A bit of sunshine
James Hamilton (June 12th, 2008) Writes:
Article Source: Consumers say they're gloomy, but why are they still spending?
A surprising report from the Commerce Department today, which indicated that seasonally adjusted nominal sales for retail trade and food services were 1% higher in May compared with April. The new estimates of March and April sales (in red in the figure below) were also revised substantially up from the previous (blue) estimates that had been reported last month.
Source: ALFRED
Although a 1% monthly gain would translate into a 12% annual rate if maintained, the newly revised April numbers are still barely above the values last November in nominal terms. Calculated Risk notes that the year-on-year comparisons, when adjusted using an anticipated PCE deflator, remain negative even with the strong new estimates.
Source: Calculated Risk
The latest numbers ...
Although a 1% monthly gain would translate into a 12% annual rate if maintained, the newly revised April numbers are still barely above the values last November in nominal terms. Calculated Risk notes that the year-on-year comparisons, when adjusted using an anticipated PCE deflator, remain negative even with the strong new estimates.
Source: Calculated Risk
The latest numbers ...
Tags for this Post:
April Sales, Arithmetic, Commerce Department, Consumption Growth, Economics, Food Services, Forecasters, Gdp Growth, Greenlaw, Last November, Morgan Stanley, Pce Deflator, Personal Consumption, Peter Hooper, Puzzlement, Quarter Gdp, real gdp, Retail Trade, Risk Notes, tax rebate checks, Upward Adjustment
April Sales, Arithmetic, Commerce Department, Consumption Growth, Economics, Food Services, Forecasters, Gdp Growth, Greenlaw, Last November, Morgan Stanley, Pce Deflator, Personal Consumption, Peter Hooper, Puzzlement, Quarter Gdp, real gdp, Retail Trade, Risk Notes, tax rebate checks, Upward Adjustment


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