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Ruinous Debt to Create Futureless Suburbia

Contrarian Profits (September 25th, 2009) Writes:

In our history, the American nation committed obvious sins against select groups of people, and we’ve paid bitterly for some of that. But now it’s our sins against the land itself that threaten to sink the USA as a viable enterprise.

It’s odd, that in his otherwise excellent blow-by-blow account (”Eight Days,” in the Sept 21 New Yorker Magazine) of the September 2008 Wall Street meltdown that left Lehman dead, and AIG croaking in a ditch, and the banking system in general functionally crippled, reporter James B. Stewart never got around to really describing the cause of it all — namely, the on-the-ground material catastrophe of American suburbia.

It was the worthlessness of the tradable securitized debt associated with all those overpriced (and overvalued) chipboard and vinyl houses, smeared recklessly over the American landscape, that started all the trouble in the first place. And it is our inability to come to

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Peak Oil and Petrobras

Investment U (September 21st, 2009) Writes:

Peak Oil and Petrobras

Tony Daltorio, Investment U Research

Back on Wednesday, September 9, I wrote on how to profit from British Petroleum ADR (NYSE: BP)’s huge discovery in the Gulf of Mexico, and how to profit from peak oil.

And while I stand by the profitability of both that find and stock, I think I should clarify that “peak oil” really doesn’t exist anymore. So instead, let’s call it peak-cheap-and-easily-recoverable-oil instead, since that seems much more appropriate.

The days of cheap and accessible oil are long gone, but that very fact opens up rich opportunities for investors who face up to the realities of today’s oil market.

Possibly the biggest reality comes down to this: Giant oil fields are the industry’s lifeblood. Out of the world’s 70,000 oil fields, the largest twenty account for a quarter of global production.

That’s

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Slicing & Dicing Sectors Into Themes

IndexUniverse Staff (September 11th, 2009) Writes:

A new type of ETF is becoming popular, offering alternatives to traditional sector funds in targeting different types of companies.

(Editor’s Note: The following is an excerpt from an article in the Exchange-Traded Funds Report in July. Subscribers to ETFR can read the complete piece here.)

Specialty-sector ETFs—also called “thematic” ETFs—have emerged as a major force in the ETF industry.

These ETFs run the gamut of investment possibilities, but have one thing in common: They look past traditional size and sector designations to carve out new investment areas, often driven by a single investment thesis.

Clean energy, infrastructure, nuclear power—by our count, there are now more than 40 of these unique ETFs on the market, with more than $10 billion in assets under management.

Investment manager Van Eck Global has been one of the most successful companies in carving out a foothold among specialty ETFs. Its Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSE Arca:

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Tags for this Post:
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Book Review: Bad Money

Daniel Hung (September 10th, 2009) Writes:

Bad Money by Kevin PhillipsThe title, Bad Money: Reckless Finance, Failed Politics, and the Global Crisis of American Capitalism, pretty much sums up the book’s thesis. This is actually Kevin Phillips’ third book on the subject matter, the first two being - American Theocracy and Wealth and Democracy. I haven’t read the first two of his books, but he freely admits in the introduction to Bad Money that the book is somewhat of a rehash of his first two books. In fact, he discusses almost not writing a third book until he realized that those topics he warned us of in his previous books were finally coming to fruition and that

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Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights: The Gap, Rex Stores, HH Gregg, Transocean and Diamond Offshore. – Press Releases

Zacks Market Commentaries (June 10th, 2009) Writes:
For Immediate Release

Chicago, IL - June 10, 2009 - Zacks.com announces the list of stocks featured in the Analyst Blog. Every day the Zacks Equity Research analysts discuss the latest news and events impacting stocks and the financial markets. Stocks recently featured in the blog include: The Gap (GPS), Rex Stores (RSC), HH Gregg (HGG), Transocean (RIG) and Diamond Offshore (DO).

Get the most recent insight from Zacks Equity Research with the free Profit from the Pros newsletter: http://at.zacks.com/?id=4579.

Here are highlights from Tuesday's Analyst Blog:

Will Oil Prices Prevent a Recovery?

