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U.S. Economy in 2009, Pain Will Precede the Promise

Shah Gilani (December 29th, 2008) Writes:

If there’s a proverb that captures the outlook for the U.S. economy in the New Year, it’s the one that says: “It’s always darkest before the dawn.”

Regardless of any formal announcement of whether or not the United States drops into an actual recession, the ongoing credit crisis guarantees a contraction of the American economy by virtually every measure we know. That period of darkness will be marked by a dramatic slowdown in economic activity, as well as by rising unemployment, additional declines in U.S. stock prices, and constant volatility. It could last as long as 12-18 months.

But when the dawn does come, it will be one to remember. If U.S. President-elect Barack Obama gets it right - and I have every reason to believe that he will - then investors will be presented with the greatest investment opportunity of our generation. At that point, shares of American companies will be

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U.S. Economic Outlook for 2009

Shah Gilani (November 24th, 2008) Writes:

If there’s a proverb that captures the outlook for the U.S. economy in the New Year, it’s the one that says: “It’s always darkest before the dawn.”

Regardless of any formal announcement of whether or not the United States drops into an actual recession, the ongoing credit crisis guarantees a contraction of the American economy by virtually every measure we know. That period of darkness will be marked by a dramatic slowdown in economic activity, as well as by rising unemployment, additional declines in U.S. stock prices, and constant volatility. And it could last as long as 12-18 months.

But when the dawn does come, it will be one to remember. If U.S. President-elect Barack Obama gets it right - and I have every reason to believe that he will - then investors will be presented with the greatest investment opportunity of our generation. At that point, shares of American

...
Tags for this Post:
A band, American International Group Inc., Anthony Karydakis;, Bank Failures, bank of america corp, bank of england, Barack Obama, Brands Inc., Central Banks, contrarian profits, Covered JP Morgan Chase & Co.;, Deposit Insurance Corp.;, Deutsche Bank Ag, direct-to-bank capital injections;, European Central Bank, Fannie Mae, Fdic, fed-funds, Federal Reserve System, finance, Fortune, Freddie Mac, Gdp, Goldman Sachs Group Inc, Hilton Hotels Corp;, J.C. Penny Co. Inc.;, JP Morgan Chase, JPMorgan Asset Management;, Kohl's Corp.;, Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc, mark-to-market accounting, Market Commentary, Moody's Investors Service, Morgan Stanley Merrill Lynch & Co., National Bureau of Economic Research, New Year's Day, new york fed, New York University's Stern School of Business, Oil, political solution;, Real Estate, real estate collapse;, real estate cycle, Real Estate Prices, real estate realm;, Retail Sales, Retail Sector, Starwood Hotels, Stern School;, Target Corp, The Bear Stearns Cos., The Blackstone Group LP, The Gap Inc., The Neiman Marcus Group Inc;, The Nordstrom Group;, The Wall Street Journal, Timothy Geithner;, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics;, U.S. Bureau;, U.S. Treasury Department, United States, US Commerce Department, Us Federal Reserve, Us Treasury, USD, Wal Mart Stores Inc

For the U.S. Economy in the New Year, the Pain Will Precede the Promise

Shah Gilani (November 10th, 2008) Writes:
If there’s a proverb that captures the outlook for the U.S. economy in the New Year, it’s the one that says: “It’s always darkest before the dawn.” Regardless of any formal announcement of whether or not the United States drops into an actual recession, the ongoing credit crisis guarantees a contraction of the American economy by virtually every measure we know. That period of darkness will be marked by a dramatic slowdown in economic activity, as well as by rising unemployment, additional declines in U.S. stock prices, and constant volatility. It could last as long as 12-18 months. But when the dawn does come, it will be one to remember. If U.S. President-elect Barack Obama gets it right – and I have every reason to believe that he will – then investors will be presented with the greatest investment ...
Tags for this Post:
American International Group Inc., Anthony Karydakis;, Bank Failures, bank loans, bank of america corp, bank of england, Barack Obama, Brands Inc., Central Banks, Chicago, China, Cnbc, Covered JP Morgan Chase & Co.;, Deutsche Bank Ag, direct-to-bank capital injections;, European Central Bank, Fannie Mae, Fdic, fed-funds, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp, Federal Reserve System, finance, Fortune, Freddie Mac, Gdp, Goldman Sachs Group Inc, Hilton Hotels Corp;, Internet outlets, J.C. Penny Co. Inc.;, JP Morgan Chase, JPMorgan Asset Management;, Kohl's Corp.;, Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc, London, mark-to-market accounting, Market Commentary, Merrill Lynch, Moody's Investors Service, Morgan Stanley, National Bureau of Economic Research, New Year's Day, New York, new york fed, New York Times, New York University's Stern School of Business, Oil, Peter D. Schiff's New York Times, political solution;, R. Shah Gilani, Real Estate, real estate collapse;, real estate cycle, Real Estate Prices, real estate realm;, Retail Sales, Retail Sector, Starwood Hotels, Stern School;, Target Corp, The Bear Stearns Cos., The Blackstone Group LP, The Gap Inc., The Neiman Marcus Group Inc;, The Nordstrom Group;, The Wall Street Journal, Timothy Geithner;, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics;, U.S. Bureau;, U.S. Treasury Department, United States, US Commerce Department, Us Federal Reserve, Us Treasury, USD, Wal Mart Stores Inc, wall street

Find Diversified Real Estate Stocks - Zacks Analyst Interviews

Zacks Market Commentaries (September 17th, 2008) Writes:
As we see Wall Street finally starting to bottom out, as many of our senior analysts had warned us on, we can’t help but be reminded that this all started with the housing crunch. How are real estate investment trusts [REITs] faring? We spoke with Greg Sukenik, senior REIT analyst for Zacks Equity Research, to find out.

Considering the uphill climb most REITS have undertaken this year, would you say the real estate cycle is basically where you thought it would be? Is it different for different types of REITs?

The REIT sell-off began in early 2007. After several years of good returns, REITs were trading at historically high and probably unsustainable valuations. We did expect commercial property REITs to be negatively affected by the problems in the credit markets which were brought on by the meltdown in residential real estate and a declining overall economy.

So to

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