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Obama To Declare War on Cayman Islands, Bermuda

Contrarian Profits (January 7th, 2009) Writes:

O.K., so the headline isn’t exactly accurate, but it did catch your eye. And if one David Cay Johnston has his perverse way, it would be a statement of fact. Indeed, Johnston seriously calls for a U.S. declaration of war not only on the Cayman Islands, but also Bermuda and other offshore tax havens. His lengthy radical views are set out in an article (”Fiscal Therapy”) in the Jan-Feb 2009 issue of the left-leaning magazine Mother Jones, known for investigative reporting with a decidedly radical slant.

Ordinarily a nutty proposal such as Johnston’s could be laughed off as evidence of a sick sense of humor or an advanced mental problem, but Johnston is not your run of the mill left-wing nut.

Prize Winning Radical

In 2001 Johnston won a Pulitzer Prize “for his penetrating and enterprising reporting that exposed loopholes and inequities in the U.S. tax code.”

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And Then There’s This…Tuesday, January 06th, 2009

Contrarian Profits (January 6th, 2009) Writes:

Just like Friday morning, gold blasted out of the starting gate as soon as Globex trading began in the Far East on Monday morning. And just like Friday morning, this price spike ran into a wall of selling that went on for about four hours. Then there was a respite until 3:00 a.m. New York time when another wave of selling commenced that lasted right through London…and until the Comex open. Then the dealers (mostly JPMorgan, I would think) pulled their bids for the third and last time…and the price of gold cratered another $10…for the third and last time. Silver really got it in the neck on the Comex open. There was nothing free market about this…this was the Gold Cartel…pure and simple. The US$ didn’t even start to rise until after all the damage was done, so you can’t blame it on that.

It was encouraging to see both

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New Year Rally, Obama’s Plan, Shorting in 2009, The Second Wave of the Housing Bust, and More!

Contrarian Profits (January 6th, 2009) Writes:

Markets kick off 2009 with sizable rally… what’s behind the best New Year’s rally since 2003…  Obama bounce back in effect… Rob Parenteau on whether his $1 trillion plan will actually work… Dan Amoss on the difference between shorting in 2008 and 2009… Bullish factors for gold (and gold stocks) for 2009… The second wave cometh… more troublesome commercial real estate ripples on the horizon.

For the first time in a long time, we can tell you today that the U.S. stock market is up year to date:

The major indexes rang in the new year with a 3% rally on Friday — the best first day of a new year in the last six. And a sharp contrast to 2008, when the Dow had its worst opening day since 1983.

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Obama’s Stimulus Plan Backed by Promises of Fiscal Restraint Tax Cuts

Contrarian Profits (January 6th, 2009) Writes:

President-Elect Barack Obama headed to Capitol Hill yesterday (Monday) to meet with House and Senate leaders to push for quick action on his broad economic stimulus package that could cost as much as $775 billion. 

But in a concession to his need for bi-partisan support to pass any package, Obama promised “radical reforms” to impose more control over the federal budget in the future, The New York Times reported.

Republican leaders have already started voicing criticism of the recovery plan, offering their own ideas about what it should contain. Obama aides hope to soften the perception of the plan as an “open checkbook” by focusing more on tax cuts than on spending.

To firm up support among Congressional skeptics worried that Obama was too focused on government spending, Obama’s team revealed the package will devote about 40% to tax cuts, costing roughly $150 billion. The package will

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On the road: Why NZ needs a ‘Magic Jack’ too

Bernard Hickey (December 29th, 2008) Writes:

I’m writing this from a hotel room in Santa Monica in California. I’m on holiday here with my lovely wife Lynn and our two equally gorgeous daughters, Eilish and Maddie, and am about to embark on an RV trip across America to Orlando in Florida.

Lynn will attend a conference on digital scrapbooking at Disneyland in Orlando in a fortnight if we make it. I’ll tell her story about how she came to be a digital design exporter (earning a lot more than me…) in this blog at a later date.  Suffice to say, this trip will more than pay for itself in US dollar earnings.

