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Are Higher Prices the ‘New Normal’ for Oil?

Frank Holmes (November 2nd, 2009) Writes:
This analysis is from Evan Smith and Brian Hicks, co-managers of the Global Resources Fund (PSPFX). Oil prices have bounced more than 150 percent off of December 2008 lows but inventory levels remain at historically high levels despite a healing global economy. However, Goldman Sachs says robust 2010 oil demand growth will deplete these inventories over the next 12-to-18 months and diminishing production rates in key areas around the world will create a supply/demand imbalance. The above chart shows the decline in production from the worldrsquo;s top 230 projects. After peaking in 2009, production from these projects is set to fall for the next several years. Excluding OPEC countries (right chart), the decline rates quadruple from 2007 to 2012 (est). Over that time period, non-OPEC production is expected to fall by 2.5 million barrels per day. Only Brazil, Canada and the former countries of the Soviet Union are expected to see production growth. One of ...

COP Seeks Control of Coking Unit – Analyst Blog

Zacks Market Commentaries (September 8th, 2009) Writes:
ConocoPhillips (COP) has exercised an option to buy out a 50% stake in its coking unit at the Sweeny refinery in Texas from Petróleos de Venezuela S.A. (PDVSA). PDVSA is Venezuela's state-run oil company.

ConocoPhillips has an equal interest in Merey Sweeny L.P., a limited partnership that owns a 65-million-barrels-per-day delayed coker unit and related facilities at the Sweeny refinery. Used in refineries, a delayed coker unit is a plant that cracks heavy, long-chain hydrocarbon molecules of the residual oil into gas, oil and petroleum coke. PDVSA supplies the refinery with Venezuelan crude oil.

Since the beginning of this year, PDVSA has not supplied enough crude oil to meet contractual specifications. Thus, ConocoPhillips’ deliveries from Venezuela fell to 146,000 barrels a day in the first half of 2009 from 210,000 barrels a year earlier. Following this, ConocoPhillips plans to take full control of the unit.

The takeover follows

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Repsol Partners with Venezuela – Analyst Blog

Zacks Market Commentaries (August 27th, 2009) Writes:
Spain’s largest integrated oil and gas company, Repsol YPF, S.A. (REP), will pay Venezuela $203 million to exploit the Barua-Motatan oil field. Repsol took the minority share of this oil field, which includes 432 square kilometers, after lawmakers voted for the transfer of that area to Petroquiriquire, a joint venture between Repsol and the Venezuelan Oil Corporation (CVP), a unit of Venezuelan state oil company PDVSA. Repsol has been pursuing talks for several years on acquiring an interest in Barua-Motatan, located near Petroquiriquire’s Mene Grande oil field in western Venezuela. Petroquiriquire was formed in 2006 as a 60-40 joint venture between PDVSA and Repsol to operate the Mene Grande oil field. With the addition of this field, the current production of 25,000 barrels per day could increase up to 100,000 barrels per day. Management is targeting stable production growth, driven by the company’s pipeline ...

Energy Blast – August 12, 2009

Robert Amsterdam (August 12th, 2009) Writes:
The International Energy Agency's chief economist Fatih Birol has said that if oil prices rise higher than $70, the global economic recovery will be rendered more difficult.  Birol has also predicted there may not be sufficient demand for natural gas in Europe to justify the existence of both the Nabucco and South Stream pipelines.  OPEC has revised its 2010 forecast for supply from countries outside the group, suggesting an increase of 210,000 barrels per day from non-OPEC members. Vladimir Putin has promised that Russia will use the most modern oil extraction and processing technology if it gains access to Venezuela's oil reserves.  Next month it is expected that a consortium of Russian firms and the Venezuelan state oil company PDVSA will draw up a joint venture to explore the Junin 6 block in the Orinoco oil belt, ...

Energy Blast – July 28, 2009

Robert Amsterdam (July 28th, 2009) Writes:
Russian Vice Prime Minister Igor Sechin's visit to Venezuela has concentrated on energy cooperation.  Gazprombank has agreed to offer a $4 billion loan to finance the development of minerals and other raw materials in the oil-rich nation.  The governments have also agreed to create a joint venture between PDVSA- Servicios, Venezuela's state owned oilfield services subsidiary, and Gazprom's Latin American division.  Sechin will also pursue energy cooperation in Nicaragua, where, the Russian ambassador to Managua says, 'there are very good prospects for prospecting and extracting oil on the Atlantic and Pacific shelves'.  Gazprom has announced that the Bolivian deposits it is exploring with Total SA and YPFB contain 285 billion cubic meters of natural gas.  Prime Minister Putin has proposed that VEB lend Gazprombank $2.41 billion.  Turkmenistan has promised Britain gas supplies once the Nabucco ...

