumer spending remains a cause for concern as evidenced by June same-store sales report.  For the month, comparable sales declined 5.1% versus the 4.8% expected.  However, Wal-Mart (NYSE:WMT) numbers, which previously represented a 50% monthly weighting, were absent this time.  Costco (NASDAQ:COST) reported sales declined 6% while Target's (NYSE:TGT) comparable sales were off 6.2%; however, Target (NYSE:TGT) said second quarter earnings will equal or exceed estimates of 64 cents.  Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE:ANF) said same-store sales fell 32% versus a year ago.

Among S&P 500 industry groups, eight moved higher.  Financials rose 1.1% after Bank of America/Merrill (NYSE:BAC) noted strength in Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) shares, adding the firm may post record trading revenues.  Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) rose 3.9%.  Healthcare shares dropped 0.9%, with Merck (NYSE:MRK) declining 3.7% and leading the decliners on the DJIA.  Merck (NYSE:MRK) shares suffered from news that a clinical trial of its cholesterol drug Zetia had been halted. Natixis Bleichroeder downgraded the shares to "buy."

Yesterday crude prices hovered above the $60 level.  Chevron (NYSE:CVX), which reports its quarterly results on July 31, warned of a second quarter profits dampened by sharply lower US refining margins and currency losses from the weak dollar.

Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE:GS), which passed the government's stress test, said it plans to soon repay the $10 billion of bailout money. Nevertheless, banking analyst Meredith Whitney warned, "the recessionary environment is very difficult," due to problems looming with credit cards and mortgage originations.

Oil and gas shares rose 8.7% and basic materials were up 6.5% as investors began to bet on the early stages of improved spending by businesses.

Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE:XOM) and Schlumberger Ltd. (NYSE:SLB) led energy companies in the S&P 500 to an 8.5% advance. Exxon added 4.1% to $70.80 and Schlumberger gained 12% to $56.53.  El Paso Corp. (NYSE:EP) was the leading gainer in the group, rising 27% to $9.03, after the company reported better-than-expected profit on expanding lines and hedging correctly on energy prices.  General Motor (NYSE:GM) led the declining issues on the DJIA after reporting a huge first-quarter loss that pushed it closer towards bankruptcy.  McDonald's Corp. (NYSE:MCD) reported another month of impressive comparable sales with April recording a 6.9% jump in same-store sales.

A U.S. Labor Department report Friday said non-farm payrolls declined 539,000 in April, beating economists' projections for a decline of 600,000. Figures for March were revised to show a steeper decline of 699,000.  Unemployment rate rose to 8.9% from 8.5% in March.    

Fed Chairman Bernanke speaks tonight on the stress tests. On Wednesday, April retail sales are due for release, and are expected to have declined 0.1% following March's 0.2% drop. Although economists doubt the ongoing strength of the consumer, Friedman Billings, Ramsey on Friday lifted the price targets on several retailers including Abercrombie and Fitch (NYSE:ANF), Ann Taylor (NYSE:ANN), and Pacific Sunwear (NASDAQ:PSUN). On Friday consumer price numbers are expected to show annual headline numbers at their lowest since January 1955, off 0.6%, with core CPI up 1.8% on an annualized basis. Among key companies slated to release earnings are JC Penney (NYSE:JCP), Macy's (NYSE:M), Nordstrom (NYSE:JWN) and Wal-Mart (NYSE:WMT).

Will Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) devotees hear words of hope and promise from Warren Buffett at the annual meeting in Omaha, Nebraska this weekend? It seems unlikely. Yet, America's most respected investor is expected to draw an estimated 35,000 investors to the Midwest city for the event.

Shares in Berkshire Hathaway have slumped 40% to their lowest level since Buffett assumed office and the net worth of the company shrank by 9.6% in 2008. As the world sank deeper into the worst downturn since the Great Depression, Buffett had warned investors that the economy would be in "shambles throughout 2009."

"Most of the Berkshire businesses, whose results are significantly affected by the economy, earned below their potential last year and that will be true in 2009 as well," Buffett wrote in his annual letter to shareholders on Feb. 28.

Buffett has admitted to making some investment blunders as of late. Of the more notable ones would be the move to buy into ConocoPhillips (COP) at a time when gas prices were near their peak, just before energy prices slumped. Such moves not only cost his business empire several billion dollars, but also stripped Berkshire of its triple-A credit rating.

However, Berkshire still has strong credit and plenty of cash. Moreover, with two-thirds of its businesses in utilities and insurance, Berkshire is expected to be more resilient in the recession. The 78 year-old top boss of the group also played a key role in steadying the economy by injecting $8 billion into Goldman Sachs (GS) and General Electric (GE), calling them "the symbol of American business to the world."

While everyone has been wondering about who will eventually succeed Buffett, as long as the Oracle of Omaha is still around investors will value his insight more than ever during these troubled times.

Zacks Investment Research
]]> http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/buffett-calling-troubled-investors-zacks-tale-of-the-tape/feed/ 0 http://www.straightstocks.com/market-commentary/while-the-rest-of-the-world-is-stuck-in-reverse-the-china-auto-market-zooms-ahead/ http://www.straightstocks.com/market-commentary/while-the-rest-of-the-world-is-stuck-in-reverse-the-china-auto-market-zooms-ahead/#comments Fri, 01 May 2009 14:18:55 +0000 Contrarian Profits http://www.contrarianprofits.com/?p=16094 http://www.straightstocks.com/market-commentary/while-the-rest-of-the-world-is-stuck-in-reverse-the-china-auto-market-zooms-ahead/feed/ 0 http://www.straightstocks.com/market-commentary/an-inside-look-at-one-of-the-biggest-scams-in-america/ http://www.straightstocks.com/market-commentary/an-inside-look-at-one-of-the-biggest-scams-in-america/#comments Sat, 25 Apr 2009 13:00:00 +0000 Daily Wealth tag:feeds.feedburner.com://f4ed04850464fe815dc107742cdd7cd5 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http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/top-investors-with-investment-outlook/ http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/top-investors-with-investment-outlook/#comments Sun, 19 Apr 2009 08:53:00 +0000 Vlada Kynsky tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6675237082283386719.post-3541749938080995891 http://www.straightstocks.com/stock-watch/top-investors-with-investment-outlook/feed/ 0 http://www.straightstocks.com/investing-in-china/how-to-bank-real-profits-by-bucking-wall-street%e2%80%99s-latest-fashion-trends/ http://www.straightstocks.com/investing-in-china/how-to-bank-real-profits-by-bucking-wall-street%e2%80%99s-latest-fashion-trends/#comments Fri, 17 Apr 2009 14:13:26 +0000 Contrarian Profits http://www.contrarianprofits.com/?p=15696 http://www.straightstocks.com/investing-in-china/how-to-bank-real-profits-by-bucking-wall-street%e2%80%99s-latest-fashion-trends/feed/ 0 http://www.straightstocks.com/market-commentary/a-retail-investing-framework/ 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