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Gold Eases as Dollar Recovers after U.S. Data

Contrarian Profits (August 26th, 2009) Writes:

Gold eased on Wednesday, giving up earlier gains, as the dollar recovered losses against the euro after U.S. durable goods data failed to impress, tempering appetite for the metal as an alternative asset.

But prices remained rangebound as traders awaited clearer direction from the currency markets.

Spot gold was bid at $941.80 an ounce at 1523 GMT, against $943.55 an ounce late in New York on Tuesday. Earlier it rose as high as $949.85.

U.S. gold futures for December delivery on the COMEX division of the New York Mercantile Exchange were down $1.8 at $944.20 an ounce.

“We are probably going to stay fairly rangebound,” said Standard Bank analyst Walter de Wet. “We would have to see some decent dollar weakness for gold to move above $956-960.”

The dollar rose versus the euro and a currency basket, reversing early losses, after durable goods numbers from the United States.

The data showed June orders for durable goods, excluding transportation,

...

Global Stocks Slide as Data Renews Recovery Doubts

Contrarian Profits (August 26th, 2009) Writes:

World stocks slid on Wednesday after a mixed report on U.S. durable goods orders reignited doubts about economic recovery while oil prices fell on news of rising U.S. crude stockpiles.

The U.S. dollar gained, retracing the week’s losses, as the durables goods report for July eroded risk appetite and prompted investors to seek shelter in the safe-haven greenback.

Orders for long-lasting manufactured goods registered the biggest advance since July 2007, but excluding transportation goods, orders for durables were slightly below expectations.

Slippage among global stocks that climbed to 10-month highs this week boosted money flows into less risky assets, such as European government bonds, which also gained from some modest month-end buying, traders said.

Economic data in Europe showed further signs of recovery, as did a report showing U.S. new home sales jumped in July to their fastest pace in 10 months.

But a key measure of U.S. business demand — nondefense capital goods, excluding

...

Gold Slips More than 1 Percent as Dollar Rises

Contrarian Profits (July 6th, 2009) Writes:

Gold slid more than 1 percent on Monday as a stronger dollar dented interest in the metal as an alternative asset, with investors buying the currency as a safe store of value amid fears over the economic outlook.

Strength in the U.S. unit kept most dollar-priced commodities under pressure as it made them more expensive for holders of other currencies, analysts said.

Spot gold was bid at $921.20 an ounce at 1507 GMT, against $932.30 an ounce late in New York on Friday.

U.S. gold futures for August delivery on the COMEX division of the New York Mercantile Exchange fell $9.70 from Thursday’s close to $921.30 an ounce.

“There is a sell-off with the dollar strength,” said Standard Bank analyst Walter de Wet. “Gold is holding up quite well, compared to the other commodities. At these levels, we might see some physical buying.”

He said while this may lend support to prices, a break of the $920-922

...

Gold Falls Under $925 as Dollar Gains Broadly

Contrarian Profits (June 30th, 2009) Writes:

Gold fell to a one-week low on Tuesday, dropping sharply as the dollar strengthened broadly and crude oil prices tumbled, reducing the metal’s appeal as an inflation hedge.

Spot gold was bid at $925.20 by 1520 GMT after hitting an intra-day low of $922.60, the lowest since June 24. Earlier it hit a high of $944.70.

The precious metal reversed earlier gains when the dollar, which has been under pressure, gained against a basket of currencies after U.S. consumer confidence data.

“Obviously, in these days where everything is linked together, from crude prices to the price of gold, any change to people’s view of the economy and inflation expectations will cause a reaction,” said Ole Hansen, an analyst at Standard Bank.

Adding to the bearish signals for gold prices, crude oil dropped nearly 3 percent.

While investing in gold is usually seen as a hedge against risk, a strengthening dollar makes it relatively more expensive for holders

...

Oil Tanks

Doug Casey (March 3rd, 2009) Writes:

In the energy market on Monday, crude for April delivery fell $4.61 to close at $40.15/barrel. April reformulated gasoline finished at $1.3725/gallon.

