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With Its Economy Ignited by Stimulus Spending, China Is Leading the Global Recovery

Contrarian Profits (August 3rd, 2009) Writes:

China’s economy grew by 7.9% in the second quarter, exceeding most analysts’ expectations, and lending credence to Beijing’s goal of 8% annual growth. Now, with the nation awash in liquidity and the economy picking up steam, the only task ahead of the central government is deciding when to rein in lending and let the economy stand on its own two feet.

The momentum behind China’s economy is staggering.

China is increasingly becoming a responsible citizen in the global community,” economist Allen Sinai of Decision Economics told The Associated Press. “No longer lawless, no longer difficult to deal with, much more responsible. It is now a powerhouse among economies and finance. And it’s a rich country.”

In just the past few weeks, two of the world’s key global institutions – the World Bank and the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) – and a large swath of investment banks raised their 2009

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Video-o-rama: Fresh wave of risk aversion

Prieur du Plessis (July 10th, 2009) Writes:

The first few days of the week have been characterized by a fresh wave of risk aversion as uncertainty over the global economic outlook took its toll on stock markets and investors favored safe-haven assets such as government bonds, the US dollar and Japanese yen. However, yesterday brought some relief for risky assets - now in corrective mode - and it remains to be seen whether the S&P 500 Index will close down for a fourth consecutive week as the US earnings season gets on the way.

The usual debate on the outlook for the economy and financial markets dominated the video channels over the past few days, but interesting snippets on the IMF’s improved forecast for the global economy, the viability of the Public-Private Investment Program (PPIP), the US dollar’s role as reserve currency, the prospects for the earnings-reporting season and President Obama’s visit to Russia were also

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ABC, Allen Sinai, Allen Sinia, America, Andrew Freris, Art Cashin, Bank, Barack Obama, Bianco Research;, bloomberg, BNP Paribas Wealth Management, Boone Pickens, BP Capital, Bryan Marsal;, ceo, Chairman, chairman and chief investment officer, Charlie Rose, chief economist, Chris Giles;, Cnbc, Cumblerland Advisors, Daniel Garrahan, David Kotok, David Rosenberg, Deputy Treasury Secretary, Dow 30, Dylan Ratigan, Federal Reserve System, Financial Times, foreign oil, Gbp, head of floor, head of floor operations, International Monetary Fund, invesment strategist, investment editor, investment postcards, Italy, Jeff Saut;, Jeffrey Saut, Jim Bianco;, Jim DeMint, John Authers, Lehman Brothers, Lehman Brothers Holdings, Market Commentary, Martha Raddatz, Martin Soong, Merrill Lynch, Michael Mandelbaum, Oil Speculation, Oliver Blanchard, Olivier Blanchard;, Peter Cook;, Peter Peterson;, president, Professor, Professor and Director, Raymond James, Roger Altman, Ron Paul, Russia, Russia, Sam Stovall, Senate, Sinai;, Sp 500, The Financial Times, the Johns Hopkins University;, The Macro Trader, UBS, United Kingdom, United States, Wilbur Ross;, WL Ross & Co, Yahoo

Homebuilders Still Ripe To Short In 2009

Contrarian Profits (November 20th, 2008) Writes:

Expect more pain in the housing market next year, says Don Miller. Rising unemployment will keep the foreclosures coming. And as the backlog of inventories swells, Don says homebuilders still look ripe for shorting in this environment.

This from Money Morning:

The U.S. housing market is already being pounded by the “perfect storm.” And the outlook for the New Year is for the stormy weather to continue – and probably to get worse.

As if a locked-up credit market and tidal waves of foreclosures weren’t already enough, we’re now watching unemployment climb and consumer confidence plunge.

But even when the housing market is taking on water, there are ways to stay afloat. Indeed, investors nimble enough to maneuver can even make money.

The watchword on this market, though, is caution.  If an investor decides to test the waters, beware of the extraordinary financial undertow.

Here’s a look at what’s happening now, and

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