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Prieur’s readings (November 7, 2009)

Prieur du Plessis (November 7th, 2009) Writes:

This post provides links to a number of interesting articles I have read over the past few days that you may also enjoy.

• Economist.com: Jobs gloom, with glimmers, November 6, 2009. America’s jobless rate passes 10% but the job market should start to improve soon.

• Paul Krugman (The New York Times): Why not a WPA? November 6, 2009. A question I’m occasionally asked at public events is, why aren’t we creating jobs with a WPA-type program? It’s a very good question. As it is, job-creation efforts are generally indirect. Tax cuts and transfers in the hope that people will spend them; aid to state governments in the hope of averting layoffs. Even infrastructure spending is routed through private contractors. You can make a pretty good case that just employing a lot of people directly would be a lot more cost-effective.

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Is it time to panic?

Andrew Snyder (November 6th, 2009) Writes:

Baltimore-(TFN):Time to panic? If you are part of the Obama administration the answer is yes. If you are an American investor, hold off on the freaking out for at least another month or so.

With the nation’s unemployment rate officially in double-digit territory and the under-employed rate ready to the 20% mark, the politicians that promised bliss in the days ahead are eating their words today.

And that means Wall Street is eating its recent gains.

For nearly a month, the Dow has hovered around the 10,000 mark. After hundreds of billions of dollars were withdrawn earlier this year, it was relatively easy to put that money back to work and send the equities market higher.

But now that the economic data is showing facts of slower-than-expected expansion rather than “ideas” of growth, investors are forced to explain their logic. The Dow doesn’t want to budge from 10k.

So far, I’ve heard very

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Prieur’s readings (November 6, 2009)

Prieur du Plessis (November 6th, 2009) Writes:

This post provides links to a number of interesting articles I have read over the past few days that you may also enjoy.

• Mohamed El-Erian and Ramin Toloui (Financial Times): How to fill the gaps left by dollar decline, November 5, 2009. We should expect to see more discussion in the next few years on new types of reserve assets.

• James West (GoldSeek): Gold price is no bubble, November 4, 2009. The price performance of gold recently has all sorts of armchair economists waxing philosophical on the idea that this is the advent of a price “bubble”. While certainly everyone has and is entitled to their opinion, there are other features of humanity that we all possess, and much like many opinions, are best obscured from view. Declaring that gold is in a “bubble” demonstrates complete ignorance of or disregard for

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Prieur’s readings (November 5, 2009)

Prieur du Plessis (November 5th, 2009) Writes:

This post provides links to a number of interesting articles I have read over the past few days that you may also enjoy.

• Randall Forsyth (Barron’s): Synchronicity and stock prices, November 3, 2009. In a post-bubble world, equities move in sync with the cycle - worrying given the loss of momentum. As albert Edwards concludes, “the trend is your friend until it hits a bend. Beware, we may have just hit one.”

• Judy Chen (Bloomberg): Stiglitz says US is paying for failure to nationalize banks, November 2, 2009. Nobel Prize-winning economist Joseph Stiglitz said the world’s biggest economy is suffering because of the US government’s failure to nationalize banks during the financial crisis. “If we had done the right thing, we would be able to have more influence over the banks,” Stiglitz told reporters. “They would be lending and

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Goldman Mulls Fannie Tax Credits – Analyst Blog

Zacks Market Commentaries (November 2nd, 2009) Writes:
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS) is contemplating buying tax credits from Fannie Mae (FNM). However, it may be reasonable to assume that the U.S. Treasury may not approve of the deal. Goldman hopes to receive approval this week for $1 billion worth of tax credits. Tax credits are incentives designed to bring more investment to low-income housing developments. This would help the company reduce its tax bill as well as bring some much-needed financial relief to Fannie Mae. While financial details of the proposed transaction are not disclosed, Goldman could arrange other investors for the deal as well. The Obama Administration, however, is opposed to the deal, as it will reduce Goldman's tax bill at a time when Wall Street is already facing intense public scrutiny. Fannie Mae, a government-controlled mortgage financier, could get financial relief if Goldman bought the tax credits. As ...