Crude’s plunge of 10.3% marked the biggest one-day percentage drop for a front-month contract since Jan. 7.

“The market is fearful to hold anything long at this point for fear of demand drying up,” said Zachary Oxman, senior trader at Wisdom Financial. “The market seems to be destroying the new longs from last week and putting in some new reversal short trades.”

“Oil is falling because of the concerns over the latest AIG bailout and the economic turmoil that is being caused by it,” said Phil Flynn, vice president at Alaron Trading. “Also we are seeing a flight to Treasurys and the dollar because of the fears of instability in Europe.”

On the supply side, Iran’s oil minister said Sunday that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries has no

...

Gold Falls 2 % as Investors Cash in on Gains

Contrarian Profits (February 9th, 2009) Writes:

The Markets await the Obama economic stimulus and bank rescue plans…  AngloPlat reports higher earnings but flags up cost fears… Johnson Matthey (JMAT) sees 2009 platinum demand declining 5 pct…

This from Reuters, London:

Gold fell nearly 2 percent in Europe on Monday as investors took profits after recent gains, amid disappointment the metal had failed to beat resistance near $930 an ounce last week.

Spot gold slipped to $895.65/897.65 an ounce at 1446 GMT, down from $911.70 in New York late on Friday. Earlier it touched a low of $893.15.

U.S. gold futures for April delivery on the COMEX division of the New York Mercantile Exchange fell $16.30 to $897.60 an ounce.

“There has been some profit taking and disappointment we couldn’t break through $930, even with strong demand from ETFs,” said Commerzbank senior trader Michael Kempinski.

Signs of a recovery in

...

Gold Dips on Stronger Dollar, Rate Cuts Awaited

Contrarian Profits (December 4th, 2008) Writes:

Dollar firms vs euro; ECB seen cutting rates by 50 bp… Oil slides as demand woes outweigh U.S. stockpile dip… ZKB platinum ETF holdings rise 27 pct

Gold slipped in Europe on Thursday as the dollar firmed against the euro ahead of an expected rate cut by the European Central Bank later in the session, and oil prices fell $1 a barrel.

Investors are eyeing rate cuts this session from both the ECB and the Bank of England and key U.S. jobs data on Friday for clues as to the future direction of trade.

Spot gold slid to $769.25/771.25 an ounce at 1000 GMT from $772.60 an ounce in New York late on Wednesday.

“With a lower euro-dollar and lower oil, gold is pressured a bit,” Commerzbank senior trader Michael Kempsinki said. “Around $735, $750, we should see some good buying interest coming into the

...

More Bloodletting in Base Metals

Doug Casey (October 17th, 2008) Writes:

The base metals were mostly bloodied again on Thursday. Copper rallied during the pre-dawn hours, but failed to hold its gains as it was off steeply beginning with the New York open, and finished just off its intraday low at $2.1153/lb., down nearly 10¼ cents.

Nickel plunged at the NY open, falling well below the $5 mark, and even a late day rally left it still short of that level, at $4.8844/lb., down almost 25 cents. Zinc was off from the pre-dawn hours to mid-morning, then pushed slightly higher to close at $0.5253/lb., down 4½ cents. Aluminum bucked the trend by moving slowly higher through the day, ending at $0.9675/lb., up better than a penny and a half, while lead took a beating, shedding nearly 6 cents cents, to $0.6163/lb.

Copper dropped to its low point since January 2006, as uncertainties about the economic future once again dominated trading.

There’s not much optimism

...

Surprise Rejection of Bailout Causes Record Decline in U.S. Stocks

Contrarian Profits (September 30th, 2008) Writes:

In a move that will reverberate from Wall Street to Main Street, the U.S. House of Representatives yesterday (Monday) voted to reject a compromise $700 billion banking-bailout bill, an act of stunning defiance that eradicated $1.2 trillion in shareholder wealth as U.S. stocks endured their biggest one-day point loss in history.


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