Russia’s current woes can be readily summed up in just one single variable – the value of the ruble – and this value, as we all know, is falling. Almost uncontrollably so.br /br /blockquoteThe bank’s target will be “very quickly” breached without more intervention, said Gaelle Blanchard of Societe Generale SA in London. “Right now the market is convinced it wants to see the ruble lower,” Blanchard said. “As long as the central bank gives these targets, then speculators are going to have something to aim for.”br /br //blockquoteblockquote“The market is testing whether the authorities see this band as something permanent or something that will move,” said Lars Rassmussen, an emerging markets analyst at Danske Bank A/S. “Our view is that they’ll move it because it’s not worth wasting the reserves for a band that is obviously not wide enough.”/blockquoteblockquoteFirst Deputy Prime Minister Igor Shuvalov expressed regret that the general …

span style=”font-weight:bold;”Guardian Unlimited/spanbr /br /By Jason Corcoranbr /br /span style=”font-style:italic;”Vladimir Putin’s denial that he is a ‘billionaire-slayer’ looks increasingly unconvincing/spanbr /br /The Russian prime minister Vladimir Putin will have raised someeyebrows amongst west London’s oligarchical clique by rebuffing his image as “a billionaire-slayer”.br /br /Putin has been wielding his power to lance the ambition of aspirational tycoons for almost a decade and is showing no signs of stopping now. In an interview with Bloomberg, the Russian leader insisted the country’s rules and laws are a level playing field for all of its citizens.br /br /Well, tell that to jailed oil tycoon Mikhail Khodorkovsky, who haslanguished in a Siberian prison since 2005 on back-dated charges of tax evasion in what many viewed as an attempt to silence a political opponent. A court rejected Khodorkovsky’s parole request last year, citing reasons such as a refusal to take part in a sewing course.br …

strongFinancial News/strongbr /br /Jason Corcoran br /br /emLetter from Moscow - January 4, 2009/embr /br /Letters to Father Frost, the Russian equivalent of Santa Claus, have been stacking up well ahead of the Orthodox Christmas Day on January 7.br /br /This year, the postal service in Moscow’s Kuzminki district reported an unusually high level of correspondence from adults who wish for a new job or help with meeting credit payments.br /br /However, grown-ups looking for personal bailouts may be better served popping a letter in the mail to Vnesheconombank, the state development bank, which has come to prominence during the financial crisis as the Kremlin’s main piggy bank.br /br /VEB, which traces its genesis back to the October 1917 revolution, was originally responsible for managing Soviet-era debt. It was transformed two years ago into a development agency to spearhead efforts to diversify Russia’s economy but has only recently come to ...

By Edward Hugh: Barcelonabr /br /Russia's foreign-exchange reserves have been now been declining very rapidly since mid August, and as the money goes so does the faith that the large stock of reserves the country built up during the boom times would be sufficient to see them through any downturn in energy prices. As the money leaves, so it seems does the decade of economic growth and stability which they symbolised. Indeed so rapid has been the decline that Russia's international reserves, which are the third-biggest after those of China and Japan, have now fallen $161 billion, or 27% percent, since 8 August last, and decreased by $17.9 billion to $437 billion in the week to 5 December. Investors have now pulled $211 billion out of the country since August, according to estimates by BNP Paribas.br /br /br /pa href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_ngczZkrw340/SUbQptNe4tI/AAAAAAAALyE/K0xlBOy3AlA/s1600-h/russia+GDP.png"img id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5280137028067844818" style="DISPLAY: block; MARGIN: 0px auto 10px; WIDTH: 320px; CURSOR: ...

The importance of the Kremlin-controlled piggy bank Vnesheconombank (VEB) is rising during this financial crisis, as the group becomes the government's critical instrument in its efforts to re-nationalize a large slice of the economy from the country's beleaguered elite business class. Eric Reguly at the Globe and Mail takes a quick look: The financial crisis seems to have given the Kremlin the opportunity to reassert at least some control over the industries that were so haphazardly discarded during the Yeltsin era. The agent of influence is a government development agency called Vnesheconombank (VEB). The chairman of its supervisory board is - guess who - Mr. Putin. Some of Russia's most powerful government officials, including the finance and transportation ministers, prop up the rest of the board.

Russia's long-term sovereign credit rating outlook was lowered yesterday (Thursday) - to negative - by Standard & Poor's Ratings Services due to their assessment that the cost of the government's "bank rescue operation'' may increase. S&P cut their outlook from stable, a move which reflects the increased probability of a downgrade at some point in the future. Russia has committed as much as 15 percent of gross domestic product in budgetary and reserve funds to maintain banking liquidity, according to calculations made by the rating agency. At the same time S&P affirmed Russia's BBB+ long-term foreign currency and the A- long-term local currency ratings and the short-term ratings of A-2.``We expect Russian corporate and financial sector default rates to increase asdebtors' access to official funds will vary,'' S&P said in the statement.``Other uncertainties remain regarding what the economic policy response will ...

Today the Lex column at the FT points toward the massive redistribution of assets happening in Russia as a result of the global financial crisis, and the routing being experienced by a number of the country's most wealthy oligarchs (Oleg Deripaska had to give up his stake in Hochtief). However, unlike the 1998 Russian financial crisis, the government appears set to dramatically extend its influence over the economy. Even so the Russian rout is triggering a redistribution of assets as some oligarchs are forced to sell assets to repay loans or meet margin calls. This time however – unlike Russia’s infamous 1995 loans-for-shares scheme and 1998 financial crisis – the state is set to increase its influence over the economy, continuing the Putin-era trend. First, the Russian government has channelled extra liquidity through state-owned banks Sberbank and VTB. Some $50bn has been earmarked for Vnesheconombank, a third state ...

‘Nationalizing banks isn’t an option for the Russian government,’ says one article. ‘If financial troubles persist, the government may take over entire industries, ranging from agribusiness to construction and retail,’ says another. State-owned Vnesheconombank (VEB) may buy a 98% stake in Svyaz Bank for a ‘symbolic sum’. Over 5,000 Muscovites have been prevented from leaving Russia this year, due to their debts. Iron ore miner Aricom began a three-day roadshow in London to raise as much as $1 billion, although the fact that it was even looking for new funds drove down its share price. The In light of Monday’s drastic losses, the RTS has been shut indefinitely. The MICEX may reopen on Friday. The head of MICEX is drawing comparisons with the US crash of 1929. ‘When the entire Russia oil and gas ...

OAO Gazprom climbed in Moscow trading after a newspaper said the state-run company has implemented plans to pay back 230 billion rubles ($9.2 billion) of debt by the end of the year. Gazprom, whose debt bill exceeds $50 billion, "has not suffered in the global financial crisis and is confident it will be able to fund all its projects in due course", its chief executive was quoted as saying in business newspaper Kommersant today. That said, its capitalization almost halved to $193 billion last week with the dive in the Russian share market. Russian tycoons Vladimir Potanin and Mikhail Prokhorov are close to a final asset split deal involving stakes in metals giant Norilsk Nickel and gold miner Polyus. Eclipse Aviation, US maker of four-seat light private jets, said it had reached an agreement to begin assembly of the aircraft in Russia from 2010. The supervisory ...