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Today in Russian Business – October 15, 2009

Robert Amsterdam (October 15th, 2009) Writes:
Avtovaz is on the brink of bankruptcy, Sergei Stepashin, the head of State Audit Chamber has informed Reuters.  Russia's government has stepped up the pressure on Renault to assist its embattled partner to stay afloat.  According to Ria-Novosti, the Industry Ministry has concluded that the government should not bail out the Lada-maker.  Industry and Trade Minister Viktor Khristenko has apparently said that sales of passenger cars may drop by 60% this year.  Finance Minister Alexei Kudrin has been quoted in Forbes as saying that the ruble is likely to remain stable over the next three years, but the issue of joblessness will prevail for at least a year.  The Federal Court Marshals Service is teaming up with Sberbank to create a new way of facilitating debt payments - allowing individuals to pay off loans via ATMs.  Kraft Foods has ...

As S&P Cut The Credit Rating, Russia’s Crisis Wends On Down Its Long Winding Road

Edward Hugh (October 22nd, 2008) Writes:
Russia's long-term sovereign credit rating outlook was lowered yesterday (Thursday) - to negative - by Standard & Poor's Ratings Services due to their assessment that the cost of the government's "bank rescue operation'' may increase. S&P cut their outlook from stable, a move which reflects the increased probability of a downgrade at some point in the future. Russia has committed as much as 15 percent of gross domestic product in budgetary and reserve funds to maintain banking liquidity, according to calculations made by the rating agency. At the same time S&P affirmed Russia's BBB+ long-term foreign currency and the A- long-term local currency ratings and the short-term ratings of A-2.``We expect Russian corporate and financial sector default rates to increase asdebtors' access to official funds will vary,'' S&P said in the statement.``Other uncertainties remain regarding what the economic policy response will ...
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Fostering Interdependence

Robert Amsterdam (October 13th, 2008) Writes:
This idea comes from a column by Aleh Tsyvinski in the Moscow Times: Trying to erect an Iron Curtain around Russian funds and businesses will prove counterproductive. Indeed, a large-scale "invasion" of Russian business would be a positive development, because it would foster economic interdependence. This is true even if the economic expansion is led by state-owned companies and by Russian wealth funds. By investing in U.S. and European assets, Russia's government and business elites are buying a stake in the global economy. This should bring better mutual understanding and a more rational and accountable foreign policy. Sure, sounds great, but what kind of companies are we talking about, and who would the prospective owners be? The private sector getting into debt markets, or some yet to be created Ministry of Foreign Holdings looking for energy and defense? Most importantly, exactly who is refusing investment from abroad right now ...

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