One of our major themes here at The Macro Trader over the past two years has been to short Europe.  We mean that in a general sense as we have been short Spain and Italy off and on for over a year and are bearish on most things EU relative to most of the world.  One area that we have been looking at a lot lately is that of the Euro.

After being overvalued by 40% back in March of 2008 the Euro fell about 20% as investors went into risk aversion mode and bought the US Dollar.  Since March of this year the Euro has once again climbed into wildly overvalued territory again and is currently about 35% overvalued. As you can see in the chart below when the Euro gets very far above or below the 20% bands it has a

As is becoming apparent, the US is heading towards a depression, and given the nature of the proposed bailouts as well as restrictions on short selling, it seems as though the depression will be inflationary. The most notable characteristic of an inflationary depression is currency devaluation.

If that’s the case, how can traders preserve their wealth? Below are 8 ETFs traders should consider looking into to prepare for an inflationary depression:

Foreign Bond ETFs. There are a number of foreign bond ETFs — FAX, FAM, EDF, among others — are also appealing to many seeking to diversify outside the US. In addition to providing stable income returns that bonds offer, they also allow for protection against dollar devaluation.

VEU. This fund seeks to replicate an index of 2,200 stocks in 47 countries outside the US. Because of its diversity, it is viewed as …

Ben Bernanke and Hank Paulson are planning the biggest bailout of financial markets in history. It could cost the taxpayer somewhere in the region of $1 trillion. But the market will triumph over the interventionists, says Bill Bonner.

The biggest credit bubble in history is due a correction, and there is little the Fed or Treasury can do to stop it. The more they try, the more money they have to print.

This makes the outlook for the dollar and US Treasury bonds ever more perilous… and the outlook for gold ever more attractive.

This from The Daily Reckoning:

There’s a war going on…a battle between a natural market correction…and an artificial attempt to avoid it. On the one hand, Mr. Market wants to correct the excesses of the boom/bubble period that began in 1982. On the other, Misters Bernanke and Paulson want to prevent him. Mr. Market takes down asset prices. Mr. Market …

– Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) and Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS), the two last major investment banks left standing after the carnage Wall Street, have ended the era of investment banking by changing their status to bank holding companies. The change means the two firms can now create commercial banks that will be able to take deposits.

– The move marks a sea change on Wall Street 75 years since the Glass-Steagall Act that separated them from deposit-taking banks. The Federal Reserve will now take over from the Securities Exchange Commission as regulator of the two banks.

– “The decision marks the end of Wall Street as we have known it,” said William Isaac, a former chairman of the FDIC. “It’s too bad.”

– Concern is growing that Hank Paulson’s vast rescue plan for Wall Street may “crush” the dollar. According to Bloomberg: “The combination of spending $700 billion on soured mortgage-related assets and providing $400 …

The headlines are dramatic. Short selling banned for 799 financial institutions. $50bn injected into money markets. Plans for a massive bailout fund to clear the system of bad debt and stabilize the housing market.

The Unholy trinity – the Federal Reserve, SEC and Treasury – has pulled out all the stops this time. But while US stocks soar, Justice Litle says the government’s bailouts are a death blow for the dollar.

This makes real, tangible assets highly attractive. Justice says the most profitable investments going forward will be energy, infrastructure, hard assets and non-US growth plays.

More from Taipan Daily:

In the short run, it’s not clear how things will play out – the markets are an absolute circus right now. (As if you needed someone to tell you that.) In the long run, though, we are seeing the reality of the Austrian Endgame unfold, here and now, right before our eyes.

I’ve been pounding …

A Dang Good Year for AUDCAD … So Far!

If you bought the Australian dollar and simultaneously sold the Canadian dollar at the beginning of the year and you’re still positioned like that then you’re probably a pretty happy camper. That’s because year-to-date AUDCAD (Australian dollar vs. Canadian dollar) has jumped 1,000 PIPs – or 11.4%. And in the world of forex, that’s a huge move.

And having just tested its highest level in more than three years, we begin to wonder if this pair could be running out of gas. Buy-and-hold strategists will tell you the trend is your friend, so keep buying and holding. But we’ve got a different philosophy that keeps us asking: when is the trend not your friend? And when is the trend going to reverse and take you to the cleaners?

Right now may be one of those times … or it might not. But