This analysis is from Evan Smith and Brian Hicks, co-managers of the Global Resources Fund (PSPFX). Oil prices have bounced more than 150 percent off of December 2008 lows but inventory levels remain at historically high levels despite a healing global economy. However, Goldman Sachs says robust 2010 oil demand growth will deplete these inventories over the next 12-to-18 months and diminishing production rates in key areas around the world will create a supply/demand imbalance. The above chart shows the decline in production from the worldrsquo;s top 230 projects. After peaking in 2009, production from these projects is set to fall for the next several years. Excluding OPEC countries (right chart), the decline rates quadruple from 2007 to 2012 (est). Over that time period, non-OPEC production is expected to fall by 2.5 million barrels per day. Only Brazil, Canada and the former countries of the Soviet Union are expected to see production growth. One of ...

Rosneft has been fined $180 million by the Federal Anti-Monopoly Service for deliberately driving up wholesale prices for gasoline and other oil products in the first half of 2009, and Lukoil was warned that it could face a similar penalty...in which case, it's going to need the $1.5 billion it is trying to raise by selling dollar-denominated debt to international investors.  The state-owned Sayano-Shushenskaya hydropower plant was raided by riot police yesterday as part of a probe into an August flood that killed 75 employees.  Iran agrees with the 'general framework' of the UN-brokered proposal that it send most of its enriched uranium to Russia for processing into reactor fuel, but plans to make some changes.  'One common reaction is: 'If the foreigners are prepared to agree to this, there must be something wrong with this from Iran's point ...

Cimarex Energy Co. (...

In our history, the American nation committed obvious sins against select groups of people, and we’ve paid bitterly for some of that. But now it’s our sins against the land itself that threaten to sink the USA as a viable enterprise.

It’s odd, that in his otherwise excellent blow-by-blow account (”Eight Days,” in the Sept 21 New Yorker Magazine) of the September 2008 Wall Street meltdown that left Lehman dead, and AIG croaking in a ditch, and the banking system in general functionally crippled, reporter James B. Stewart never got around to really describing the cause of it all — namely, the on-the-ground material catastrophe of American suburbia.

It was the worthlessness of the tradable securitized debt associated with all those overpriced (and overvalued) chipboard and vinyl houses, smeared recklessly over the American landscape, that started all the trouble in the first place. And it is our inability to come to

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Peak Oil and Petrobras

Tony Daltorio, Investment U Research

Back on Wednesday, September 9, I wrote on how to profit from British Petroleum ADR (NYSE: BP)’s huge discovery in the Gulf of Mexico, and how to profit from peak oil.

And while I stand by the profitability of both that find and stock, I think I should clarify that “peak oil” really doesn’t exist anymore. So instead, let’s call it peak-cheap-and-easily-recoverable-oil instead, since that seems much more appropriate.

The days of cheap and accessible oil are long gone, but that very fact opens up rich opportunities for investors who face up to the realities of today’s oil market.

Possibly the biggest reality comes down to this: Giant oil fields are the industry’s lifeblood. Out of the world’s 70,000 oil fields, the largest twenty account for a quarter of global production.

That’s

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Savoy Energy Corp. currently performs recompletion and workover activities on wells in Texas. The company identifies and acquires abandoned oil and gas assets and brings them back into production using effective, low-cost methods.

The company is focused on recovering oil in wells that has been “left behind.” There are many such oil fields all over the United States which have been closed with oil trapped inside as it was uneconomical to extract further oil from the well at the time. Such activities should be profitable for Savoy Energy, a company with low overhead, an efficient cost structure and effective technologies to extract the oil.

Oil that has been left behind represents a large opportunity for Savoy Energy. Nearly two out of every three barrels of oil discovered in the United States remains trapped underground after conventional recovery operations. According to the

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The trade deficit in July came in at $32.0 billion -- a significant increase from the $27.5 billion in June. The consensus expectation was that it would be close to unchanged. Since the trade deficit is a direct input into GDP (net exports), this will moderately reduce the expected growth rate for the third quarter. There was, however, some good news in the report: both imports and exports rose, imports just rose faster. Trade now seems to be in a sustainable uptrend, after falling off a cliff in the second half of last year and then stabilizing in the spring. This can be seen in the first graph below (from http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/). A year ago, the trade deficit peaked at $64.9 billion on much higher levels of both imports and exports. The world-wide slowdown has dropped our exports by 22.4% from $164.4 billion to $127.6 billion this year, ...

BP: British Petroleum. Big Profits

by Tony Daltorio, the Investment U Research Team

Not too long ago, seven major oil companies – commonly referred to as the Seven Sisters – controlled their market.

But that was then and this is now. Today, they’re scrambling to find new oil fields, while “smaller” companies rock the industry.

That’s why there’s been so much excitement over the recent discovery of a ‘giant’ oil field in the Gulf of Mexico by one of the Seven Sisters, British Petroleum ADR (NYSE: BP).

When international oil companies consider where to invest, they typically have to choose between technically straightforward fields in politically turbulent countries, or politically stable areas that require complex and costly production techniques.

Easily produced, accessible energy resources in secure countries just don’t exist anymore; the era of cheap oil is truly over.

But BP has a long history

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Shell has begun building a $100 million lubricant blending plant in Torzhok, which is the first to be constructed by an international firm in Russia.  After talks with Polish premier Donald Tusk in Gdansk, Vladimir Putin will meet with Ukrainian Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko to discuss natural gas among other matters.  The oil minister of Qatar has said that Russia has promised to support OPEC's production cuts.  Petrobas shareholders are worried by the new plans Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula has for the company to explore new and extensive oil fields.  The corporation dropped in value by $7 billion in one day, as the President's plans would allow the state to increase its stake in the company.  Turkmenistan is planning to create a naval base on the Caspian Sea, a move that could be seen as ...

Lukoil has received a $1.2 billion loan arranged by 12 overseas and domestic banks to refinance debt.  Russia and Mongolia have agreed to start a joint venture to explore the Dornod uranium deposit.  The deal, which may irk the Canadian company licensed to exploit the area, was made possible by a recent Mongolian law to expand state access to uranium deposits.  Siberian power plants will need an additional 6.5 million tons of coal this winter after the accident at the Sayano-Shushenskaya hydroelectric plant.  The East Siberian-Pacific Ocean pipeline, to be completed next year, will massively increase the flow of oil from Russia to oil-poor China, says an article in the Moscow Times.  Three Russian oil fields (two of which are split into parts) are on the list of the twenty biggest fields in the world.  The EU ...