I’ve pointed out many times here in my Money and Markets column that interest rates and economic growth are always the two primary fundamental drivers of currency prices. Therefore, it’s no stretch to conclude that housing has been the Achilles’ heel for the U.S. dollar.

But what if there’s another major currency country that has a much worse outlook for its housing market? Would we then expect bad housing news to play a similar role in pushing its respective currency lower? I think the short answer is: Yes!

It’s fitting on this Independence Day holiday weekend that we examine the incredible exposure to housing prices in our motherland — the UK — compared to the U.S. …

If our report of earlier in the week wasn’t bad enough about the British economy, more figures have come to light that suggest it’s almost in free fall, so rapid is the downturn. It’s a slump that is being repeated in more and more of Europe. The Irish economy is moving closer to recession, and now economists say that Denmark, Portugal, Italy and Spain are hovering on the brink as the European Central Bank prepares to lift rates tonight (our time) by 0.25% to 4.25%. That rate decision could very well change the dynamics of markets here, in Europe, the US and Asia. A rate of 4.25% from the ECB, compared to 2% from the US fed, has the potential to cause more damage to the US dollar, drive commodity prices even higher, especially oil, and further boost inflation. Commodity prices moved up sharply overnight with oil above $US144 a barrel, copper hitting a ...