Reports have emerged following yesterday's meeting between 'comfortable' duo Vladimir Putin and his Ukrainian counterpart, Yulia Tymoshenko.  Bloomberg says Putin's announcement that Ukraine would not be penalized for consuming less gas than was contracted was warmly received by Tymoshenko, who pledged that payments would be made on time.  'It would be very good to meet the New Year without calamities,' Putin said, guaranteeing stable supplies (click here for some transit figures).  This exchange was overshadowed by Medvedev's advisor in Moscow, who reportedly complained about 'political blackmail' in light of Tymoshenko's decision to increase transit fees earlier this week. The Guardian points out that TNK-BP's new chief executive, the choice of its oligarch board, is 'inexperienced', but BP insists that it was not 'steamrollered' into accepting him.  Russia's stepped-up pledge for emissions reductions is drawing positive reports.  ...

John Micklethwait has been editor-in-chief of “The Economist” magazine since 2006. Previously he was United States editor of the publication.

Micklethwait was educated at Ampleforth and Magdalen College, Oxford. He joined “The Economist” in 1987, previously having worked for Chase Manhattan Bank. He coined the word Cosmocrat. His books include; “The Company - A Short History of a Revolutionary Idea,” “The Right Nation,” “The Witch Doctors” and “The Future Perfect”.

Click here or on the image below for the video.

Source: Charlie Rose, October 14, 2009.

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The Economist magazine, in a column wryly titled “Pangloss Revisited”, notes that “The average deficit over the next decade in now expect to be 5.1% of GDP, compared with an average of 4% in the original budget”, and that even in the last year of the forecast, 2019, the budget deficit is supposed to be 5% of GDP! Wow!

As weird as that is, it gets weirder later in the article when Peter Orzag of the White House’s Office of Management and Budget (OMB), whom the article called “Mr. Obama’s top budget man”, has “tried to put a positive spin on the situation. By 2019, he argued on his blog, America’s primary deficit (the difference between revenue and spending excluding interest payments) would be only 0.6% of GDP.”

Excluding interest payments? Hahaha! Why in the hell would you exclude interest payments? Hahaha! You shake your head in amazement that this is the

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Mortgage delinquencies move higher…Euro pushed higher by European data…Economist predicts Norway will be first to raise…Mexico to leave rates unchanged…And Now… Today’s Pfennig!

Good day… And happy Friday! The data released yesterday morning was a mixed bag, as the leading indicators climbed for a fourth straight month and the Philadelphia fed reported a big jump in their gauge of activity, but the initial jobless claims unexpectedly rose. Unemployment in the US will continue to be a drag on the economy, slowing any recovery and possibly pushing the US back into recession (or as some predict a depression). Today we will get some news on the housing market, and while the media will pump up the fact that month on month sales continue to rise, another report released yesterday showed mortgage delinquencies hit a record high in July. The proportion of homeowners delinquent on their mortgage or in foreclosure rose to its

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I wouldn’t read a lot into the action in the gold market on Friday. It was just another day off the calendar…as Ted Butler would say. The only comment I would make is that the action in the gold price feels more like a top than a bottom. Silver was a little more interesting, as it rose in price through the entire trading day, and finished virtually on its high of the day…and a new high for this move. Now the dichotomy between gold and silver is starting to show up in the price action, and not just the open interest numbers.

Speaking of open interest numbers, gold o.i. on Thursday fell 3,216 contracts to 391,144…on absolutely monstrous volume of 174,662 contracts. Silver’s decline was much more modest…only 93 contracts to 96,309…on total volume of 18,664 contracts.

The Commitment of Traders report issued yesterday, was as expected. In silver, the bullion banks

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Resource legend tips his hat to three soon-to-bubble sectors… The housing market has “bottomed out” says PNC… our gentle retort… Alan Knuckman with an economic indicator far superior to unemployment: chicken sales… Our panel of “whiskey shooters” on the worst-case scnerio… how to get out of Dodge if the dollar collapses… Britian now REALLY in crisis… recession, taxes cause wave of pub shutdowns…

Let’s make some trades this morning. We asked Rick Rule, a living legend here in Vancouver, what’s the next bubble market? “The Canadian market does not care about small oil and gas companies,” he told us yesterday. “Which means that small Canadian O&G companies are selling for 50-60% of net asset value. They are very, very, very cheap. They are unloved, with no finance options and no trading liquidity… and I love that. This value is free. There will be much money made in small-cap

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As we all know, the depression is over. The stock market seems to think so… with the Dow up 32 more points on Friday… and apparently eager to go higher. Oil rose above $64. And gold is trading at $937 this morning.

Friday, two more banks – the Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) and Citigroup (NYSE:C) – announced impressive results. Between them, they made $5.4 billion in the last quarter.

These follow announcements earlier in the week from JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) and Goldman (NYSE:GS). As reported in this space, Goldman set the pace by reporting that it has managed to earn more than $1 billion per month in the 2 nd quarter of this year. It said it did so by helping clients raise money… refinance… and restructure.

Goldman made so much money that it has set aside more than $11 billion so far this year in compensation for its

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Russia may have sidestepped greenhouse gas emission cuts at the G8 summit, but Finance Minister Alexei Kudrin has pledged a Russian 'energy revolution' when the State Duma consider a bill to increase energy efficiency by 40% by 2020.  A transit deal for the Nabucco pipeline is to be signed next week but according to analysts, 'the major obstacles to Nabucco still stand and supply is number one'.  Reuters has a Q and A on what to expect from the Nabucco deal.  The European Commission has tempered demands for powers to coordinate gas flows across the union in the event of a gas cut off.  The European Commission will declare a 'Community Emergency' if the EU loses more than 10% of its gas supply.  Venezuela's Oil Minister has said that the country is making progress towards developing ...

Unless you’ve been living under a rock for the past six months, you know Detroit’s once unstoppable auto industry is dying a fast, public death.

The American auto industry’s fall from grace coincides with a shift in the public’s perception of personal transportation. Higher gas prices and a new environmentally conscious attitude have pushed gas-electric hybrids and efficient diesels to the top of car buyers’ wish lists — leaving hulking SUVs to rust on the side of the road.

Add in climate change concerns and you have yet another dilemma for automakers. New government standards mandate total fleet averages to meet or exceed 35.5 miles per gallon by 2016. The new measure is part of an attempt by the federal government to limit greenhouse gas emissions.

It won’t be impossible to buy a gas-guzzler after the new fuel-efficiency standards take effect. However, your choices will probably be very limited. It’s doubtful that a

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Dow, Oil and Gold all Doing Well.

Yesterday was beautiful in London. We wandered along the banks of the Thames and crossed Waterloo Bridge over to Covent Garden. Everywhere, people were sitting out on the grass… standing outside pubs… walking hand in hand. Everyone had the same idea – to take advantage of the nice weather before it goes away.

Last year, London had a beautiful summer too. But we were gone that week and missed it.

Alas, many of the best things in life are fleeting. And thankfully, so are the worst things.

What put us in such a reflective mood were yesterday’s news reports. The Dow rose again – up 19 points this time. Gold edged closer to the $1,000 mark – at $984. Oil traded at $68. And the dollar fell to only $1.43 against the euro.

These trends – not to mention the broad rise in commodities and stocks worldwide –

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