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Bearish Short-Term Outlook For Oil Stocks - Zacks Industry Rank Analysis

Charles Rotblut (December 16th, 2008) Writes:
Highlighted stocks include: Anadarko Petroleum Corporation (...

The Faux Bottom, Housing Worsens, Newspapers in Trouble, An Oversold Sector, and More!

Contrarian Profits (December 10th, 2008) Writes:

ur “Obama Rally” forecast… will things “get worse before they get better” or vice versa?… Print in the doghouse… Tribune Co., New York Times and McClatchy looking desperate… Still no bottom in sight for housing… foreclosure, refi and pending home sales data all down… Anecdotal evidence of tough times to come… Wiggin house, office burglarized… Chris Mayer with a sector sell-off that’s gone too far Enjoy the rally… for now. “Things are going to get worse before they get better,” the president-elect’s been saying all week. We suspect he’s right. But the Obama Rally is likely to have some legs first.

The Dow surged 3.5% yesterday after an equally notable gain Friday. Just about every stock got a boost, but materials, energy and infrastructure players led the way… half because of President-elect Obama’s audacious infrastructure plans, half because these stocks can’t go much lower anyway.

...

Oil Ready for Short Term Rally

Michael E. Brisky (December 8th, 2008) Writes:
Oil prices, and oil stocks, are ready for a short-term rally here. OPEC is scrambling to deal with the major slowdown in global demand. a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122858288078585557.html"Most likely they will decrease production output to help prices recover/a. Remember in July when President Bush went to Saudi Arabia begging for production increases? What a difference a couple of months can make. br /br /The pattern I see here is: br /br /A) Right now-oil stocks oversold with oil prices around $40.br /B) OPEC cuts production. Oil moves to somewhere between $50-75/barrel. Oil stocks rally.br /C) Rally wears off, sometime early 2009. Stocks fall again as recession-caused demand destruction continues. Oil stocks back to current levels.br /br /By the way, this is also the pattern for financial stocks, and homebuilders, and automakers. We're seeing a potentially trade-able pattern, but a pattern of lower highs and ...

Investing Legend Jim Rogers says: Buy Gold, Cotton, and Sugar

Alex Stanczyk (November 19th, 2008) Writes:

By Senior Writer Eoin Gleeson Nov 19, 2008 Eoin Gleeson Jim Rogers

Rogers: buy commodities and China

If there’s one man who hasn’t been swept off his feet by the prospect of Barack Obama in the White House, it’s Jim Rogers. “Barack Obama has two policies to speak of,” he told attendants at the World Money Show in Westminster. First, he wants to tax capital, just when capital is at its weakest. And second, he wants to protect American jobs. Both ideas are absolutely disastrous, reckons Rogers.

You only have to look at the experience of Japan. The Japanese were determined to protect and prop up their faltering businesses in the nineties, but all it did was leave them with a load of zombie banks. All that happens when you tax capital to prop up failing businesses is that you take money from the competent and give it to the incompetent, says Rogers.

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Oil Stocks May Never Be This Cheap Again

Contrarian Profits (November 14th, 2008) Writes:

Oil is still one of the best bets for long-term gains says Greg Guenthner. In the midst of blind market panic, investors are forgetting that crude is a finite resource facing unquenchable demand. It will rise to record highs again. And when it does, oil stocks will soar.

This from The Rude Awakening:

During times like these, it’s all too easy to become caught up in the moment. Fear is a powerful emotion. As the markets continue to crumble, many investors lose sight of their goals. They sell positions indiscriminately; they become irrational.

The sell-off we’re experiencing right now is global. And no stock or commodity has escaped the devastation. That’s why we’re looking at a scarce and valuable resource for steady long-term gains: oil.

One energy guru recently made a big bet on oil. He repurchased shares of Exxon (NYSE:XOM), ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP), Pioneer Natural Resources (NYSE:PXD), BP (NYSE:

...

