Five Ways To Profit From The Commodity Nobody Likes

Tony Daltorio, Investment U Research

Forget Superman… the real man of steel is Lakshmi Mittal, chairman of the world’s biggest steelmaker, Arcelor Mittal ADR (NYSE: MT).

Mittal has built an empire – and a personal fortune – by being optimistic when it comes to the global steel industry. And he still maintains that confidence today, recently going on record to say that global demand could rise by more than 10% in 2010.

Meanwhile, many of his peers in the industry sport trembling lower lips over their present and future.

Believe it or not, that ongoing debate matters to everybody, not just those investing directly in the commodity. Steel demand feeds into a huge range of sectors, so much so that many regard it as an important bellwether of industrial trends.

The Half-Empty, Steel Glass

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China’s $585 billion spending package is equivalent to the U.S. spending nearly $3 trillion in fiscal stimulus. Massive? You bet it is! Inflationary? Absolutely! A boost to the entire global economy? YES! -- LarryChina unveils stimulus package as growth slowsProgram will spend more than $585 billion to jump-start economyNovember 10, 2008 (MarketWatch) -- China unveiled on Sunday what it described as a "massive" economic stimulus package in an effort to reverse slowing economic growth in the world's most populous country.China's state-run news agency, Xinhua, said that the program will "will loosen credit conditions, cut taxes and embark on a massive infrastructure spending program in a wide-ranging effort to offset adverse global economic conditions by boosting domestic demand."The package is valued at about 4 trillion yuan ($586 billion), to be spent over the next two years.Resource stocks on fire as

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Tontine PartnersTontine Capital Partners - Holding AnalysisThis post is being written as part of HedgeFundBlogger.com's Investment Securities Tool which analyzes the holdings of hedge fund managers.If you're unfamiliar with Gendell and his Tontine Partners, then here's what you need to know. Founded 11 years ago, Tontine is a $10 billion fund ran by Jeffrey Gendell. He specializes in macro investing and takes very large, concentrated positions in companies he feels will benefit from those macro themes. Additionally, he will take on an activist role when necessary, to ensure shareholder returns. The fund has posted returns in excess of 100% in both 2003 and 2005.So, let's get right down to it... what was Jeffrey Gendell ...

Merrill Lynch is out with a bullish Fertilizer call noting the recent sharp fall in fertilizer sector valuation multiples is unprecedented, with share prices down 44% since peaking in mid-June. Firm attributes most of the decline to investor fears that the commodity boom is over as the dollar has weakened and energy prices have declined sharply. While corn prices have declined 31% since their flood-induced late-June peaks, fears of demand destruction from high fertilizer prices appear overblown. US corn growers would still be profitable with fertilizer costs twice current levels, by firm's calculations.For the last month they have been saying that fertilizer valuations indicate that the market believes that earnings will peak in 2009 and decline rapidly thereafter. With little new supply set to come on line before 2011-12 depending on the nutrient and with a likely multi-year grain cycle sustaining high demand levels they believe that peak ...

Several Money Morning readers have written to ask about steel-sector stocks, which have taken investors on a roller-coaster ride in the past year. After analyzing the sector, I came to one very strong conclusion: With its terrific fundamentals, Nucor Corp. (NYSE: NUE) is poised for significant gains. Steel stocks, which had seen a 36% climb this year, have sold off dramatically and are now down about 16% for the year.  That’s a 42% drop from their peak. Wow! Shares of the Charlotte, N.C.-based Nucor could not escape the carnage and have endured an even bigger swing: From their low of $50.30 a share in early January, the shares of the No. 1 U.S. steelmaker soared 66% to a trade at a high of $83.56. From their peak, Nucor’s shares have declined 42%, closing Friday at $48.45. They’re down 18% for the ...

There are a variety of media reports this weekend exploring the issue of thieves who are absconding with beer kegs and taking them to scrap metal yards where they can receive upwards of $50 for an empty keg. One report discussed how some manhole covers have even disappeared.