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Who Else Wants to Be Part of 2009’s Massive Money Migration?

Contrarian Profits (March 3rd, 2009) Writes:
HIDDEN VALUE

Dear Reader,

You must be sick of hearing about the bailouts by now.

We are.

The $700 billion TARP… the $786 billion Obama ‘stimulus’…  the $750 billion placed on hold, just in case the banks need it.

But there’s another little-known bailout we’d like to talk to you about today.

Some even consider it one of the secret reasons that the U.S. bailed out GM and Chrysler.

Pensions…

GM pays out around $7 billion a year to its retired employees. And it’s set to do that for the next ten years.

A few years ago, GM had assets of over $100 billion – more than enough to cover the benefits.

But after the rout in stocks in 2008 and early 2009, it’s unlikely that GM has the money to cover its pension obligations.

If GM goes bankrupt, its pensions would be taken over by the Pension Benefit Guarantee Corp (PBGC).

...

Make Sure Your Portfolio Is Ready For The Coming Commodity Rebound

Contrarian Profits (December 16th, 2008) Writes:
HIDDEN VALUE

Dear Value Seeker,

Sometimes words speak louder than actions.

Especially when it’s the Fed’s words.

Today, market watchers are on the lookout for clues about how the Fed is going to tackle deflation.

A rate cut of at least 0.5% is already in the can as far the pundits are concerned.

But with consumer prices plunging, investors expect the Fed to signal more emphasis on more unorthodox ways of ‘stimulating’ the economy.

According to MarketWatch, “The bottom line on Fed policy is supply of money. The Fed typically targets the price of money but, with the price so low, it will focus on increasing the quantity of money through its balance sheet.”

Not that the Fed hasn’t tried this already.

It has doubled the size of its balance sheet to over $2 trillion since September.

As Bud Conrad at Casey Research notes, “Mostly under the covers, [the Fed]

...

This year’s slump: More like 1929 or 1919?

Contrarian Profits (November 5th, 2008) Writes:
HIDDEN VALUE

Dear Friend,

Last night, America voted to put junior Illinois Senator Barack Obama in the White House.

“Change has come to America,” said Obama in last night’s victory speech.

He wants to restore patriotism and rebuild America, “calloused hand by calloused hand.”

According to Bloomberg, “Obama inherits the toughest environment for a new president since Franklin D. Roosevelt.”We don’t doubt it.

The 47-year-old faces a cracked financial system, an economic recession, a raging bear market in stocks and a trillion dollar budget deficit… for starters.

The economy is bigger than the president, says Andrew Gordon in Investor’s Daily Edge. And it is heading “irresistibly down”.

Nowhere is that more apparent than in the labor market.

The economy shed 157,000 non-farming jobs in October. And economists expect a similar rate of job losses in the coming months as the recession deepens.

—Special—

Generate

...

How To Profit As US Embraces Clean Energy

Sara Nunnally (November 5th, 2008) Writes:

Incoming president Barack Obama is expected to increase spending and provide new incentives to develop alternative energy. This provides a great opportunity for investors, says Sara Nunnally. She expects international companies like Acciona SA (MCE:ANA) from Spain to play a major role in expanding clean energy in the US.

This from Taipan Publishing’s emerging markets blog:

As climate change and energy independence have headlined a number of events during the past two years of presidential campaigning, I’m happy to see alternative energy back in the investment ring.

Surprisingly, many top-notch European companies see the U.S. as a major growth region for the renewable energy business, and they are coming over in droves to set up shop.

Let’s take a look at just one of the technologies that’s already being employed around the world: wind power.

The U.S. is in bad shape compared to the rest of the world. Some of the world’s

...

Retail Stocks Are Ripe For Shorting

Contrarian Profits (November 3rd, 2008) Writes:

Adam Lass says the vast majority of retailers are ripe for shorting as a new era of thrift grips the US. Aside from bargain stores like Wal-Mart (NYSE:WMT) and the 99 Cents Only Store (NYSE:NDN), Adam says investors should buy put options on retail firms. And the best time to do this is when they talk of “better times to come”…

This from Taipan Publishing:

’Tis the season of too damn many cocktail parties. I simply don’t have the stamina for so much small talk and gossip, and don’t much care for finger food – or weak drinks.

But this time of year they are simply unavoidable (i.e., my wife makes me go). And so, all too often, I am forced to put down my tumbler of 12-year old single malt and my dog-eared edition of Gibbon’s Decline and Fall, abandon my armchair,

...

Retail Stocks Are Ripe For Shorting

Contrarian Profits (November 3rd, 2008) Writes:

Adam Lass says the vast majority of retailers are ripe for shorting as a new era of thrift grips the US. Aside from bargain stores like Wal-Mart (NYSE:WMT) and the 99 Cents Only Store (NYSE:NDN), Adam says investors should buy put options on retail firms. And the best time to do this is when they talk of “better times to come”…

This from Taipan Publishing:

’Tis the season of too damn many cocktail parties. I simply don’t have the stamina for so much small talk and gossip, and don’t much care for finger food – or weak drinks.

But this time of year they are simply unavoidable (i.e., my wife makes me go). And so, all too often, I am forced to put down my tumbler of 12-year old single malt and my dog-eared edition of Gibbon’s Decline and Fall, abandon my armchair,

...

How to Find Hidden Profits Beyond the Headlines

Contrarian Profits (October 9th, 2008) Writes:

There's a lot of fear in the markets these days. Jittery investors are glued to the news, waiting for the next item to trigger a move in equities. But WaveStrength Options Weekly editor Adam Lass says the most important information is usually buried way below the headlines. He says checking these 'hidden' details is a great way for contrarian investors to find the big profit opportunities.

What Would You Ask Obama and McCain?

Justice Litle (October 3rd, 2008) Writes:

Justice Litle at Taipan Publishing has come up with a few 'fantasy' questions he'd like to ask the presidential candidates in their next debate. Of course, these would never pass the screening process. They are far to blunt for that.

The Dollar Can’t Survive This Crisis… Buy Gold Now

Justice Litle (September 30th, 2008) Writes:

Yesterday, traders sent the Dow down a record 777 points. Today, the mood is more upbeat. The Dow is up 363 points. Traders clearly still want to believe the government can still help sort out Wall Street's problems.

Justice Litle isn't fully sold of the bailout. But he says it isn't an option to let Mr. Market sort himself out this time: the US is too leveraged to follow Andrew Mellon's "liquidationist" approach during the Great Depression.

That's why the feds will do whatever it takes to prop up the system... and run the dollar into the ground. And that's why you should buy gold now.

5 Things You Need to Know about Paulson’s Bailout Plan

Justice Litle (September 23rd, 2008) Writes:

Make no mistake: we are in uncharted territory. Hank Paulson wants $700 billion of taxpayer’s money to buy up bad debt and ‘rescue’ the markets.Some lawmakers strongly opposed to the plan.

“The free market for all intents and purposes is dead in America,” said Senator Jim Bunning, Republican of Kentucky, on Friday.

Justice Litle says the plan is a minefield for investors. He says there are five things you need to know about the government bailout and what it means for your portfolio.

This from Taipan Publishing:

1) The bailout is one of staggeringly massive proportions.

As I write to you in the wee hours of Monday morning, prior to my transatlantic flight, the number being bandied about for the size of the bailout is $700 billion. Keep in mind, too, that this is an opening number. It doesn’t necessarily include relief for upside-down homeowners, strapped consumers, foreign banks or many other potential “extras” that …


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