Obama defends his policies…Commodity currencies should outperform…Global Power Shift Index…And Now… Today’s Pfennig!

Good day… And happy Thursday to everyone! Hope everyone made it through the ‘hump day’ with no worries. We started the morning here with rainshowers, but it ended up being a beautiful afternoon and evening. Currency markets were similar to the weather here, as most currencies started Wednesday in the loss column vs. the US$, but rallied as the day progressed. The dollar had strengthened over the past couple of days due to ’safe haven’ demand; but a surprisingly strong durable goods number (ex autos) combined with an ‘all clear’ signal from President Barack Obama had investors moving back into riskier assets. The commodity based currencies also got a boost as China signaled it would maintain an accommodative policy, easing speculation that the Bank of China would try to rein in bank lending. Lots to cover today, so

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Gold rose on Thursday as the dollar fell versus a basket of currencies, with rebounding stock markets and U.S. jobless figures showing a decline in continuing claims boosting appetite for assets seen as higher risk.

U.S. data showed the number of U.S. workers filing new claims for jobless benefits rose slightly more than expected last week, but a gauge of underlying labor trends fell for a fifth straight week.

Spot gold was bid at $933.50 an ounce at 1311 GMT, against $929.00 an ounce late in New York on Wednesday. U.S. gold futures for August delivery on the COMEX division of the New York Mercantile Exchange rose $6.20 to $933.40 an ounce.

“If this is welcomed by the equities market and triggers a fresh boost, that could benefit gold,” said CMC Markets strategist Ashraf Laidi.

The dollar was down 0.39 percent at 79.3 against a basket of currencies and was lower against the euro following the

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The low for gold was at the Sydney open, and from there it rose slowly and steadily through Far East, London and Comex trading in New York. The high came in electronic trading about an hour after the Comex close. Gold managed to make it to $928…but was not allowed a sniff of $930 yesterday. Maybe today.

Although trading appeared quiet, the usual N.Y. commentator said otherwise…”Today’s up $5 June gold Comex close [at $926.70] was quietly dramatic. A rally effort on the Comex open was contained under $3 on very heavy volume [41,523 lots estimated by 9 a.m.]. Very powerful attempts to move gold up after 12 noon were also blocked. Estimated volume jumped 25.6% in the 12 noon/1 p.m. space for a totally reversed gain of $2. An astonishing 36.4% [20,000 contracts] leap in estimated volume between 1 p.m. and the close [less than a tenth of the trading

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Gold was little changed in Europe on Monday, consolidating after last week’s more than 3 percent rise, with strong demand for physical investment products such as gold-backed exchange-traded funds supporting prices.

The closure of the U.S. markets for the Presidents Day holiday is likely to keep traders on the sidelines this session.

Spot gold was little changed at $940.20/942.20 an ounce at 1233 GMT from $939.40 late in New York late on Friday.

Bullion prices rose nearly $30 an ounce last week as concern over the economic outlook and turmoil in the financial sector prompted investors to buy the metal as a haven from risk.

Wolfgang Wrzesniok-Rossbach, head of sales at precious metals group Heraeus, said however that with jewellery demand soft, gold was likely to consolidate before its next leg higher.

“The trend for the next hours and days is probably

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Russia's currency reserves, the third-biggest in the world, are falling steadily as tumbling oil prices and an exodus of capital are piling the pressure on the central bank and government policymakers to accept a devaluation in the ruble. Oil prices which are now down 60% from their july peak, slowing economic growth and increasing investor concern are steadily draining Russia's foreign exchange reserves, which fell 19 percent (to $484.6 billion) in the 12 weeks through Oct. 31. This is down from $598.1 billion in the week before the invasion of Southern Ossetia.Russia had been using the reserves to try and contain the upward movement in the ruble was thought to present a threat to the competitiveness of exports. But resistance is now becoming increasingly difficult in the fact of a 13 percent drop against the dollar since August 1.Bank Rossii began managing the ruble's exchange rate ...