by Edward Hugh: Barcelonabr /br /With capital inflows to the CEE economies slowing to a trickle in Eastern Europe, a sharp correction is now underway in most countries' external imbalances and in particular in their current-account deficits. For the CEE-6 (Poland, Czech Republic, Hungary, Romania, Bulgaria, Turkey), net private capital flows are forecast to slow to $59.5 billion in 2009, down from an estimated $161.9 billion in 2008, according to estimates from the Institute For International Finance. The basic concern is that those countries with significant external deficits are extremely vulnerable to foreign capital reversals, especially in the current environment of global credit tightening.br /br /br /FDI flows (which are generally considered more stable and less susceptible to rapid outflows than other capital flows) have been the main form of financing for current-account deficits in recent years, but such inflows are set to slow sharply in 2009. The Economist estimates ...

"Only takes one tree, to make 1000 matches Only takes one match, to burn A thousand trees, A thousand trees" - Stereophonics

I have on occasion been turning to the lyrics of the English rock group Stereophonics when events in the economy and the market have eluded and essentially confused me. This time is no different and for the life of me I am unable to the see the rationale in the recent messages emanating from key European policy makers in the context of the ongoing crisis on the European continent and specifically the impending collapse of Eastern Europe's economy. However, let us go back to the EU summit held extraordinarily to address the issues in Eastern Europe. As the eternal first stab at tackling a "newly" emerged crisis the results were painfully scarce as is customary with these kinds of events. Cutting to the bone, two messages could

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by Edward Hugh: Barcelona br /br /Well reading the press this morning it would be fairly easy to reach the conclusion that nothing really happened yesterday in Brussels, and that a great opportunity was lost. The latter may finally be true, but the former most certainly is not. br /br /Let's look first at what was not decided on Sunday. The leaders of the 27 member countries in the European Union most certainly did not vote to back a proposal from Hungarian Prime Minister Ferenc Gyurcsany for a 180-billion-euro ($228 billion) aid package for central and eastern Europe. They did not back it because it was not even seriously on the agenda at this point. These people move slowly and we need to talk them throught one step at a time. So what was on the agenda. EU bonds for one, and a href="http://edwardhughtoo.blogspot.com/2009/02/let-east-into-eurozone-now.html"accelerated euro membership for the East for ...