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Why You Should Invest in the ‘New’ Germany

Contrarian Profits (September 30th, 2009) Writes:

Pundits greeted Angela Merkel’s convincing election win in Germany Sunday with a collective yawn. Commentators think the German economy is sluggish and over-dependent on exports, and believe that a change in the German government from a grand coalition to a center-right coalition will make little policy difference.

I think that’s wrong. It’s an erroneous viewpoint that’s symptomatic of the short memories of the chattering media. It’s also one that could cause investors to miss out on one of the best profit plays in the global marketplace today.

I’m talking about Germany – the real powerhouse of Europe.

The “New” Germany

From the 1950s to the 1980s, West Germany consistently delivered high growth rates and low inflation. West German engineering proved superior to any other on the planet. And West German living standards rose far above anywhere else in Europe.

Then came 1990.

East and West Germany were reunited and an

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Siemens Eyes Smart Grid Orders – Analyst Blog

Zacks Market Commentaries (September 8th, 2009) Writes:
Siemens AG (SI) has targeted orders worth more than 6 billion Euros for intelligent power networks (Smart Grids) over the next five fiscal years. The company is already a leading international supplier of Smart Grids and continues to strengthen this position.

Intelligent power grids, or smart grids, are based on the conventional power grids which transport electricity from large power plants to individual households. However, digital technology allows individual households or businesses to manage their electricity more efficiently, allowing them to receive, or deliver back to the grid, electricity from other sources like wind or solar power facilities, or even from batteries in electric cars.

According to studies, more than a billion tons of carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions could be abated with intelligent power networks by 2020. Smart Grids are essential for integrating renewable power sources into power networks and for ensuring stable power supplies from solar and

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Why Asia Will Supplant Detroit as the Global Center of the Auto Industry

Contrarian Profits (August 19th, 2009) Writes:

Asia is poised to become the “new” Detroit.

Here in the United States, at a cost of a mere $3 billion, the “Cash-for-Clunkers” program appears to have given new hope to the U.S. auto industry.

But that new hope is destined to be short-lived.

It’s true that - in terms of value delivered for the money invested - “Cash for Clunkers” has eclipsed every other stimulus program that has been tried. But the program has a projected lifespan of only three months, meaning it can’t reverse the powerful global forces that are destined to turn the U.S. auto market from leader to laggard on the global stage.

Financial Crisis Fallout Reshapes Sector

Thanks to the financial crisis whose impact continues to be felt, worldwide automobile demand had dropped on an overall basis since 2008.

But regional differences are already emerging.

In the United States, for instance, the benchmark seasonally adjusted annual sales rate (SAAR)

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SAIC, China’s No. 1 Carmaker, to Launch Series of Hybrid Cars

Contrarian Profits (May 11th, 2009) Writes:

SAIC Motor Co. Ltd., China’s largest carmaker and the partner of both General Motors Corp. (NYSE: GM) and Volkswagen AG (OTC ADR: VLKAY) in that fast-growing Asian country, plans to launch a series of hybrid and electric vehicles by 2012 - part of a move by China’s carmakers to meet the growing market demand for “new-energy vehicles.”

SAIC said its plans for 2010 include the introduction of a hybrid Roewe 750 sedan. The new technology could improve fuel effiency by 20% over the existing non-green model of the same sedan. SAIC’s “blueprint” for  new energy vehicles was unveiled this week, according to a report by ShanghaiDaily.com.

Another plug-in hybrid version of the Roewe 550 mid-class sedan that could slash fuel consumption by 50% is due to hit the market by 2012, when SAIC’s self-developed fleet of electric vehicles will start being

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While the Rest of the World is Stuck in Reverse, the China Auto Market Zooms Ahead

Contrarian Profits (May 1st, 2009) Writes:

BEIJING, The People’s Republic of China - At a time when the rest of the global auto sales are experiencing their biggest declines in decades - and are set to drop at least 8% globally - the burgeoning China auto market may grow by 10% or more this year.

With steeply rising disposable incomes and savings rates that approach - and in some cases exceed - 35% a year, it isn’t difficult to see why the China auto market is zooming along. But what may be tough for U.S. consumers to picture - especially as they deal with rising unemployment and a nagging economic malaise - is the intensity with which domestic demand is growing here in China.

