St. Mary Land & Exploration Co. (SM) reported third-quarter earnings of 23 cents per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 19 cents but down from the year-earlier earnings of $1.20. Non-cash charges and impairments result in a reported net loss of 7 cents per diluted share.   The results were driven by the company’s production performance and reduced costs. Revenues for the quarter were $185.8 million, down nearly 43% from the year-earlier level.   St. Mary reported quarterly production of 26.4 billion cubic feet equivalent (Bcfe), down 5% year over year. However, volumes were within the company’s guidance range of 25.5 to 27.0 Bcfe. Production would have been down 2% year over year without accounting for the last year’s asset sale. Production was also sequentially down as a result of lower levels of capital investment.  Of the total production, gas was 65% and the rest was ...

This Small Oil Producer is Ripe for a Takeover… Here’s How to Profit

by Sheena Martin, Contributing Editor Friday, November 20, 2009

Takeovers are big news in the market at the moment.

In fact, did you know that takeovers have the biggest one-day gain in stocks for any asset?

As my colleague – and takeover expert – Louis Basenese says, they’re “some of the safest companies you can own. According to FactSet Merger Stat LLC, the average one-day return for shareholders of the target company is 48%.”

Furthermore, Louis says, “Industries naturally go through cycles of consolidation – waves of mergers, acquisition and takeovers.”

One industry riding this wave as it comes out of recession is oil. And I have a takeover target making strides in oil exploration that could put money in your pocket in a few months

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EnCana Corporation (ECA) – a major Canadian oil and gas exploration and production (E&P) company – reported weak third quarter results, hit by lower prices and volumes. Operating earnings per share, excluding hedging and foreign exchange effects, came in at $1.03. This fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.11 and way behind the year-ago profit of $1.92.  Revenues were down 64.2% year over year to $3.9 billion. During the quarter, total production was down 7.0% to 4,387 million cubic feet equivalent per day (MMcfe/d), of which 81% was natural gas. Natural gas production decreased roughly 9.3% year-over-year to 3,551 million cubic feet per day (MMcf/d), while oil and natural gas liquids (NGLs) production was up 3.7% to 139 thousand barrels per day (MBbls/d).  Key Resource Plays  Production of natural gas from key resource plays was down approximately 6.5% year-over-year to 3,410 MMcfe/d, primarily ...

Pioneer Natural Resources Company (PXD) reported its third quarter results of 2 cents per share, well below than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 6 cents and year-earlier quarter earnings of 91 cents. Before adjusting one-time items, loss per share was 6 cents.  Despite the increased production volumes and lower production expenses, earnings were down due primarily to weak realized prices. Revenue for the quarter was $410.1 million, down nearly 32% from the year-earlier level.  Total production for the quarter averaged approximately 113 thousand barrels oil equivalent per day (MBOE/d), up 2% year over year, reflecting the strong performance of Pioneer’s low-decline assets. Oil production averaged at 31.7 thousand barrels per day (MBbl/d), up approximately 7% year over year. Natural gas liquids production slightly decreased to 18.6 MBbl/d. Natural gas production also modestly increased to 374.2 MMcf/d.  On an oil equivalent basis, average realized price was ...

Natural gas producer Ultra Petroleum Corporation’s (UPL) third quarter results came in better than expected, primarily due to increased production. Earnings per share, excluding non-cash mark-to-market charge, came in at 57 cents, topping the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 11.8%. However, in line with other onshore natural gas-focused companies – Devon Energy Corp. (DVN), XTO Energy Inc. (XTO), Anadarko Petroleum Corp. (APC) and Chesapeake Energy Corp. (CHK) – earnings and revenue comparisons with the year-earlier period were quite weak, severely hampered by the slump in commodity prices. Ultra’s adjusted earnings per share fell 26.9% (from 78 cents to 57 cents), while operating revenues declined 47.9% to $155.2 million. Record Quarterly Production Production during the quarter increased 26.5% year over year and 3.2% sequentially to a record 45.9 billion cubic feet equivalent (Bcfe), reflecting the company’s successful drilling activities. Natural gas volumes jumper ...

Natural gas producer XTO Energy’s (XTO) third quarter results came in better than expected, primarily due to rise in production volumes. Earnings per share, excluding non-cash derivative fair value loss, came in at 87 cents, ahead of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 84 cents.   XTO’s adjusted earnings per share fell 11.2% year over year, reflecting lower realized natural gas prices. However, revenues were up 7.7% to $2.3 billion, mainly on the back of the company’s attractive hedges. During the quarter, operating income was down 5.2% year over year to $919 million, but cash flow from operations was up 2.8% to $1.6 billion.   Volume Gains Continue   Production during the quarter increased 23.4% year over year and 1.9% sequentially to a record 2.9 billion cubic feet equivalent (Bcfe) per day. Average daily gas production increased 24.2% year over year to 2.4 billion cubic feet (Bcf), daily oil ...

From Robert Amsterdam's latest in the Huffington Post:

But it is clear to those of us who have watched and listened to Khodorkovsky over these years that his beliefs, spirit and convictions have only deepened. When he first became a political prisoner, he was recognized as a symbol of Russia being on the wrong track: the disappearance of rule of law, corporate raiding and state theft, authoritarian drift, and the Kremlin's first taste of using stolen assets as an energy weapon. Today, after six long years of injustice, he is emerging as an important political voice and a sign of Russian moral conscience.

These statements have been building over past months, most recently highlighted by an article he

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Chesapeake Energy Corporation (CHK) has modestly raised its 2009 and 2010 production outlook and introduced its 2011 production guidance. The company also expects to spend $3.15 billion to $3.35 billion on drilling this year, up from its August forecast of $3 billion to $3.2 billion.  The company is expecting production of 12 million barrels of oil (MMbbl), 815–825 billion cubic feet (Bcf) of natural gas and total production of 885–895 billion cubic feet equivalent (Bcfe) during 2009.  For 2010, Chesapeake expects oil production to be 12.5 MMbbl, natural gas generation of 882–902 Bcf and total output to be 957–977 Bcfe. The company has provided its initial projections for 2011. It expects 13 MMbbl of oil, 1,007–1,027 Bcf of natural gas and 1,085–1,105 Bcfe of total production.  For 2009, the company expects year over year production growth to be in the range of 5%–6% (up from ...

Kafkaesque. The former Russian oil tycoon, who stood up to Putin, is back before his judges. Here is the story. [The following is a translation of an article published in the French publication Le Point.]

Le Point, October 15, 2009

Accused Khodorkovsky, Stand Up!

From our special envoy Marc Nexon

He stands up, opens his spiral notebook and pulls out 3 sheets of paper he has scribbled with his fine handwriting. He pats the microphone installed in his glass cage. "Can you hear me?" he asks, addressing the judge. Then he starts with a clear voice: "I know that in his eyes I embody absolute evil, but I would like to ask quietly a few questions to the witness of the prosecution..."

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The challenges for private oil companies to increase oil production are pretty daunting.

ExxonMobil (XOM) has been producing a little over 2.4 million barrels of oil a day for the last year and a half, its lowest rate of production over the last decade. The dark blue line in the figure below shows the company's production each year since 1999. Four years ago, Stuart Staniford noted that ExxonMobil's 2001 annual report predicted 3% annual growth in production between 2001 and 2007. That projection appears as the red line in the graph below; didn't quite come out as planned. Stuart's theory was that the company correctly predicted the contribution of its new discoveries, but underestimated the declining production rates from mature fields.

ExxonMobil again predicted in 2006 that it could achieve 3% annual growth over 2006-2011. I've shown that forecast as the lighter blue line

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