Today, the big news that could move commodities is not in China or the Middle East -- it's right here at home. US banks are failing and the Federal Government is going to bail out Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. I think this has big implications for the US dollar, and not in a good way. I'll be writing more about this in Wednesday's Money and Markets. For now, here is some news of interest ... Fannie, Freddie Too Critical to Fail, Lawmakers Say A government takeover of one or both companies is among several options that have been considered by White House officials, according to a person familiar with the discussions who spoke on condition of anonymity. Senior Bush administration officials are considering placing either or both firms in a conservatorship if their problems get worse, the person said. Paulson Puts Treasury Behind Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac in Bid to Calm Market Paulson, speaking on the steps of the Treasury facing the White ...

You know a financial selloff is getting hot and heavy when they get around to beating down the best and brightest – namely the Blackrock-s (BLK) of the world. So this is when we want to take advantage of the sale prices and begin to rebuild a position. I’m in no rush but since the regional banks are finally taking serious damage, we are seeing some widespread damage in the financials. First we had the investment banks, and large money center banks hit the worst in the first stage of the credit crisis last summer/fall/winter, and now we are on the next stage – major damage in the regional banks. Remember as I wrote in this week’s summary I felt the Federal Reserve will allow some of these to go under because they are smaller and they want to put up a …

The big story over the last couple of days continus to be oil. Yesterday, oil prices tanked by more than $5 after China raised the domestic price of refined products (gasoline, diesel, etc.). Why would that matter? The idea is that if more consumers have to pay the “real” price of energy (China, Malaysia, Venezuela, and other countries subsidize or cap the price of energy products for their citizens), energy use will fall and so will energy prices. Today, oil prices have come bouncing right back (+$3.50 or so as I write) amid reports that Israel is contemplating an attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities. That kind of volatility really gets the market’s blood pumping.

The other big news of the week? Many companies in the financial sector continues to plumb new depths. Almost every day, we hear about fresh losses, more capital raisings, and more regulatory trouble. The regional banks …