Traders patiently watching the zloty’s climb against the dollar in 2009 have fairly good evidence of an imminent reverse trend.  A glance at the five-year chart shows that USD/PLN has now twice bounced off some fairly important support levels.  Furthermore, intuitively the breakdown makes sense.  Per a Bloomberg report today, Ulrich Leuchtmann, head of foreign- exchange research at Commerzbank in Frankfurt, opined that currencies in eastern Europe were starting to come under pressure.  “It’s a natural correction from the very upbeat sentiment that we saw recently.  From a fundamental point of view such a quick recovery didn’t make much sense,” he said.  Thanks to JB3 over at Xtrends, by the way, for pointing out this setup.

Russian industrial production dropped sharply again in December – by the most since at least 2003. Output was down 10.3 percent following an 8.7 percent fall in November, according to data from the Federal Statistics Service announced yesterday (Thursday) by central Bank Chairman Sergey Ignatiev. Output growth for the year was 2.1 percent, the slowest since at least 1999. br /br /a href=”http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_ngczZkrw340/SXnHod1_lII/AAAAAAAAMVY/OmOY6oKT5Zk/s1600-h/russia+manufacturing.png”img style=”display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 400px; height: 237px;” src=”http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_ngczZkrw340/SXnHod1_lII/AAAAAAAAMVY/OmOY6oKT5Zk/s400/russia+manufacturing.png” border=”0″ alt=”"id=”BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5294482334970516610″ //abr /br /Manufacturing fell an annual 13.2 percent in December, compared with a decline of 10.3 percent in November, as steel-pipe production dropped an annual 35.3 percent and coking coal output plunged 44.2 percent. Truck production plummeted 67.1 percent. br /br /This data is not surprising, and only confirms what we have been seeing in the VTB PMI. The next interesting data appointment will be on 2 February, when we should get to see what …

Russian industrial production dropped sharply again in December – by the most since at least 2003. Output was down 10.3 percent following an 8.7 percent fall in November, according to data from the Federal Statistics Service announced yesterday (Thursday) by central Bank Chairman Sergey Ignatiev. Output growth for the year was 2.1 percent, the slowest since at least 1999. br /br /a href=”http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_ngczZkrw340/SXnHod1_lII/AAAAAAAAMVY/OmOY6oKT5Zk/s1600-h/russia+manufacturing.png”img style=”display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 400px; height: 237px;” src=”http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_ngczZkrw340/SXnHod1_lII/AAAAAAAAMVY/OmOY6oKT5Zk/s400/russia+manufacturing.png” border=”0″ alt=”"id=”BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5294482334970516610″ //abr /br /Manufacturing fell an annual 13.2 percent in December, compared with a decline of 10.3 percent in November, as steel-pipe production dropped an annual 35.3 percent and coking coal output plunged 44.2 percent. Truck production plummeted 67.1 percent. br /br /This data is not surprising, and only confirms what we have been seeing in the VTB PMI. The next interesting data appointment will be on 2 February, when we should get to see what …