¡Bienvenidos a Caracas, Comandante Sechin!

Robert Amsterdam (July 28th, 2009) Writes:
If you want to know what Russia's energy ambitions are in the emerging markets of Africa, Asia, and Latin America, I used to tell people that all you had to do was carefully track the travel schedule of Vladimir Putin.  Nowadays, the same can be said of the Energy Czar Igor Sechin, as his itinerary is bound to be connected with the signing of major deals.Case in point, yesterday afternoon, Russia's RIA Novosti Spanish wire service reported on the arrival of the Deputy Prime Minister and Rosneft Chairman to Caracas, Venezuela.  The reason for the trip, as duly reported by the state news agency, was to prepare for Hugo Chavez's upcoming visit to Moscow and a high-level inter-governmental ...

Heavy Oil Becomes More Appealing As Light, Sweet Crude Runs Out

Byron King (June 3rd, 2009) Writes:

When most people think of oil, they think of light, sweet crude that comes up out of little holes in the ground. You describe oil by its API gravity. For example, oil like Brent crude or West Texas Intermediate has an API gravity of 38-40. The oil that Col. Drake pulled from the ground at Titusville, Pa., in 1859 had API gravity near 60. These types of oil are relatively easy to pump from a reservoir, lift to the surface and transport via pipeline to the refinery.

The Shift to Heavy Oil, with an “Energy Microsoft” at the Forefront

But a significant portion of the world’s oil is much lower quality than the light, sweet stuff. Indeed, most oil that’s found in nature is a heavy, viscous hydrocarbon with the consistency of cold molasses. This heavy oil - defined as API gravity 22.3 or less - is difficult and costly to produce

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Desperate ‘Petrocrats’ Could Send Crude Soaring Again

Justice Litle (October 21st, 2008) Writes:

Crude oil is now worth less than half its July value. But as central banks and consumers rejoice, socialist oil-exporters like Russia and Venezuela are in “dire straits”. Justice Litle says desperate times could prompt desperate measures from the firebrand leaders of these countries. And this “geopolitical time bomb” could send crude skyrocketing once again.

This from Taipan Daily:

The petrocrats were richly rewarded as crude oil climbed to new heights. Now a sharp decline in the price of oil threatens to tear their world apart. A time for drastic action could be at hand…

Today I want to talk about a situation that feels like a ticking time bomb - a time bomb that could go off sooner rather than later. It starts with this chart…

Crude Oil Nearest Futures

After climbing to nearly $150 a barrel earlier this year, the price of

...

China-Chavez Oil Deal Shows Just How Weak America Is

Contrarian Profits (September 24th, 2008) Writes:

If you need more proof that the US lost the Cold War to Russia and China you need look no further than Venezuela, says emerging markets expert Irwin Greenstein, writing for Contrarian Profit. Hugo Chavez, president of Venezuela, inked two significant energy deals with China and Russia that will divert American oil to our former Cold War adversaries.

What further proof do we need that we lost the Cold War than to have China and Russia take over critical oil supplies right in our own backyard?

Americans like to believe that the 40-odd-year Cold War drew to a close in the late 1980s and the early 1990s. That’s when Ronald Regan was president and the Berlin Wall came tumbling down and the Soviet Union collapsed. (That led Dick Cheney to also tout Reagan’s famous fiscal theory that deficits don’t matter.)

With the …

Tim Turner is New VP at Western Standard Energy Corp. (WSEG.OB)

QualityStocks (September 24th, 2008) Writes:

Western Standard Energy Corp., (OTCBB: WSEG) has hired Tim Turner as vice-president of its Land division. Starting at Exxon in 1980, Turner’s career spans 28 years through upstream oil and gas and business consulting services in Texas, throughout the United States, and internationally. He worked for Exxon Company, in New Orleans, La., and for Phillips Petroleum in Houston, Texas.

For the last 13 years, Turner, a certified Landman, has led the oil industry-consulting firm, Tim Turner & Associates, LLC. Clients there include Gazprom, Pemex, PDVSA and Saudi Aramco, as well as other major, independent and international oil and gas producers.

“We plan to expand the business through joint venture partnerships, developing our vast portfolio of exploration assets in Montana and North Dakota, and through the acquisition of producing assets,” said Dan Bauer, Western Standard president and CEO. “Tim’s knowledge and experience on the business side will prove to be invaluable in that

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