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Another Jobs Record, Huge Deficits, Oil and Gold Forecasts, The Auto Bailout and More!

Contrarian Profits (December 12th, 2008) Writes:

Job market takes another turn for the worse… unemployment data at 26-year high… Government solution:spend… budget and trade deficits swell more than expected… Byron King on falling oil demand… and what it means for long-term investors… Gold soars… Ed Bugos with some fresh price targets… Signs of the times… Chinese bank opens in U.S., world’s biggest LBO collapses… Plus, Chris Mayer on the automaker bailout

Americans filed over 573,000 jobless claims last week — the most since 1982.

The Labor Dept. also said the number of people collecting unemployment reached a 26-year high too, 4,429,000.

Unfortunately, we’re just getting started if a study released this morning by UCLA is accurate. The Anderson School of Management predicts we will see negative GDP for the current and first two quarters of 2009… and the unemployment rate to

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A HUGE Currency Rally!

Contrarian Profits (December 11th, 2008) Writes:

Another currency rally….  SNB cuts another 50 BPS!  Budget Deficit continues to widen!  Treasury yields go south for the winter! And Now… Today’s Pfennig!Good day… And a Tub Thumpin’ Thursday to you! It’s been quite the rally this week in the currencies led by the euro, which is like old times, eh? The Big Dog on the porch finally gets to stretch its legs and chase the dollar down the street! It’s been a long time since we’ve seen this go on for more than a day. Yes, we’ve seen one day spikes, and even two day rallies turn into false dawns, but this one has lasted about a week now. Ever since last Friday’s awful Jobs Jamboree, the tide has turned, and the Trading Theme that has held the currencies in a full nelson since the end of July, could very well be on the way out the door.

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Euro Surges to 6-wk High vs Dollar; SNB Cuts Rates

Contrarian Profits (December 11th, 2008) Writes:

Euro hits 6-wk high at $1.3158 , dollar index falls… ECB’s Stark comments cool rate cut expectations… SNB cuts rates by 50 bps, as expected… U.S. auto deal makes progress, rocky road seen in Senate

The euro hit a six-week high against a broadly weaker dollar on Thursday with doubts creeping in as to whether pent-up demand for the U.S. currency over the year-end will be as strong as previously thought.

Implied interest rate spreads also moved in the euro’s favor after European Central Bank Executive Board member Juergen Stark said late on Wednesday the bank did not have a lot of room for manoeuvre on rates after its cut last week.

Having climbed on a wave of risk aversion in recent months in tandem with the low-yielding Japanese yen, some analysts said further dollar demand into the year-end from deleveraging flows might be showing some sign of

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Who’s Confiscating Your 401(k) And IRA?

Steve Selengut (November 12th, 2008) Writes:

Dateline Raleigh, NC, November 6, 2008: Democratic leaders in the U.S. House of Representatives discuss confiscating our 401(k)s and IRAs, by Carolina Journal Online reporter Karen McMahan.

This shocking pronouncement is certainly an attention grabber, which if even partially true, would have an impact on nearly every employed and retired American. The basis for the report is testimony before the House Committee on Education and Labor in early October.

Dr. Teresa Ghilarducci is one of many witnesses (scholars, retirees, activists, an investment mogul, and benefits experts) who were interviewed by the committee members. (I was skipped over once again, but a receptive person in the HCEL was willing to forward a listing of my articles to the right person. I expect an invitation to testify momentarily)

McMahan writes: “Dr. Ghilarducci, professor of economic policy analysis at the New School for Social Research, …

Bailout Plan Forcing U.S. to Borrow $1.4 Trillion, Creating a $1 Trillion Deficit

Contrarian Profits (November 5th, 2008) Writes:

The U.S. Treasury Department plans to borrow a record $550 billion in the current quarter, and another $368 billion in the first three months of the New Year – money needed to fund the $700 billion bailout plan the government is using to battle the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression.

Wall Street bond traders estimate that the U.S. government will have to borrow a record $1.4 trillion during the current fiscal year – an unprecedented amount of debt that’s nevertheless needed to cover a federal budget deficit that’s expected to approach $1 trillion for the fiscal year, CNNMoney.com reported.

(The government’s fiscal year differs from the calendar year, and actually began Oct. 1. The $700 billion bailout plan was approved by the U.S. House of Representatives on Oct. 3, and was signed into law the same day by President George W.

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Financial Crisis Timeline

Alex Stanczyk (October 17th, 2008) Writes:

A chronology of the recent global market chaos:

September 14/15 - Investment bank Lehman Brothers Holdings files for bankruptcy protection; Merrill Lynch to be taken over by Bank of America Corp.

September 16 - U.S. Federal Reserve announces plan for $85 billion (49 billion pound) loan to American International Group in return for an 80 percent stake in the insurer; Barclays buys parts of Lehman’s North American assets for $1.75 billion.

