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Why The IMF’s Decision To Agree A Latvian Bailout Programme Without Devaluation Is A Mistake

Edward Hugh (December 22nd, 2008) Writes:
The IMF finally announced it's Latvia "bailout" plan on Friday. The plan involves lending about €1.7 billion ($2.4 billion) to Latvia to stabilise the currency and financial support while the government implements its economic adjustment plan. The loan, which will be in the form of a 27-month stand-by arrangement, is still subject to final approval by the IMF's Executive Board but is likely to be discussed before the end of this year under the Fund's fast-track emergency financing procedures, and it is not anticipated that there will be any last minute hitches (although I do imagine some eyebrow raising over the decision to support the continuation of the Lat peg). The Latvian government admits that some of the IMF economists involved in the negotiations advocated a devaluation of the lat as a way of ammeliorating the ...
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Anders Aslund, Argentina, Australia, Baltic states, Baltics, Bank, bank bailout programmes;, Banking, ben bernanke, big banks, Bulgaria, Canada, Christoph Rosenberg, convulsions, Denmark, Dominique Strauss-Kahn, Economics, Edward Hugh, end-product, energy, Estonia, EUR, Europe, European, european commission, European Union, finance ministry, Frank Gill;, Frontier Markets, http, Hungary, Iceland, IMF's Executive Board;, IMF's;, International Bank for Reconstruction and Development, International Monetary Fund, Japan, Latvia, Latvian government, Lithuania, London, LVL;, Mexico, Moscow Times, New Zealand, Nordic Countries;, Norway, Oil, Parex Bank;, Peterson Institute, retail, Reuters, Riga, Russia, SEB, Spain, Standard;, Swedbank, Sweden, Swedish Government, Switzerland, The Moscow Times, Turkey, Ukraine, United States, USD, www.imf.org/external/np/sec/pr/2008/pr08310.htm;

That $25 Billion in Loans America’s “Big Three” Automakers Had Sought … It’s Now $34 Billion

Contrarian Profits (December 4th, 2008) Writes:

The U.S. “Big Three” of General Motors Corp. (GM), Ford Motor Co. (F), and Chrysler Corp. submitted their turnaround plans to Congress yesterday (Tuesday), hoping for approval of a massive loan package they say is central to their survival.

And while the plans include such politically palatable moves as salary cuts for top-tier executives, the sale of cushy corporate jets and the elimination of moribund brands, the three embattled U.S. automakers are also now seeking government aid of as much as $34 billion – which is as much as $9 billion more than the $25 billion figure that’s been on the table from the very beginning of the industry’s bid for bailout money.

Here’s the breakdown:

General Motors, the largest domestic automaker, said late yesterday that it is seeking as much as $18 billion to survive into 2010 – and that it needs $4 billion of that ...

Big Three Auto Companies Weighing How to Shed Weight for Gov’t Bailout

Contrarian Profits (December 3rd, 2008) Writes:

Two days before the chief executives of Detroit’s Big Three – General Motors Corp. (GM), Ford Motor Co. (F), and Chrysler Corp. – march back to Capitol Hill to again petition Congress for a $25 billion bailout, details about each company’s plan to scale back operations are emerging.

Each CEO – GM’s Richard Wagoner, Ford Chief Executive Alan Mulally and Chrysler’s Robert “Bob” Nardelli – left Washington D.C. two weeks ago scolded, and with a clear understanding that the government is expecting each company to shed costs and present forward-looking plans that prove taxpayer money will not be wasted.

Wagoner has been fuzzy on the company’s goal to cut at least $15 billion in costs, but few options have been ruled out.

GM could further reduce its North American workforce. It could eliminate and/or sell one or more of its brands. The primary name on the table is

...

Estonia’s Recession Deepens As Latvian Finances Struggle To Find Air

Manuel Alvarez-Rivera (November 14th, 2008) Writes:
Estonia's economy shrank again in the third quarter - by an annual 3.3 percent, thus clocking up the second-worst performance (after Latvia) in the 27 nation European Union, and offering us plenty of signs that the country's worst economic recession since 1994 is set to deepen. The contraction fulfils the basic technical criterion of recession since it follows a 1.1 percent fall in the second quarter according to data released by the statistics office yesterday (Thursday).With the global market crisis and credit crunch weighing on the world's leading economies, and especially with Germany - the eurozone's largest economy and principal economic powerhouse itself entering recession, the prospects for any export driven recovery have definitely now faded off into the distance. Estonia and Latvia now lead the Eastern European slowdown, following repeated warnings over the past year of about the risks ...
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Andres Sutt;, Baltic News Service;, Baltic states, Baltics, Bank, bank financial strength ratings;, Bank Of America, bank of america corp, Brussels, Capital Markets Commission;, central bank, central bank forecast;, currency board systems;, David Hauner;, Eastern Europe, eastern europe economy watch, Economics, Edgars Vaikulis, Eral Yilmaz;, Estonia, Europe, european commission, European Union, Germany, Ilmars Rimsevics;, International Monetary Fund, Ivars Godmanis, Jonathan Todd;, Karlis Leiskalns;, Latvia, Latvia's Financial and Capital Markets Commission;, Latvian Parliament;, Latvijas Krajbanka AS;, Latvijas Radio;, Lithuania, London, LVL;, Martin Lindpere;, Moody's Investors Service, Norvik Banka;, Parex Banka AS;, Reinoldijus Sarkinas;, Retail Sales, Russia, Swedish Government, United States, USD