Higher oil prices are coming at a time when the economy is still very fragile. Retail spending on goods other than energy face strong headwinds from both the need for consumers to rebuild their personal balance sheets (pay down past debts

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Will Oil Prices Prevent a Recovery? – Analyst Blog

Dirk Van Dijk (June 9th, 2009) Writes:
The following two charts (and the comments in between them) are part of a very interesting article by James Hamilton. The collapse in oil prices last fall acted as a key economic stabilizer and helped ameliorate the economic decline. It showed up in two key places. The first was in the trade deficit numbers, which have shown a very dramatic improvement over the last year (see here and here). The other place it showed up was in retail sales, since a dollar spent at the gas pump is a dollar that can not be spent elsewhere. Since last Christmas, prices at the pump have climbed sharply, as shown in the first graph. While prices are still far below the levels of a year ago, the current levels are high enough to start hurting, especially those who have seen their incomes drop due to the ...

Revolving Debt Cheap Energy Economy on Its Knees

Contrarian Profits (June 8th, 2009) Writes:

Through the tangle of green shoots and sprouting mustard seeds, a certain nervous view persists that the arc of events is taking us to places unimaginable.  The collapse of General Motors and Chrysler signifies more than the collapse of US car manufacturing.  It spells the end of the motoring era in America per se and the puerile fantasy of personal liberation that allowed it to become such a curse to us.

Of course, many Nobel prize-winning economists would argue that it has only been a blessing for us, but that only shows how the newspapers are committing suicide-by-irrelevance. And if other societies, such as China’s late-entry industrial start-up, want to adopt a similar fantasy, they will only find themselves all the sooner in history’s garage with a tailpipe in their mouths.

Here in the USA, we will mount the most strenuous campaign to keep the motoring system going — in fact, we’re

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The Bottom for Credit Thanks to Peak Oil

Contrarian Profits (May 8th, 2009) Writes:

Euphoria managed to out-run swine flu last week as the epidemic-du-jour, with “consumer” confidence jumping and the big bank stocks nudging up. The H1N1 virus fizzled for now, at least in terms of kill ratio, though we’re warned it might boomerang in the fall with a vengeance. No one was surprised to see Chrysler roll over like a possum on a county highway, but the memory of their muscle cars will linger on like a California surfing song. Here in the northeast, where Sundays are not spent at the NASCAR oval, the spring foliage reached the tenderly explosive stage and it was hard to feel bad about anything.

For now, the “bottom” is in — that is, the bottom of this society’s ability to process reality. It may continue for a month of so, even after the “stress test” for banks is finally let out of the massage parlor with a

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The Coming Siege of Austerity

Contrarian Profits (April 17th, 2009) Writes:

It’s a curious symptom of the consensus trance zombifying the American public and its auditors in the media that something like a “recovery” is now deemed to be underway. And, as events compel me to repeat in this space, it begs the question: recovery to what?

To Wall Street booking stupendous profits by laundering “risk” out of bad loans with new issues of tranche-o-matic securitized paper? This I doubt, since there isn’t a pension fund left from San Jose to Bratislava that would touch this stuff with a stick, even if it could be turned out in collector’s editions of boxed sets.

Does it mean that American “consumers” (so-called) are awaited momentarily in the flat-screen TV sales parlors with their credit cards fanned-out like poker hands, ready for “action?” Not too likely with massive non-performance out in cardholder-land, and half the nation’s electronics inventory wending its way onto Craig’s List. Are

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Get Out of the U.S. Dollar Now. Right Now. This Is Not a Drill.

Justice Litle (March 24th, 2009) Writes:

With Monday’s surprise announcement, China dropped a bombshell on global currency markets. Action to take: Get out of the U.S. dollar. Now. Right now.

Serenity Now! Serenity Now!! - Frank Costanza, Seinfeld

Let’s see, how can I put the appropriate subtlety and nuance on this…

Get. Out. Of the U.S. Dollar. NOW.

Do not pass go, do not collect $200, do not stop to conduct an impromptu inventory of your unmentionables.

In the slightly profane vernacular of internet slang, just GTFO. Do not walk, RUN, to the nearest exit. Barring that, find the most appropriate hedge for your dollar-denominated investments and GET THAT HEDGE ON. Toot sweet.

If you don’t know of a high quality dollar hedge off the top of your head – other than those oldies-but-goodies, gold and silver – then you’re in luck. I’m about to tell you (yet

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