Dollar rises to 3-week high vs euro on stimulus hopes… Oil prices fail to hold gains above $48 a barrel…  Abu Dhabi Dec gold sales fall 40 pct month on month.

Gold slid more than 3 percent in Europe on Monday as the strengthening dollar knocked the metal’s appeal as a currency hedge, and oil prices retreated from highs.

Other precious metals tumbled in gold’s wake, with silver falling 8 percent, platinum 3 percent and palladium 6 percent.

Spot gold was quoted at $851.65/853.65 an ounce at 1445 GMT, down from $873.20 an ounce late in New York on Friday, having touched a session low of $843.50.

U.S. gold futures for February delivery on the COMEX division of the New York Mercantile Exchange were down $26.60 at $852.90 an ounce, having earlier touched a low of $843.50.

“The dollar is the critical factor today,”

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India started the year on an actionable note by sharply cutting interest rates and unveiling another stimulus package. The Reserve Bank of India lowered its repurchase rate by one percentage point to 5.5%, and lowered the reverse-repurchase rate by one percentage point to 4%.

As part of its stimulus plan, the government eased inflation controls and raised the overseas investment limit to $15 billion from $6 billion. India’s federal government also green-lighted state-level initiatives to raise an additional $6.18 billion (300 billion rupees) in the year to March 31 for infrastructure projects such as roads, schools and hospitals.

The government will also offer $4.12 billion (200 billion) rupees to state-run banks and $5.15 billion (250 billion rupees) to non-bank finance companies to raise capital, The Wall Street Journal reported.

To make this possible, India lowered the cash reserve ratio – the proportion of deposits banks are required

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by Edward Hugh: BarcelonaIndian inflation fell back again in the last week of October, as energy and commodity prices continued to fall, and the impact of the global financial turmoil and credit crunch ricocheted its way across one country after another. The IMF last week forecast annual growth for India of 6.3% in 2008 while India's manufacturing expansion, which continued to weaken, still held out against the global trend, according to the latest JPMorgan global manufacturing PMI.So, as we enter November, and a number of Indian indicators start to improve, it is certainly worth asking ourselves, has India turned the corner? Will India lead the emerging markets charge during the next global expansion?I am not, I am sure, alone in feeling that this is a distinct possibility, and, indeed, a similar view was expressed only last week by Sharmila Whelan, senior economist at CLSA ...

Indian inflation fell back again in the last week of October, as energy and commodity prices continued to fall, and the impact of the global financial turmoil and credit crunch ricocheted its way across one country after another. The IMF last week forecast annual growth for India of 6.3% in 2008 while India’s manufacturing expansion, which continued to weaken, still held out against the global trend, according to the latest JPMorgan global manufacturing PMI.

So, as we enter November, and a number of Indian indicators start to improve, it is certainly worth asking ourselves, has India turned the corner? Will India lead the emerging markets charge during the next global expansion?

I am not, I am sure, alone in feeling that this is a distinct possibility, and, indeed, a similar view was expressed only last week by Sharmila Whelan, senior economist at CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets.

“We do expect the Indian business cycle to

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Indian inflation slowed back again in the last week of October, as the impact of the global financial turmoil and credit crunch continued to ricochet from one country after another. The IMF forecast annual growth for India of 6.3% in 2008 while India manufacturing expansion, while continuing to weaken, holds out against the trend. As we enter November, and a number of indicators start to improve it is certainly worth asking ourselves, has India turned the corner? Will India lead the emerging markets charge during the next global expansion?I am not, I am sure, alone in feeling this, and a similar view was expressed during the last week by Sharmila Whelan, senior economist at CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets.``We do expect the Indian business cycle to be the first to bottom in Asia. And, it should, in theory, be first to emerge,'' Sharmila Whelan, senior economist at CLSA, ...

India’s central bank yesterday (Monday) unexpectedly lowered its base lending rate for the first time since 2004 – a move that signals that India Reserve Bank Governor Duvvuri Subbarao sees weaker growth and the credit crisis as bigger threats than inflation in Asia’s third-largest economy. The Reserve Bank of India cut its overnight lending rate from 9% to 8%, according to a government statement issued in Mumbai yesterday. The “surprise move” that came days before a regularly scheduled meeting of its policy board came after India’s central bank reduced the cash reserve ratio by 2.5 percentage points to 6.5% – retroactive to Oct. 11, Bloomberg News and MarketWatch.com both reported. The so-called “repurchase rate” is the discount rate at which India’s central bank lends money to commercial banks to infuse liquidity into the market. India’s rupee ...

Inflation is no loger the greatest threat to the short term health of the Indian economy. The global credit crunch has now taken over poll position on the list of worries which are likely to determine the evolution of policy over at the Reserve Bank of India. India's inflation continues to slow and hit a four-month low at the start of October, giving the central bank room to keep injecting cash into the financial system without fanning prices.Wholesale prices rose 11.44 percent in the week to Oct. 4 from a year earlier after gaining 11.8 percent in the previous week, according to data from the commerce ministry last week.

Weaker price gains and a shortage of money in the banking system have allowed the central bank to shift its focus from fighting inflation to stimulating an already slowing economy.

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Inflation is no loger the greatest threat to the short term health of the Indian economy. The global credit crunch has now taken over poll position on the list of worries which are likely to determine the evolution of policy over at the Reserve Bank of India. India's inflation continues to slow and hit a four-month low at the start of October, giving the central bank room to keep injecting cash into the financial system without fanning prices.Wholesale prices rose 11.44 percent in the week to Oct. 4 from a year earlier after gaining 11.8 percent in the previous week, according to data from the commerce ministry last week.

Weaker price gains and a shortage of money in the banking system have allowed the central bank to shift its focus from fighting inflation to stimulating an already slowing economy.

...

by Edward Hugh: Barcelona India is in the middle of a storm at the moment, there can be no doubt about that. But the important point to note is that this storm is not of India's making. The financial turmoil in a number of key developed economies, and above all the United States, is sending shock waves across the global economy, and as is normal, when the earth trembles, it is the most fragile who notice it most. India's economy may be fragile in the sense that it is very vulnerable to what is colloqially known as global risk sentiment, but it is not fragile in terms of being susceptible to having its growth trajectory knocked completely off course. India may be shaken, but her economy will not be broken. Emerging Market Bonds Emerging-market bonds had their worst week in four years this week as the deepening credit crisis raised global recession concerns ...

by Edward Hugh: BarcelonaIndia is in the middle of a storm at the moment, there can be no doubt about that. But the important point to note is that this storm is not of India's making. The financial turmoil in a number of key developed economies, and above all the United States, is sending shock waves across the global economy, and as is normal, when the earth trembles, it is the most fragile who notice it most. India's economy may be fragile in the sense that it is very vulnerable to what is colloqially known as global risk sentiment, but it is not fragile in terms of being susceptible to having its growth trajectory knocked completely off course. India may be shaken, but her economy will not be broken.Emerging Market BondsEmerging-market bonds had their worst week in four years this week as the deepening ...