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Russia’s Industrial Output, Reserves And Currency All Slump Together

Manuel Alvarez-Rivera (January 23rd, 2009) Writes:

Russian industrial production dropped sharply again in December – by the most since at least 2003. Output was down 10.3 percent following an 8.7 percent fall in November, according to data from the Federal Statistics Service announced yesterday (Thursday) by central Bank Chairman Sergey Ignatiev. Output growth for the year was 2.1 percent, the slowest since at least 1999. br /br /a href=”http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_ngczZkrw340/SXnHod1_lII/AAAAAAAAMVY/OmOY6oKT5Zk/s1600-h/russia+manufacturing.png”img style=”display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 400px; height: 237px;” src=”http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_ngczZkrw340/SXnHod1_lII/AAAAAAAAMVY/OmOY6oKT5Zk/s400/russia+manufacturing.png” border=”0″ alt=”"id=”BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5294482334970516610″ //abr /br /Manufacturing fell an annual 13.2 percent in December, compared with a decline of 10.3 percent in November, as steel-pipe production dropped an annual 35.3 percent and coking coal output plunged 44.2 percent. Truck production plummeted 67.1 percent. br /br /This data is not surprising, and only confirms what we have been seeing in the VTB PMI. The next interesting data appointment will be on 2 February, when we should get to see what …

Russia’s Industrial Output Slumps As Reserves Leave At A Record Rate

Edward Hugh (January 22nd, 2009) Writes:

Russian industrial production dropped sharply again in December – by the most since at least 2003. Output was down 10.3 percent following an 8.7 percent fall in November, according to data from the Federal Statistics Service announced yesterday (Thursday) by central Bank Chairman Sergey Ignatiev. Output growth for the year was 2.1 percent, the slowest since at least 1999. br /br /a href=”http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_ngczZkrw340/SXnHod1_lII/AAAAAAAAMVY/OmOY6oKT5Zk/s1600-h/russia+manufacturing.png”img style=”display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 400px; height: 237px;” src=”http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_ngczZkrw340/SXnHod1_lII/AAAAAAAAMVY/OmOY6oKT5Zk/s400/russia+manufacturing.png” border=”0″ alt=”"id=”BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5294482334970516610″ //abr /br /Manufacturing fell an annual 13.2 percent in December, compared with a decline of 10.3 percent in November, as steel-pipe production dropped an annual 35.3 percent and coking coal output plunged 44.2 percent. Truck production plummeted 67.1 percent. br /br /This data is not surprising, and only confirms what we have been seeing in the VTB PMI. The next interesting data appointment will be on 2 February, when we should get to see what …

Ruble Hits 11-year Low As Russia Accelerates Devaluation

Contrarian Profits (January 20th, 2009) Writes:

The Russian ruble fell yesterday (Monday) to levels not seen since the 1998 banking crisis, as the nation’s central bank devalued the currency for the sixth time in seven days. The devaluation is seen as a sign of further deterioration in the Russian economy and comes despite government efforts to orchestrate an orderly retreat.

A drop in the price of oil, the war in Georgia, and a gas-export dispute with the Ukraine have put a huge dent in the Russian economy, which now teeters on the verge of recession.  The devaluations reflect the new reality of low prices and falling demand for oil and other exportable commodities.

In order to contain the damage, the central bank is accelerating the ruble’s slide. Policymakers devalued the ruble every trading day last week except for Tuesday (Jan. 13), letting it fall an average 1.7% a day versus a basket of currencies. By comparison, November and

...

Massive Foreign Reserves Outflow Puts Russia’s Ruble Trading Band Under Threat

Manuel Alvarez-Rivera (November 10th, 2008) Writes:
Russia's currency reserves, the third-biggest in the world, are falling steadily as tumbling oil prices and an exodus of capital are piling the pressure on the central bank and government policymakers to accept a devaluation in the ruble. Oil prices which are now down 60% from their july peak, slowing economic growth and increasing investor concern are steadily draining Russia's foreign exchange reserves, which fell 19 percent (to $484.6 billion) in the 12 weeks through Oct. 31. This is down from $598.1 billion in the week before the invasion of Southern Ossetia.Russia had been using the reserves to try and contain the upward movement in the ruble was thought to present a threat to the competitiveness of exports. But resistance is now becoming increasingly difficult in the fact of a 13 percent drop against the dollar since August 1.Bank Rossii began managing the ruble's exchange rate ...

Is Russia Just Another Emerging Economy, Or Is There Something Special About The Present Bout Of Financial Turmoil?

Edward Hugh (September 18th, 2008) Writes:
Russia's President Dmitry Medvedev today pledged $20 billion in financial support for the Russian stock market and cut oil taxes in an attempt to bring a halt to what has now become Russia's worst financial crisis in a decade. Medvedev took this action in order to try to lay the basis for a reopening of Russia's bourses tomorrow, following three days of irregular operation on the back of a 25% drop in the Micex Index. Following the announcement Russian shares traded in London surged and the interbank lending rate plunged.The announcement followed a meeting between Medvedev, the central bank Chairman Sergey Ignatiev and Russia's Finance Minister Alexei Kudrin. Ignatiev also announced that central bank reserve requirements for Russia's banks would be eased in an attempt to provide more liquidity.The tax cut for oil exports will come into effect on Oct. 1 and save producers and refiners ...
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