September 17 - British bank Lloyds TSB Group agrees to rescue rival HBOS, scooping up Britain’s biggest home loan lender in an all-share deal.

September 19 - U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson calls for the government to spend billions of dollars to take toxic mortgage assets off financial companies. Stock markets soar.

September 20 - Details emerge of the $700 billion U.S. plan.

September 21 - Goldman Sachs Group and Morgan Stanley become bank holding companies regulated by the Fed.

September 22 - Nomura Holdings says

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American International Group, Asia Pacific, Bank, bank deposits, bank of america corp, Barclays, Belgium, Berkshire Hathaway, big banks, Bnp Paribas, Bradford, Britain, Chf, Citigroup Inc, Credit Suisse Group, Dexia SA, Dutch government, EUR, Europe, European Union, Fannie Mae, Federal Bureau of Investigation, Federal Reserve System, finance ministers, Financial Services, Fortis NV, France, Freddie Mac, Gbp, Germany, Gold Markets, Goldman Sachs Group, HBOS, Henry Paulson, home loan lender, Iceland, Insurance, International Monetary Fund, Japan, Jpmorgan Chase, Kaupthing, Lehman Brothers Holdings, Lloyds TSB Group, Luxembourg, Merrill Lynch, Mitsubishi, Morgan Stanley, Nikkei 225, Nomura Holdings, Paris, retail banks, Royal Bank Of Scotland, Switzerland, Ubs Ag, United States, United States Senate, Us Federal Reserve, Us Government, US House of Representatives, Us Treasury, USD, Wachovia Corp, Warren Buffett, Washington, Washington Mutual, Wells Fargo & Co.

Red Chip Featured Company: Datameg Corporation (DTMG.OB)

QualityStocks (October 3rd, 2008) Writes:

Datameg Corporation (DTMG.OB) is a holding company committed to positioning itself to deliver the next-generation network services and environmentally-conscious plastics to help the environment. At this time, the company is working to roll-out customers’ Internet voice, data and video services while continuing to evaluate technological advances for development or advancement. Datameg has such a diverse group of subsidiaries making up its framework and expects its subsidiaries, NetSymphony, QoVox, and American Marketing & Sales, to contribute to its profitability and cashflows.

QoVox is on a mission to become a leading provider of network monitoring and fault isolation tools for telecom networks. QoVox is working to partner with leading communications companies to deliver verifying connectivity, voice-quality measuring tools that isolate and troubleshoot issues. The subsidiary’s solutions will enable service providers to maintain optimal service levels and increase customer satisfaction.

The team at NetSymphony has developed a unique active testing and monitoring solution

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Last Bank Standing - The Wall Street Mega-Crash

Steve Selengut (October 1st, 2008) Writes:

Dateline Washington, October 19th (get it?) 2010: the Peoples Bank & Trust of America has now established itself as the only bank of any kind in the USA, totally owned and managed by the US House of Representatives. A 2/3 majority must now approve all investment banking transactions; your district representative’s staff reviews individual mortgage applications; and all 401(k), IRA, and remaining employer pension assets have been rolled into the Social Security Slush Fund.

Only federal and state elected officials are exempt from the 45% all purpose Income Tax. The estimated time to bring new companies public is 4.5 years; all individual account dividends and interest are paid directly into your IRS “grabber” account; CEO’s salaries are limited to 50% of the amount paid to a first year congressman, and any government budget shortfalls are withdrawn from corporate earnings before …

Surprise Rejection of Bailout Causes Record Decline in U.S. Stocks

Contrarian Profits (September 30th, 2008) Writes:

In a move that will reverberate from Wall Street to Main Street, the U.S. House of Representatives yesterday (Monday) voted to reject a compromise $700 billion banking-bailout bill, an act of stunning defiance that eradicated $1.2 trillion in shareholder wealth as U.S. stocks endured their biggest one-day point loss in history.

Oil prices fall in Asian Market after US Bailout Fails

QualityStocks (September 30th, 2008) Writes:

The failure of the proposed $700 billion U.S. bailout bill on Monday has caused oil prices to fall to $95.55 a barrel in Asia on Tuesday. Crude prices scheduled for delivery in November decreased $0.81 in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange in Singapore.

On Monday, oil prices dropped $10.52 in reaction to the U.S. economic situation. The day’s trading results were the largest percentage drop seen since 2001. In the last seven days, crude prices have plunged almost $25 per barrel, a 20% decrease. Even in London, November Brent crude was down to $93.42 a barrel, a $0.56 drop, on the ICE Futures exchange.

Oil was not the only item that fell in yesterday’s trading. The Dow Jones industrials ended the day with a 777 point reduction, which is the largest drop for a single day’s trading. The reaction on Wall Street was the result of the U.S.

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