Estonia’s Recession Deepens As Latvian Finances Struggle To Find Air

Manuel Alvarez-Rivera (November 14th, 2008) Writes:
Estonia's economy shrank again in the third quarter - by an annual 3.3 percent, thus clocking up the second-worst performance (after Latvia) in the 27 nation European Union, and offering us plenty of signs that the country's worst economic recession since 1994 is set to deepen. The contraction fulfils the basic technical criterion of recession since it follows a 1.1 percent fall in the second quarter according to data released by the statistics office yesterday (Thursday).With the global market crisis and credit crunch weighing on the world's leading economies, and especially with Germany - the eurozone's largest economy and principal economic powerhouse itself entering recession, the prospects for any export driven recovery have definitely now faded off into the distance. Estonia and Latvia now lead the Eastern European slowdown, following repeated warnings over the past year of about the risks ...
Tags for this Post:
Andres Sutt;, Baltic News Service;, Baltic states, Baltics, Bank, bank financial strength ratings;, Bank Of America, bank of america corp, Brussels, Capital Markets Commission;, central bank, central bank forecast;, currency board systems;, David Hauner;, Eastern Europe, eastern europe economy watch, Economics, Edgars Vaikulis, Eral Yilmaz;, Estonia, Europe, european commission, European Union, Germany, Ilmars Rimsevics;, International Monetary Fund, Ivars Godmanis, Jonathan Todd;, Karlis Leiskalns;, Latvia, Latvia's Financial and Capital Markets Commission;, Latvian Parliament;, Latvijas Krajbanka AS;, Latvijas Radio;, Lithuania, London, LVL;, Martin Lindpere;, Moody's Investors Service, Norvik Banka;, Parex Banka AS;, Reinoldijus Sarkinas;, Retail Sales, Russia, Swedish Government, United States, USD

Battalions of Troubles, Grim Choices

Sean Brodrick (September 19th, 2008) Writes:
 "When troubles come, they come not single spies, but in battalions." -- William ShakespeareThe “RTC-type” bailout of the financial industry proposed yesterday has expanded to a team effort by the Treasury, Federal Reserve, White House and Congress. As part of the effort, the Federal Reserve is shooting out money through a fire hose … Hoping to shore up confidence with a show of financial shock and awe, the Federal Reserve stunned investors before dawn on Thursday by announcing a plan to provide $180 billion to financial markets through lending programs operated by the European Central Bank and the central banks of Canada, Japan, Britain and Switzerland.This comes ON TOP of what Reuters estimates that … so far … are bailouts that put taxpayers on the hook for more than $900 billion!Add it all up, and we’re probably looking at $2 TRILLION ...

The Baltics, Lithuania, and Eastern Europe … redux

Claus Vistesen (July 30th, 2008) Writes:
Update added below (03.08.2008): New links and further discussion on this can be found in the update below. It really seems as if more than one eye is turning to the Baltics at the moment THE weather deities are extraordinarily generous at the moment here in Copenhagen and being cooped up in a 17m2 studio does not exactly inspire to being a good protestant. However, financial markets and news streams are serving up a nice batch of data points and being the wonk I am, I am keeping tap; even if the beaches of Zealand have (and will be) frequented more than a couple of times. Last time I had the Baltics under the spotlight I asked two overall questions. The first dealt with the extent to which the Baltics had entered a recession in the beginning of ...

The Baltics - Moving Closer to a Correction?

Claus Vistesen (July 30th, 2008) Writes:

By Claus Vistesen Copenhagen

Last time I had the Baltics under the spotlight I asked two overall questions. The first dealt with the extent to which the Baltics had entered a recession in the beginning of 2008 and the second question surrounded the risk of the Baltic pegs to the Euro. This time around and with the recent Q2 GDP release from Lithuania it would be nice to revisit the first of these questions. And with the market focus looking to shift from inflation to growth the second question is likely to become in vogue once again.

As the Q1 GDP numbers came in for the Baltics I concluded that it was very likely that the region had entered a recession. In light of the proverbial definition of a recession as a consecutive quarter contraction it seems clear the Lithuania managed to smartly skirt the recession

...

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