It is always amusing to see the end of the day gain or loss in the indexes, and how it sometimes hides the wild action of the day. Today was one of those days - we gapped down (bearish), rallied from what appeared to be a test of support (bullish), gave that all up and tested new lows - 1260 (bearish), and then reversed and rallied to the highs of the day (bullish). For all that action and headache, it just took us back to right near where we closed yesterday. But it scared and/or emboldened traders multiple times, in completely different directions. Absolutely nuts - as they say in bear markets neither bulls nor bears have an easy time making money (the strongest rallies are usually contained within bear markets, but they are sudden and out of the blue).Here is a ...

Agrium (AGU) the smallest of the 3 major potash producers in Canpotex is out this morning with increased guidance - expect the same from Mosaic (MOS) and Potash (POT). This is leading the sector higher with AGU up 9% in early trading - keep in mind unlike the other 2 names mentioned, Agrium has a large retail component. Essentially they've taken their own lowball guidance up by around 80 cents, and now are firmly over the analysts $2.50. Looks like analysts are *still* behind the curve even after making huge upward revisions the past 60-90 days, once they saw the writing on the wall - writing we were urging them to see last fall [Oct 23: Analysts Still Doubting the Fertilizer Stocks] I wroteFolks, I am not a full time fertilizer analyst working for a major brokerage (in fact the ...