By Cees Bruggemans, Chief Economist FNB.

SARB Governor Marcus today announced no change to interest rates, following a two day meeting of the Monetary Policy Committee.

Though there was a tremendous change in presentation style, there was none in policy substance.

The Governor presented her MPC team upfront and it was clear that wide-ranging discussions had taken place to come to the policy decision that was unanimously taken.

Thus there is a clear sense of institutional continuity that no doubt will be widely welcomed by financial markets.

As to the actual decision of leaving interest rates unchanged, it very much focused on the level and behaviour of inflation over the coming year, and the risks to this outlook.

The Governor described CPI inflation as likely hovering around 6% through the coming two years, probably just with the 3%-6% target zone, going by the MPC statement.

The Governor repeatedly emphasized

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By Cees Bruggemans, Chief Economist FNB.

After a great fall (2008), success in arresting the fall and stabilizing the economy on a low level of capacity utilization (2009), growth prospects tend to be very promising as slack resources as well as new inputs will be available to be put to work. Demand needs to grow in order to put such available resources to work.

Potentially this will be so for years to come (2010-2020) as any new supply imbalances eventually ending the next growth expansion (balance of payments, inflation) could remain manageable for the time being.

This, in a nutshell, is the case for growth.

It then gets better, but it also gets worse. For the global environment looks even better than this simple base case, offering piggyback opportunities for small open economies like ourselves.

This very favourable global environment, however, may also prove to offer a too rich

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For Immediate Release

Chicago, IL – November 12, 2009 – Zacks.com announces the list of stocks featured in the Analyst Blog. Every day the Zacks Equity Research analysts discuss the latest news and events impacting stocks and the financial markets. Stocks recently featured in the blog include: Vodafone Group Plc (VOD), Telefonica (TEF), Deutsche Telekom (DT), France Telecom (FTE) and Verizon (VZ).

Get the most recent insight from Zacks Equity Research with the free Profit from the Pros newsletter: http://at.zacks.com/?id=5513

Here are highlights from Wednesday’s Analyst Blog:

Vodafone Profit Leaps, Lifts Savings

Vodafone Group Plc (VOD), the largest wireless carrier in the world by revenue, has announced interim results for fiscal year 2010 with adjusted net income of £4.58 billion (US$7.3 billion) increasing 15% year over year from £3.99 billion (US$6.4 billion) reported a year

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A Green Energy Investing Guideline

by Louise Harris, Investment U Research

Typically, when investors think about making money from climate change, they think about buying shares of companies that specialize in biofuels or alternative or green energy.

But those aren’t the only ways to profit from the green movement.

Deutsche Bank Group (NYSE: DB) recently conducted in-depth research, analyzing climate change and the cost of combating it. And a few very interesting conclusions came from it…

More capital is required to mobilize climate change industries and more action by government is required to attract capital. When governments offer tax incentives and create integrated plans to combat climate change, investors are attracted. Carbon markets could offer long-term solutions to investors trying to find a niche in the climate change debate.

And there are countries out there doing just that.

The Greenest Countries

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Interactive Data Corporation (IDC) continues to expand its solutions and services. The leading provider of financial market data recently declared that its Real-Time Services business has added new market data coverage to PlusFeed, its low-latency, consolidated global datafeed. The company has also added different emerging market exchanges to PlusFeed services.  Interactive Data has added exchanges like National Commodity & Derivatives Exchange ( India ) in its Level 1 data services and Micex ( Russia ) Level 2 data services, as well as depth-of-market data for Johannesburg ( South Africa ) and Bombay ( India ) Stock Exchanges. Coverage of the Tokyo Financial Exchange ( Japan ) has also been added.  This apart, a few weeks back the company announced that its Pricing and Reference Data service business has enhanced the horizon of the interest rate swap valuation service. This service is of special help to clients, since it ...

Vodafone Group Plc (VOD), the largest wireless carrier in the world by revenue, has announced interim results for fiscal year 2010 with adjusted net income of £4.58 billion (US$7.3 billion) increasing 15% year over year from £3.99 billion (US$6.4 billion) reported a year ago, driven by favorable exchange rate movements and reduced tax. Adjusted earnings exclude one-time items such as impairment losses. Group Revenue & EBITDA The telecom giant reported consolidated revenues of £21.8 billion (US$34.8 billion) for the period, representing a 9.3% year over year growth. Favorable exchange rate (euro-sterling) swings and net impact of merger and acquisition initiatives contributed to this growth. Excluding these impacts (organic basis), revenue declined 3% year over year. Group service revenue declined 2.6% year over year on an organic basis to £20.5 billion (US$32.7 billion), primarily due to weaker contributions from European markets as recessionary conditions curbed demand ...

By Cees Bruggemans, Chief Economist FNB.

The SARB leading indicator peaked at 127.2 in March 2007, thereafter declining for two years, initially gradually during 2007 but acquiring freefall proportions in 2008.

This indicator hit a cyclical low of 105.3 in March 2009, thereafter rising very rapidly to 112.5 by August 2009.

Given the events of 2008 and early 2009, there presumably exists no surprise regarding the indicator’s freefall in 2008. But what has made it rise so phoenix-like rapidly since March this year?

As per the June 2007 issue of the SARB Quarterly Bulletin, this leading index today is a composite of twelve individual time series which together offer superior forward-looking ability regarding the South African business cycle, leading turning points by some six to nine months.

The twelve time series can be grouped in four distinct sub-categories, each making a peculiar contribution to the behaviour of the composite

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The last week of October was a tense time for the bureaucrats at Minprirody, Russia's Ministry for the Protection of the Environment and Natural Resources, and naturally for Minister Yuri Petrovich Trutnev. He went all the way to Cape Town, South Africa to participate in the work of the eighth session of the mixed intergovernmental committee for trade and economic cooperation between the Russian Federation and the Republic of South Africa.

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From there, a mad dash to Namibia, to a meeting with Namibian President H. Pohamba and Prime Minister N. Angula, as well as with first president S. Nujoma and Minister of Mines and Energy E. Nghimtina.

And it wasn't questions

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For Immediate Release

Chicago, IL – November 10, 2009 – Zacks.com announces the list of stocks featured in the Analyst Blog. Every day the Zacks Equity Research analysts discuss the latest news and events impacting stocks and the financial markets. Stocks recently featured in the blog include: Freeport-McMoRan (FCX), Barrick Gold Corp. (ABX), Deutsche Telekom (DT), AT&T (T) and Verizon (VZ).

Get the most recent insight from Zacks Equity Research with the free Profit from the Pros newsletter: http://at.zacks.com/?id=5513

Here are highlights from Monday’s Analyst Blog:

No Inflation Problem

How, then, does one explain the recent move in the price of gold to over $1,100 an ounce? Historically, gold has been seen as the ultimate inflation hedge. Its rise over the past year to record nominal levels (it would have to roughly double to match its inflation-adjusted

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Analytically, there are three components to an interest rate. The first is the risk that the money will not be paid back. This is a very big factor when dealing with corporate bonds, especially junk bonds. For the U.S. government's obligations, as the owner of a nice shiny printing press that can always be turned on to pay back any obligation denominated in dollars, that part is assumed to be zero. The second part is expected inflation. After all, if you decide that you want to consume something later, rather than today, and thus decide to save and invest your money, you want to be sure the dollar you put away today buys at least as much in, say, ten years that it does today. If you expect that it will buy less bread, gasoline and clothing in ten years, then you would demand a higher interest rate ...