I’ll try to blog about the trip and what I learn from an economic and business point of view as often as I can. It should turn out a lot easier to do than in New Zealand. Free cable broadband or WiFi access

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Company Layoffs: More Companies Trim the Fat without Trimming the Workforce

Contrarian Profits (December 26th, 2008) Writes:

The U.S. unemployment rate, currently at a level of 6.5%, could rise to 8% next year. But it could also find a ceiling sooner than expected, as more companies implement unpaid vacations and four-day workweeks to preserve jobs.

The U.S. recession may just now be entering full swing, but storm clouds have been gathering for more than a year and many companies have already trimmed payrolls. Now, the goal for many companies is to prepare for an economic rebound by finding ways to keep the their skilled productive labor intact.

More companies are exploring alternatives to layoffs,” John A. Challenger, chief executive of consulting firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas, told BusinessWeek. “If they can keep people on until the business turns around, the company would be in much better shape to ramp up quickly.”

Dell Inc. (DELL) employees, for instance, recently received a memo

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Why Shorting Treasury Bonds Might Just Be Too Obvious

Justice Litle (December 23rd, 2008) Writes:

US Treasuries are in a bubble, making them ripe for shorting. But that trade is too obvious, says Justice Litle. And the situation is more complex now that the Fed is getting involved. Bernanke & Co could support T-Bills in the medium term, but that will only increase the odds of an epic decline after.

This from Taipan Daily:

U.S. Treasuries look so lousy here that shorting them has become the “obvious” trade. But there is more to this mystery than meets the eye, as Justice explores…

Jim Grant nailed it in a recent Financial Times piece. Known for their “risk-free return” in more normal times, Grant observes that U.S. Treasuries (or USTs for short) now offer “return-free risk.”

Treasury buyers, in other words, choose to lend to Uncle Sam for free these days… or, worse still, to pay for the privilege. As 2008 draws to a close, USTs are an

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Madoff’s Ponzi Scheme Makes Us Love Gold Even More

Contrarian Profits (December 23rd, 2008) Writes:

A lot of investors woke up recently to find their money had ‘disappeared’ in Bernie Madoff’s $50 billion Ponzi scheme. And it all happened under the noses of the regulators. Byron King says there are probably many more scammers out there. And the US government is among them. He says this just strengthens the case to buy gold and silver.

This from Whiskey & Gunpowder:

What if you woke up one day and there was a flying saucer sitting in the middle of Central Park? It would change your view of the world, if not the universe, right? At least that’s the idea behind the newly released remake of the classic 1951 film The Day the Earth Stood Still.

And what if you went to bed one night and thought that you had money on account in a fine silk stocking firm? What if you believed that you and your family were well

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This Shocking Number Suggests Dim Future For Solar Energy

Irwin Greenstein (December 22nd, 2008) Writes:

An article in the New York Times last week about careers in solar energy revealed a shocking number - one that would certainly make me look elsewhere for job. As an investor, this particular number would also call into question the true growth of solar energy over the next few years.

The Times’ story cited the Solar Energy Industries Association as reporting that 3,400 companies in the solar energy sector employ only 25,000 to 35,000 workers, including installers, manufacturers, distributors and project developers and materials suppliers. Those numbers are expected to hit more 110,000 employees by 2016, according to the association.

Wait a minute: So seven years from now, this highly touted, save-the-world market will employ only 110,000 people?

From an investor’s perspective, I thought that number was absolutely puny. Let’s put that into perspective…

– Toyota employs 110,000 part-time workers. – That’s the number of foreclosure notices sent to homeowners in California during

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Dec. 17: The Best ETF Articles In The National Media

IndexUniverse Staff (December 17th, 2008) Writes:

 

 

Options Traders Optimistic About Financials 

A new story at Barron's Web site looks at how bullish options traders seem to be these days on the Financial Select Sector SPDR (NYSE: XLF). 

"Traders are buying March and June XLF calls that will increase in value if the financial sector trades higher in the first and second quarters of 2009," wrote the site's Steven Sears, who adds that the Fed's move to lower interest rates to historic lows has apparently increased their interest in XLF options.

You can read the story here.

Pair Of ProShares Lead In Weekly Redemptions

An interesting piece now on the Forbes Web site written by TrimTabs' Charles Biderman notes that two ProShares were among the leading ETFs in the past week in terms of redemptions.

While the ETF flow figures with Biderman's observations are at the bottom, it might also be interesting to note earlier in the piece his finding

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