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Corporate Bankruptcies Will be a Key Investor Concern in the New Year

Contrarian Profits (January 7th, 2009) Writes:

Investors are breathing a sigh of relief that 2008 is over, but they shouldn’t get too comfortable. After all, with a worldwide recession under way, investors can expect acceleration in corporate bankruptcies in 2009.

But the question is - which ones?

In the financial services sector, 2008 was a year of spectacular failures:

Bear Stearns Cos. and Merrill Lynch & Co. Inc. were absorbed by JP Morgan Chase & Co. (JPM) and Bank of America (BAC), respectively. Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. (OTC: LEHMQ) filed for bankruptcy protection. And financial-sector giants American International Group Inc. (AIG) and Citigroup Inc. (C) were both bailed ...
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Global Investment News Roundup Wednesday, January 7th, 2009

Contrarian Profits (January 7th, 2009) Writes:

Alcoa Cuts 13% of Workforce; Best Buy to Sell Used iPhones; Jobs’ Statement Earns Apple Upgrade; India Exports Slowing Dramatically; Europe Inflation at 2-Year Low; U.S. Still Innovation Leader; Belarus to Secure IMF Aid

Alcoa Inc. (AA) said late yesterday (Tuesday) that it will cut 13% of its global workforce. The company will also sell four business units, cut output, freeze salaries and hiring efforts, MarketWatch reported. The measures will result in a fourth-quarter charge of $900 million to $950 million after tax, or $1.13 to $1.19 a share. Electronics retail Best Buy Co. (BBY) said it will sell used Apple Inc’s (AAPL) iPhone 3G -returned 30 days of ...

Obama Stimulus and January Effect, this Week’s Top Stories

Contrarian Profits (January 5th, 2009) Writes:

President-elect Barack Obama’s transition team is reportedly putting the finishing touches on an economic recovery plan that could run from $675 billion to $1 trillion, though many experts believe the program will most like range between $700 billion and $800 billion.

Briefings for top congressional Democrats were to start either over the weekend or today (Monday), a senior transition-team official told The Associated Press late last week. President-elect Obama is slated to meet today with House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., and Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, D-Nev., in a Democratic strategy session that is likely to focus on the economic recovery package.

It’s time to look forward, not back. The 111th Congress meets tomorrow (Tuesday), and a comprehensive economic stimulus package is at the top of its agenda.  Hopefully, the lawmakers can put partisan bickering aside (fat chance) and have a bill in place for President-elect Barack

...
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U.S. Economy in 2009, Pain Will Precede the Promise

Shah Gilani (December 29th, 2008) Writes:

If there’s a proverb that captures the outlook for the U.S. economy in the New Year, it’s the one that says: “It’s always darkest before the dawn.”

Regardless of any formal announcement of whether or not the United States drops into an actual recession, the ongoing credit crisis guarantees a contraction of the American economy by virtually every measure we know. That period of darkness will be marked by a dramatic slowdown in economic activity, as well as by rising unemployment, additional declines in U.S. stock prices, and constant volatility. It could last as long as 12-18 months.

But when the dawn does come, it will be one to remember. If U.S. President-elect Barack Obama gets it right - and I have every reason to believe that he will - then investors will be presented with the greatest investment opportunity of our generation. At that point, shares of American companies will be

...
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American International Group Inc., Anthony Karydakis;, Bank Failures, bank loans, bank of america corp, bank of england, Barack Obama, Brands Inc., Central Banks, contrarian profits, Covered JP Morgan Chase & Co.;, Deutsche Bank Ag, direct-to-bank capital injections;, European Central Bank, Fannie Mae, Fdic, fed-funds, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp, Federal Reserve System, finance, Fortune, Freddie Mac, Gdp, Goldman Sachs Group Inc, Hilton Hotels Corp;, J.C. Penny Co. Inc.;, JP Morgan Chase, JPMorgan Asset Management;, Kohl's Corp.;, Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc, London, mark-to-market accounting, Market Commentary, Merrill Lynch, Moody's Investors Service, Morgan Stanley, National Bureau of Economic Research, New Year's Day, new york fed, New York University's Stern School of Business, Nordstrom Group;, Oil, political solution;, Real Estate, real estate collapse;, real estate cycle, Real Estate Prices, real estate realm;, Retail Sales, Retail Sector, Starwood Hotels, Stern School;, Target Corp, The Bear Stearns Cos., The Blackstone Group LP, The Gap Inc., The Neiman Marcus Group Inc;, The Wall Street Journal, Timothy Geithner;, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics;, U.S. Bureau;, U.S. Treasury Department, United States, US Commerce Department, Us Federal Reserve, Us Treasury, USD, Wal Mart Stores Inc

Global Investing Roundups Tuesday, December 23rd, 2008

Contrarian Profits (December 23rd, 2008) Writes:

Kenya Growth Stalls Quickly; Caterpillar Cuts Pay and Jobs; Wal-Mart Offers $2.66 Billion for Chile’s Biggest Grocer; Walgreen Falls Short, Cuts Opening Plans; Palm Gets $100 Million Injection; JPMorgan Buys UBS Assets; Oil Falls 6%

Kenya’s economy grew 2.1% in the third quarter, down significantly from the 6.3% gross domestic product growth it posted a year earlier. On top of the global financial crisis, Kenya suffered from post-election violence and a severe drought, Bloomberg reported. Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) said it will offer buyouts to some employees and cut white-collar pay by up to 50%. Last week, the heavy equipment maker announced plans to lay off 814 works at its engine assembly plant, Reuters reported. Wal-Mart ...