Oil Stocks May Never Be This Cheap Again

Contrarian Profits (November 14th, 2008) Writes:

Oil is still one of the best bets for long-term gains says Greg Guenthner. In the midst of blind market panic, investors are forgetting that crude is a finite resource facing unquenchable demand. It will rise to record highs again. And when it does, oil stocks will soar.

This from The Rude Awakening:

During times like these, it’s all too easy to become caught up in the moment. Fear is a powerful emotion. As the markets continue to crumble, many investors lose sight of their goals. They sell positions indiscriminately; they become irrational.

The sell-off we’re experiencing right now is global. And no stock or commodity has escaped the devastation. That’s why we’re looking at a scarce and valuable resource for steady long-term gains: oil.

One energy guru recently made a big bet on oil. He repurchased shares of Exxon (NYSE:XOM), ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP), Pioneer Natural Resources (NYSE:PXD), BP (NYSE:

...

American Optimism, Russia’s In Trouble, But Good News For Oil, Breakthrough Med Tech, And More!

Contrarian Profits (November 12th, 2008) Writes:

American optimism at all-time low, 2009 recession imminent… Fannie and Freddie to the rescue? Chris Mayer with good news for oil investors. Another day, another double-digit decline… Russian market, currency plummeting. Pat Cox with a “huge” breakthrough medical tech about to become reality. Have we hit a nerve? The automaker debate rages on in The 5’s inbox

Oy. “The $700 billion financial bailout program,” the New York Times sums up Treasury Secretary Paulson’s speech this morning, “will not be used to buy troubled mortgage-backed assets, as originally intended. Instead, capital would be provided directly to nonbank companies, as well as banks and financial institutions, and that more would be done to prevent home foreclosures.”

Is it any wonder 83% of Americans think the U.S. is “headed in the wrong direction”?

...

American Optimism, Russia’s In Trouble, But Good News For Oil, Breakthrough Med Tech, And More!

Contrarian Profits (November 12th, 2008) Writes:

American optimism at all-time low, 2009 recession imminent… Fannie and Freddie to the rescue? Chris Mayer with good news for oil investors. Another day, another double-digit decline… Russian market, currency plummeting. Pat Cox with a “huge” breakthrough medical tech about to become reality. Have we hit a nerve? The automaker debate rages on in The 5’s inbox

Oy. “The $700 billion financial bailout program,” the New York Times sums up Treasury Secretary Paulson’s speech this morning, “will not be used to buy troubled mortgage-backed assets, as originally intended. Instead, capital would be provided directly to nonbank companies, as well as banks and financial institutions, and that more would be done to prevent home foreclosures.”

Is it any wonder 83% of Americans think the U.S. is “headed in the wrong direction”?

...

Oil Fundamentals Still in Solid Shape - Zacks Analyst Interviews

Zacks Market Commentaries (October 16th, 2008) Writes:
Following yesterday's discussion about the coal industry, where stock pullbacks seemed more or less undeserved, today we look at the oil and gas sector with Zacks senior analyst Sheraz Mian. With the price of a barrel of oil pulling back drastically, does this warrant the significantly lower oil prices?

With oil prices headed to roughly half what they were just a few months ago, how has this affected oil companies under your coverage?

The current market turmoil has been particularly brutal in the oil space, with all sub-sectors getting down to levels not seen in years. While expectations of softening oil demand over the coming quarters and broad credit-market concerns have been the primary reasons for the sector's woes, the sell off has by all measures been over-done.

This indiscriminate sell-off has made the risk-reward trade off of a number of sub sectors very compelling, in our view. Our

...

A ‘Once Only’ Chance to Bag Major Oil Profits

Contrarian Profits (October 14th, 2008) Writes:

Oil was given a lift yesterday. But at $81.19 a barrel, the black goo is still almost $70 from its July peak.

Greg Guenthner isn't sweating it.

Oil prices have been caught up in widespread panic selling of recent months. It remains a scarce and essential commodity. This means it is only heading in one direction over the long term.

Greg recommends following oil guru Richard Rainwater's cue and buying into oil stocks with both hands.


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