Autos are more than just transportation here. They’re a symbol of wealth and success - a sexy status symbol. One’s social position can be determined by the type of vehicle one owns and

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Despite Rumors to the Contrary, Beijing Economy Continues to Boom

Contrarian Profits (April 27th, 2009) Writes:

BEIJING, The People’s Republic of China – If there’s a recession here in China, I don’t see it. Granted, I just stepped off the plane here in Beijing a few hours ago, but already the city feels much more vibrant than I expected, given the dire reports that keep appearing in the mainstream Western financial-news media. The Beijing economy appears strong.

Consider the airport. While more subdued than it was just prior to the 2008 Summer Olympic Games, it’s still humming. And the airplane on the flight over here was packed, with nearly a vacant seat in sight. Of course, having my luggage actually beat me to the carousel was a big plus – just like it always is. There’s a policy that all bags are unloaded in 12 minutes.

From my hotel room in the Beijing Central Business District, I can see

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Obama Stimulus Will be Topic of Debate Through Inauguration

Contrarian Profits (January 12th, 2009) Writes:

President-elect Barack Obama said Saturday that an analysis of his stimulus proposal found that the capital infusion could save or create as many as 4 million U.S. jobs by 2010, nearly 90% of them in the private sector.

Obama previously estimated that his estimated $800 billion strategy for winching the American economy out of its year-long recession could save or create 3 million jobs, but the new study has found that the actual number would range between 3 million and 4 million.

The analysis was submitted by Christina Romer, head of Obama’s council of economic advisors, and Jared Bernstein, the economic advisor to Vice President-elect Joe Biden. The analysis directly follows an official government report showing that U.S. employers slashed more than half a million jobs in December, pushing the unemployment rate to 7.2% and bringing the number of jobs lost last year to 2.6 million — the worst showing since

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Global Investing Roundups Tuesday, December 16th, 2008

Contrarian Profits (December 16th, 2008) Writes:

MAN AG Buying VW Brazil Unit; Siemens Settles Probe for $2 Billion; Mattel Pays $12 Million for Tainted Toys; Ireland Banks Getting a Bailout; Housing Market Facing Confidence Collapse; Boeing Raises Dividend; U.S. Homes Lose $2 Trillion in Value

German manufacturing and engineering titan MAN AG said it will acquire Volkswagen Truck and Bus from Volkswagen AG (OTC: VLKAY). The 250-year-old MAN AG is Europe’s third-largest truckmaker, and this purchase marks its first major South American investment, Bloomberg reported. Siemens AG (ADR:SI) will pay more than $1.3 billion to settle corporate corruption charges that ...

Why You Won’t See Luxury Automakers Asking For A Bailout

Contrarian Profits (November 25th, 2008) Writes:

Not every automaker CEO is down on his knees with cap in hand. Some of them are too proud to beg… and Taipan Daily won’t have to beg either with the right options strategy.

Not every auto manufacturer wants charity, you know.

While Detroit’s CEOs were up on Capitol Hill whining and begging like street junkies for a mere $25 billion to tide them over until spring, salesmen from Bentley, Lamborghini and Maserati were working the floor of the Los Angeles Auto Show like madmen in an attempt to stem their stateside sales losses.

Now don’t let their $500 suits and smooth manners fool you. These guys are hurting too. Lambo’s down 15% (pretty much a match to the whole biz’ 2008 decline). And Volkswagen AG’s Bentley (VLKAY) group has slipped a whopping 30%.

No Pain Here

Perhaps the folks who buy BMWs and Mercedes are up against it right now. But

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Volkswagen’s Racing Shares Fueled by Porsche Investment

CEO Blogger (October 30th, 2008) Writes:

Short-sellers scrambling for cover sent shares of Volkswagen AG (OTC ADR: VLKAY) rocketing up more than $1,000 each Tuesday, to briefly give the German automaker the most valuable market capitalization in the world.

Volkswagen’s Frankfurt-traded shares soared as high as $1,258 (1,005 euros) before closing at $1,186 (918 euros) yesterday.

On Monday, Porsche SE (PINK: POAHF) announced it had acquired options on 31.5% of Volkswagen’s stock, in addition to the 42.6% direct stake it already controlled. With the German state of Lower Saxony controlling another 20.2% of Volkswagen stock, that left a very small amount of shares available for short-sellers who had bet on a decline in Volkswagen’s share price - given the poor outlook for the global auto industry - to cover their “short” positions.

“We’re getting a sense of the Sturm und Drang in the markets now,” Michael Holland, the manager of Holland & Co., an investment management firm,

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