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German Retail Sales Fall Again In September

Edward Hugh (October 31st, 2008) Writes:
German retail sales fell more than many economists expected in September as the financial crisis continued to discourage people from spending. Sales, adjusted for inflation and seasonal swings, dropped 2.3 percent from August, when they rose 1.9 percent. That's the biggest decline since May 2007.According to provisional results of the Federal Statistical Office (Destatis), turnover in retail trade in Germany in September 2008 was in nominal terms 4.1% and in real terms 1.2% larger than that in the corresponding month of the previous year. The number of days open for sale was 26 in September 2008 and 25 in September 2007. When adjusted for calendar and seasonal variations (CENSUS-X-12-ARIMA), the September turnover was in nominal terms 2.5% and in real terms 2.3% smaller than that of the preceding month. Compared with the corresponding period of the previous year, retail turnover was in the first nine months 2008 in nominal ...

Latvian Inflation Continues To Be A Major Problem

Manuel Alvarez-Rivera (September 21st, 2008) Writes:
Consumer Price InflationThe annual rate of increase in Latvian consumer prices was 15.7% in August 2008. Month on month the situation did imporve slightly, since prices decreased by 0.4% when compared with July. The average price of goods decreased by 0.9%, but the price of services continued to increase, and were up by 0.7%. Prices of vegetables and fuel fell, but the price of clothing, catering and rent were all up. Thus while the trend is for annual inflation to moderate, the news is far from unambiguous, with widespread secondary price shocks continuing to make their impact felt.

Food prices were down - by 2.2% - but this was mainly influenced by seasonal decreases in the price of fruit and vegetables and fruit. Bread, dairy products and cheese prices also fell. Fuel prices were down by 4.3%,

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Latvian Inflation Continues To Be A Major Problem

Edward Hugh (September 20th, 2008) Writes:
by Edward Hugh: BarcelonaConsumer Price InflationThe annual rate of increase in Latvian consumer prices was 15.7% in August 2008. Month on month the situation did imporve slightly, since prices decreased by 0.4% when compared with July. The average price of goods decreased by 0.9%, but the price of services continued to increase, and were up by 0.7%. Prices of vegetables and fuel fell, but the price of clothing, catering and rent were all up. Thus while the trend is for annual inflation to moderate, the news is far from unambiguous, with widespread secondary price shocks continuing to make their impact felt.

Food prices were down - by 2.2% - but this was mainly influenced by seasonal decreases in the price of fruit and vegetables and fruit. Bread, dairy products and cheese prices also fell. Fuel prices were

...

Russia’s Consumption-Driven Inflation: Will It All End In Tears?

Claus Vistesen (July 9th, 2008) Writes:
by Edward Hugh: BarcelonaRussia's inflation rate remained tantalisingly frozen at its highest in more than five years in June as energy and food prices continued to move on upwards. Russian consumer prices were up 15.1 percent from a year ago - matching the rate in May- according to data released earlier this week by the Federal Statistics Service.As a result he Russian government is struggling to bring inflation down towards it's 10.5 percent target after increased income from rising global energy prices boosted domestic demand and made possible 300 billion rubles ($13 billion) of extra government spending on items like pensions and state wages in the run up to last December's elections. The result has been a massive surge in consumer spending and construction activity which has pushed the rate of expansion in the Russian economy above its long ...
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Russia’s Consumption-Driven Inflation: Will It All End In Tears?

Edward Hugh (July 7th, 2008) Writes:
Russia's inflation rate remained tantalisingly frozen at its highest in more than five years in June as energy and food prices continued to move on upwards. Russian consumer prices were up 15.1 percent from a year ago - matching the rate in May- according to data released earlier this week by the Federal Statistics Service.As a result he Russian government is struggling to bring inflation down towards it's 10.5 percent target after increased income from rising global energy prices boosted domestic demand and made possible 300 billion rubles ($13 billion) of extra government spending on items like pensions and state wages in the run up to last December's elections. The result has been a massive surge in consumer spending and construction activity which has pushed the rate of expansion in the Russian economy above its long term "comfort" capacity level.

In

...
Tags for this Post:
Article IV, Bank of Russia, Banking, central bank, central bank crredibility, chemical products, China, communication services, Eastern Europe, Electricity, electricity generating, electro-technical equipment, end-product, energy, energy equivalent, energy exporter, energy price increases, Energy Prices, Federal Statistics Service, food, Food Industry, food inflation, food inflation shock, Food price rises, food price shock, food price spike, Food Prices, food priceshave, Health Services, high oil prices, higher global oil prices, India, International Bank for Reconstruction and Development, International Monetary Fund, Konstantin Korishchenko, Korea, non-banking sectors, non-food prices, non-oil deficit, non-tradable services, Oil, oil account, oil and gas account, oil and gas prices, oil and gas revenue, oil and gas sector, oil income, Oil Prices, oil revenues, Plastics, Record Oil Prices, Retail Trade, RUB, rubber, Russia, Russia, Russian federal government, Russian Federation, Russian Government, Russsian government, Saudi Arabia, the Russian central banks buys, Urals, USD, Volga, wholesale and retail trade

A bit of sunshine

James Hamilton (June 12th, 2008) Writes:
Article Source: Consumers say they're gloomy, but why are they still spending? A surprising report from the Commerce Department today, which indicated that seasonally adjusted nominal sales for retail trade and food services were 1% higher in May compared with April. The new estimates of March and April sales (in red in the figure below) were also revised substantially up from the previous (blue) estimates that had been reported last month. Source: ALFRED retail_jun_08.png Although a 1% monthly gain would translate into a 12% annual rate if maintained, the newly revised April numbers are still barely above the values last November in nominal terms. Calculated Risk notes that the year-on-year comparisons, when adjusted using an anticipated PCE deflator, remain negative even with the strong new estimates. Source: Calculated Risk cr_retail_jun_08.jpg The latest numbers ...

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