Wal-Mart (WMT): An Essential Part Of Any Stock Portfolio

Contrarian Profits (December 16th, 2008) Writes:

Wal-Mart (NYSE:WMT) is thriving as recession grips the economy. As a cost leader in the retail sector, the company is benefiting from an increase in thrift. And it continues to expand its operations overseas. Horacio Marquez says Wal-Mart should emerge stronger than ever from this crisis, making it an essential part of any stock portfolio.

This frm Money Morning:

In an appearance on NBC’s “Meet the Press” on Sunday, Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (NYSE:WMT) Chief Executive Officer H. Lee Scott Jr. said the recession is changing consumer-buying habits.

What Scott didn’t say is that Wal-Mart is perfectly positioned to capitalize on those changes. “The No.1 issue today is [consumers'] concern about their job,” Scott said during the nationally televised interview. And because of that concern, Scott said consumers are making some of the following changes:

In the discounter’s “pharmacy ...

Plunging Auto Gas Sales Hurt Retail Sales in November

Contrarian Profits (December 15th, 2008) Writes:

Dragged down by plunging gasoline prices and an auto industry struggling for survival, retail sales fell by 1.8% in November for a record fifth straight month, according to the U.S. Commerce Department.

But a historic drop in retail gasoline prices and auto sales may have exaggerated the decline.  Filling-station sales mirrored the recent drop in prices from $4 a gallon in July to less than $2 a gallon recently. Auto sales fell 2.8%, confirming automakers’ assertions that business had sunk to the lowest levels in decades.

Excluding gasoline, which fell by almost 15%, retail sales fell just 0.2%.

In fact, without sales of autos, gasoline and building materials, sales actually rose 0.5%, the most since May.

“The financial markets were braced for a horrific retail sales report for November, but the numbers were actually not so bad,” Mark Vitner, a senior economist for Wachovia Corp. (

...

Hybrid Technologies Inc. (HYBR.OB): Sam’s Club Once-In-A-Lifetime Package Sells Out

QualityStocks (December 12th, 2008) Writes:

Last month, Hybrid Technologies announced that it was ecstatic to unveil their most exotic electric Super Car through an exclusive offer with Sam’s Club®, the members only warehouse division of Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (WMT). The long anticipated Super Car was featured in the Sam’s Club 2008 Annual Gift Guide and online at samsclub.com.

Hybrid Technologies’ high performance vehicle was available for purchase at a cost of $100,000 starting on November 12, 2008 through the Sam’s Club website, but has since then been sold out. The Once-In-A-Lifetime Electric Super Car Package can be viewed on the Sam’s Club website here: www.samsclub.com/shopping/navigate.do?catg=12666&pid=CO_10-17-08_OIAL

The head-turning super car, designed to provide maximum excitement and performance, is capable of exceeding 150 MPH and accelerating from 0 to 60 in less than 5 seconds. With a driving range of 200 miles on a single charge, the lithium powered vehicle is a top performer

...

U.S. Companies “Throw in the Towel” – Pushing Jobless Claims to a 26-Year High

Contrarian Profits (December 12th, 2008) Writes:

The number of Americans filing new claims for jobless benefits rocketed to a 26-year high last week, surpassing already gloomy forecasts, as the U.S. economy sinks deeper into recession.

Initial applications for jobless benefits climbed by 58,000 to 573,000 in the week ended Dec. 6, upwardly revised from 515,000 the previous week, the U.S. Labor Department reported yesterday (Thursday).  The figure was the highest since 1982, and far exceeded the median projection of 525,000 put forth by 39 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News.

The increase was due, in part, to a bounce from the week before, which was shorter because it included the Thanksgiving holiday. Government offices were open only four days that week.

Nevertheless, the four-week average, which smooths out fluctuations, stood at 540,500.  That’s the biggest number of jobless claims filed since December 1982, when the economy was also mired in a deep recession. By

...

Global Investing Roundups, Tuesday, December 2nd, 2008

Contrarian Profits (December 2nd, 2008) Writes:

NBER: U.S. in Recession Since Dec. 2007; Fed Reserve Could Buy T-Bills; JP Morgan Sees 0% Interest Rates; Pilgrim’s Pride Files for Bankruptcy Protection; Consumer Credit Crunch in the Making; Crude Slides on Recession Outlook; J&J to Buy Mentor

It’s official: The United States has been in a recession since December 2007, the National Bureau of Economic Research said yesterday (Monday). Already 12 months into it, this recession is longer than eight of the 10 recessions the U.S. has experienced since World War II, CNNMoney reported. Should it continue past the June 2009, it will be the longest. U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said the central bank could buy long-term Treasury securities to help revive the economy. “This approach might influence the yields ...

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