406 Days Until This Market Crashes…

by Robert Williams, Publisher Friday, November 20, 2009

David Fessler has a sector that warrants your attention. But first, I want to officially raise a red flag in another market.

Something’s amiss in the municipal bond market. Year-to-date, “munies” have behaved more like momentum stocks than their intended purpose of providing a safe yield.

Consider this: A handful of closed-end muni funds have averaged a 46% return so far this year.

The rally, of course, was borne out of the financial crisis, when investors and institutions alike went furiously scrambling to safety.

The novice move was into cash. But the smart money flowed strategically into the bond market. And a lot of the action was in municipal bonds. (The junk bond market is similarly overheated.)

What’s noteworthy, however, is that when the market’s

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Using animation, Warren Buffett eloquently explains in just more than two minutes why trade imbalances lead to serfdom. Put differently, and in the context of President Obama’s visit to China, “Thriftville” owns “Squanderville” in the endgame, as he explained in “I.O.U.S.A.: One Nation. Under Stress. In Debt“.

Source: YouTube.com, November 16, 2009 (hat tip: Wall St Cheat Sheet).

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President Obama's trip to China has returned to scrutiny the role of China's currency and macroeconomic policies in perpetuating global imbalances. [0] [1] [2]

Figure 1: Log real value of RMB (blue, left axis), and Chinese trade balance in billions USD at annual rates (red, right axis) from Chinese statistical sources, and twelve month trailing moving average (maroon). Source: IMF, International Financial Statistics, ADB, NBER and author's calculations.

Various observers have continued to ascribe a central role to real RMB appreciation to effect global rebalancing. I think it's useful to remember that, given a Chinese trade balance in excess of 260 billion USD, appreciation can only have a certain impact. From Cheung, Chinn and Fujii (forthcoming):

...using a single equation error correction model, allowing for coefficient shifts with Chinese accession to WTO, leads to a statistically insignificant estimate of the price elasticity. In

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Resident voice of reason at The Daily Reckoning, Bill Bonner takes a hard look at Goldman Sachs and replaces jealousy with admiration. “We pick up sword and shield, ready to fight for Goldman, after reading the Financial Times. The FT has devoted a whole page to Goldman bashing. It’s time someone stood up to say a kind word for the firm.”

Bill Bonner (The Daily Reckoning, UK):

The Lloyd’s Prayer

Our Chairman, who art at Goldman Blankfein be thy name The rally’s come God’s work be done On earth as there’s no fear of correction Give us our daily gains…

Poor Goldman Sachs. Everyone is on its case. Criticizing. Carping. Jealous. Envious.

So, today we rise in defense of the Wall Street giant. Yes, the Goldmen may be shysters. But they are honest shysters…

Besides, it was another slow day on Wall Street. Investors

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Charlie Rose sits down with Henry Kissinger, German-American scholar and Secretary of State of the United States from 1973 to 1977, to discuss President Obama’s visit to China.

A link to the transcript of the interview follows at the end of the post.

Click here or on the image below to view the video. (As there is no direct link to the clip, you need to click on “Archive” on the Charlie Rose site, and then scroll down to the President Obama’s trip video of November 16.)

Click here for a transcript of the interview.

Source: Charlie Rose, November 16, 2009.

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U.S. stocks rose Friday, for their second consecutive weekly advance, as upbeat earnings reports from a number of companies, including Walt Disney and JC Penny, spurred optimism that the economic recovery is gaining momentum.  A dip in the value of dollar, on concerns consumer spending is likely to remain bleak, sent shares of commodity-related companies up. 

On Friday, the 30-stock Dow Jones industrial average rose 73 points, or 0.72%, to 10,270.47. The broad Standard & Poor's 500-stock index was up 6.24 points, or 0.57%, at 1,093.48. The tech-heavy Nasdaq composite index advanced 18.86 points, or 0.88%, to 2,167.88.  For the week the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index jumped 2.3% to 1,093.48.  The Dow average rose 247.05 points, or 2.5%, to 10,270.47, following its 3.2% advance the prior week.

The spike in commodities came after the greenback fell Friday on news that the trade deficit widened more than expected in

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With President Obama scheduled to make his first presidential trip to Beijing this weekend, China Region Fund (USCOX) co-manager Romeo Dator appeared on CNBCrsquo;s ldquo;Power Lunchrdquo; today to discuss the U.S.-China relationship. The other guest in the segment was former U.S. Secretary of Commerce Carlos Gutierrez, who stressed that the U.S. relationship isnrsquo;t the only one thatrsquo;s important to China. [Obama] wonrsquo;t be able to give them a public lecture. Hersquo;s going to find a more assertive, a more confident China. The only thing playing in our favor this time is that the whole of Asia is up in arms about the dollar. Since the Chinese peg their currency to the dollar, itrsquo;s giving them a benefit versus the rest of Asia. The only real chance we have here is for Asia to convince China (to let the yuan appreciate). Romeo predicted that Asia on the whole will grow in importance for investors. I think ...

Baltimore – (TFN): The dollar is a dangerous entity these days. Never has there been such a globally important currency with as much political and financial manipulation.

The distortions from reality are mind-boggling, yet all of us depend on the status of the simple fiat for our financial wellbeing.

The person with the most skin in the dollar game is, no doubt, President Obama. The nation’s economy hinges on the fate of the greenback and the White House knows it. That is why it is doing anything it can to slow the slide.

Even if it is entirely psychological.

Today, reports are flowing from Washington that show Obama may have plans to use up to $210 billion in TARP money to lower the nation’s ever-increasing deficit.

It is creative accounting at best and a $210 billion bribe at worst.

While the average Oprah-watching, Crocs-wearing American won’t take a second out of their do-nothing

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November, 2009 Volume1, Issue 1

One of the Best Electric Vehicle Investment in the Market

Leo Motors, Inc. (OTC:LEOM) is the only company in the world that develops, manufactures and markets premium Electric Vehicle Power Systems that include electric engines, digital controllers, and 12th generation Lithium Polymer Battery Power Packs. LEO proved that it can make sustainable Electric Vehicles (EV) and Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles (PHEV) by producing passenger cars, SUV’s, motor cycles, and buses using these types of power trains. LEO has finished the development of a full array of power trains including: 1.5 kW, 7 kW and 15 kW systems for electric bikes; 30 kW for middle speed neighborhood vehicles (NEV); 60 kW for passenger cars & SUV’s under the 2 liter engine category; 120 kW for full]size passenger cars, mid sized trucks & buses and also

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Companies featured in this edition of the newsletter: ACTC, CHIP, CVM, DKAM, ENZ, IWEB, MBCI, MFGD, PHC

Markets rebounded last week, on the strength of upbeat productivity and manufacturing reports that led to solid gains in all of the major indices. Despite news that the unemployment rate had hit its highest levels in 25 years, the Dow managed to end the week up 310 points, gaining 3.2% on the week to close at 10,023, up 14.2% on the year. The Nasdaq posted a gain of 3.3%, closing at 2112 and extending its yearly gains to 34%, while the S&P 500 and Russell 2000 advanced 3.2% and 3.1% respectively on the week to bring their YTD performance to 18.4% and 16.2%.

Several better than expected economic reports provided buying incentive throughout much of the week, as investors managed to shake off the previous week’s negative bias to send indices into positive territory

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