China’s Massive Shell Game is a Cautionary Tale for Investors
Irwin Greenstein (January 6th, 2009) Writes:
When China announced its colossal $600-billion stimulus package back in November, we cautioned investors against irrational exuberance on the overall impact it would have on commodities, stocks and heavy equipment.
Now that the dust has cleared, it appears that the China plan is not entirely as big as advertised — further diminishing the halo effect on the global economy.
When originally unveiled, China’s $600-billion plan proposed a massive infrastructure build-out through 2010 to help create jobs and shift the country away from it’s over-reliance on exports, which have suffered from the global recession.
The announcement was framed as a brand-new initiative. The blueprint China laid out before the world included projects for low-cost housing, airports, roads, highways and aid to farmers. Pundits saw the investment by China as an overnight boom for raw materials, although we took a wait-and-see approach.
Asian stock markets surged on news. Japan’s Nikkei index jumped 5.8% while Hong Kong’s
...Beijing, China, contrarian profits, Hang Seng 40, Heavy Equipment, Hong Kong, Japan, Ken Peng;, Market Commentary, Merrill Lynch, Nikkei 225, Reuters, Shanghai Citigroup;, Sichuan, Ting Lu;, USD


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