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Video-o-rama: Market Maelstrom

Prieur du Plessis (December 6th, 2008) Writes:

Another week and another batch of fascinating video clips about bailouts, economic woes and other crisis-related matters. As to be expected, the good-news videos are in rather short supply. A number of the more interesting clips that have attracted my attention are shared below.

Some of my favourites included in this compilation are: “Peter Schiff uses analogies to describe crisis” (first one up) and “Dr Doom [Marc Faber] - Buffett’s approach to investing is dead” (further down). If you want to view only two of these clips, make sure to see these two.

Please post any interesting video links that you would like to share with the Investment Postcards community, in the comments section.

YouTube: Peter Schiff uses analogies to describe crisis “Ron

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The Times, They Are A-Changin’

Contrarian Profits (November 21st, 2008) Writes:

President-elect Barack Obama is faced with the daunting challenge of fulfilling his campaign promises – promises he actually made, along with those that voters think he made.  Unfortunately, the latter category predominates.

The new president didn’t actually say much on the campaign trail, but he said it well. He invited Americans to dream, actually to fantasize, about an unreal world in which their government will care for them using its own unlimited supply of money – money that comes from some mysterious place that too few people have even thought about, much less understand.

Voters are said to have turned to the left, to liberal candidates, in part out of a desire to change the economy’s direction. Their choices at the polls are said to reflect their concern over the economy’s descent into recession, loss of jobs, and the collapse of their retirement accounts. These are legitimate and understandable concerns. Unfortunately,

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Swiss National Bank Cut Rates 100 BPS!

Contrarian Profits (November 20th, 2008) Writes:

Trading Theme returns…  Automakers’ bailout vote today…  Not using all your arrows…  Housing Starts go back to 1959! And Now… Today’s Pfennig!

OK… Whew! What an awful day yesterday for the currencies… In the morning, they ere in rally mode with the euro gaining ground to well within the 1.27 handle. But then the Trading Theme set in, and those gains were wiped out. The Trading Theme was set off by the awful Housing data, which reminded everyone of the deep, dark , dangerous days ahead… I bought some euros, and watched them rise, and went off to do something else… When I returned, they had fallen… UGH! The Japanese yen, however, rallied, as is the case with the Trading Theme… Risk trades get unwound, which benefits dollars, and yen. I’ve explained all this before, so I won’t get into it again, but there’s someone that has gone into the problems

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And Then There’s This…Wednesday, November 19th, 2008

Contrarian Profits (November 19th, 2008) Writes:

Gold had a nothing day yesterday, but most of the action it did have occurred on the Comex in New York, where an attempt to break through $740 was once again thwarted. Silver was where all the action was. After a 20 cent sell off on the Comex open, silver jumped up sixty cents from the bottom by lunchtime, but someone was there to put an end to this “irrational exuberance.”

Monday’s open interest numbers showed another substantial decrease in gold open interest…this time 4,551 contracts. But in silver, o.i. rose 1,191 contracts to 93,757. Was it short selling? I’ll let you know on Saturday morning.

Talking about silver, here’s a graph (courtesy of Gene Arensberg) showing Comex silver stocks from October 17th to November 17th. Since that graph was published early yesterday, Comex silver stocks have fallen again…this time by 314,095 troy ozs. to 128,720,340 troy ozs. Options expiry and first

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Guest Article: Why We Should Take a Solutions Approach to the Crisis and Look at Some Things Differently

Fred Fuld (November 17th, 2008) Writes:
Why We Should Take a Solutions Approach to the Crisis and Look at Some Things DifferentlyBy Peter Schiff, President of Euro Pacific Capital, Inc. Author of The Little Book of Bull Moves in Bear MarketsI don't think we're going to see any light at the end of the tunnel until we have a clear, objective understanding of how we got into this mess in the first place. There is a tendency whenever major problems occur in the economy to place blame on external factors and to assume that the external factors can be prevented from causing similar problems in the future by expanding the government's regulatory powers. The problem I have with this kind of thinking is that it makes government bigger and more intrusive without ever getting at the root of the problem, which is usually the government ...

The Fix Is In

Contrarian Profits (November 6th, 2008) Writes:

One of the follies of the Bush administration was the notion that the class of money-shufflers who got us into the credit crunch could somehow be trusted to get us out of it.  Which is what makes the Obama administration such a breath of fresh — oh, wait, never mind.

MSNBC reported last night that Obama is already getting advice from Ben Bernanke.  That ought to make you feel warm and fuzzy right there.

But wait, there’s more!  As of this writing it appears Lawrence Summers is the leading candidate for Treasury Secretary.  As in, the guy who was Clinton’s last Treasury Secretary.  So much for the promise of “no retreads” in an Obama administration.

I mean, Larry Summers?!  That’s really in-your-face, on any number of levels.  PC-liberal types are still up in arms over his remarks about the size of women’s brains when he was running Harvard, and the general consensus

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Ron Paul Fox Business Oct 14 2008

Michael E. Brisky (October 21st, 2008) Writes:

Credit Fears Ease

Contrarian Profits (October 20th, 2008) Writes:

Credit fears ease…  Chuck’s thoughts from the road… India cuts rates… China growth slows, but is still 9%… And Now… Today’s Pfennig! Good day…And welcome to what should be another volatile week in the markets. Credit worries eased somewhat over the weekend, which helped push money back into the higher yielding currencies. Today Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke will head to Congress to share his view on the economy. Should make for a pretty interesting day of trading. Hope you are sitting down and holding on, it looks like we are going to take another lap on the currency roller coaster!

The yen fell over the weekend as investors began moving funds back into the higher yielding currencies of Brazil, Mexico, New Zealand and Australia. I won’t go into the whole explanation of the carry trade again, but suffice it to say that these moves haven’t proven to have much staying

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Capitalism Without Capital? - Ron Paul

John Lee (October 14th, 2008) Writes:
It has been long understood that our federal government is going deeper into debt, consistently raising the debt ceiling and demonstrating no fiscal restraint. In recent years, debt ceiling increases have been placed in "must pass" legislation as a means to guarantee that Republicans as well as Democrats would vote for them when Congress was under Republican control. We also know our nation's "negative savings rate" reflects the habits of private citizens, showing those habits to be not tremendously different than the habits of the public sector. Yet, the signs of decline are becoming ever more apparent. So apparent, in fact, that it seems unlikely that bailouts or other gimmicks will have even short term success. More inflation, and creating moral hazard by bailing out egregious offenders, is a recipe for disaster. These activities can seem to provide some short ...

Why President Obama Would Damage US Economy Further

Contrarian Profits (October 8th, 2008) Writes:

When US stocks dived following the passing of the bailout bill, President Bush sought to calm investors. He said it would "take a while" for the bill to take effect. Problem is George W doesn't have much of time.

In less than one month, Americans will vote into office either Barack Obama or John McCain. Each has very different ideas about how to tackle the financial crisis.

Martin Hutchinson says Obama is most likely to win on a populist anti-Wall Street platform. But if he follows up this rhetoric with more regulation and protectionism, this could hurt US investors even more in the long run.


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