Prieur’s readings (October 30, 2009)

Prieur du Plessis (October 30th, 2009) Writes:

This post provides links to a number of interesting articles I have read over the past few days that you may also enjoy.

• Richard Ennis (CFA Institute): The uncorrelated return myth, November/December 2009.

• Peter Clarke (Financial Times): How to avoid a repeat of the Great Crash, October 28, 2009. The chain of events leading from a collapse in stock prices on Wall Street to a Great Depression has leapt from history with an entirely fresh verisimilitude. John Authers (Financial Times): GDP grows, but pain remains, October 29, 2009. US GDP numbers were a good enough reason to halt the return of risk aversion, but the key to whether risk appetite can return depends on US employment data.

• Economist.com: As joyless recovery, October 29, 2009. New figures suggest that America has at last moved out of recession.

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Southern Barely Beats – Analyst Blog

Zacks Market Commentaries (October 29th, 2009) Writes:

Electric utility firm Southern Co. (SO) reported modestly better-than-expected third quarter results, driven by lower expenses and increased monthly service charges. Earnings per share came in at 99 cents, edging past the Zacks Consensus Estimate by a penny.  In the year-ago period, Southern earned $1.01 per share. The year-over-year negative comparison can be attributed to decrease in electricity usage and sales and flat customer growth. Revenues for the quarter were $4.7 billion, a decrease of nearly 14% from the corresponding period last year.  Another Challenging Quarter  It was another difficult quarter for Southern, as it continued to be adversely affected by significantly cooler than average weather and a weak economy. This resulted in a decrease in electricity sales across all categories. Total electricity sales during the third quarter were down 6.1% from the same period last year.  Total retail sales declined by 5.1%, reflecting soft

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The Rise of the Rest

Trading School (October 29th, 2009) Writes:

One great thing about my position here as Director of Marketing is my extensive contact list. I say that because I have access to thousands of excellent traders, investors, and economists at my finger tips! So when things around the world catch my attention, I can quickly find someone who can give me the skinny on what’s really going down. One of my contacts is Nicholas Vardy, Editor, The Global Guru, and he’s got a MUCH better pulse on the world aboard then I do. That’s why I asked him to give us his reasons why the markets outside the US are doing so well and WHY!

He told me he’d love to get feedback from the Trader’s Blog readers, so let’s not let him down! You can also visit The Global Guru to get his new report on his favorite global picks.

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Make Your Fortune from the

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GWS Technologies (GWSC.OB) and Renewables Industry to Benefit from Stimulus Spending on ‘Smart Grid’

QualityStocks (October 28th, 2009) Writes:

GWS Technologies is an alternative energy company that has been gaining much acclaim of late. Founded in 2005 in Scottsdale, Arizona, GWS became a fully-reporting company by March of 2007 and has had continued success since that time period. A recent announcement directed at stimulus spending will enhance GWS for years to come.

Yesterday, the White House stated that $3.4 billion will be allocated to modernize the nation’s electrical power system to more easily use renewable resources. The allocations of these funds came from the Obama administration’s American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 and were put into effect to fund smart grid projects across the country.

The availability of these funds will attract the attention of institutional investors because the money will be released in a form of a grant, being matched dollar for dollar by private funding. This new stream of capital will attract investors and

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Prieur’s readings (October 28, 2009)

Prieur du Plessis (October 28th, 2009) Writes:

This post provides links to a number of interesting articles I have read over the past few days that you may also enjoy.

• Joseph Stiglitz (The National Interest): Death cometh for the greenback, October 27, 2009. Whichever path we take, like it or not, we will be moving away from current arrangements, the dollar-reserve system. There are only two questions: will the movement away be orderly or disorderly, and will America play a part in shaping the new system that will emerge?

• Doug Kass (TheStreet.com): Earnings likely to trend lower, October 27, 2009. Underpromising and overdelivering is the oldest game in the investor relations handbook, as earnings expectations are often cagily crafted by corporate managements. In turn, many Wall Street analysts, emulating Ralph Wanger’s zebras, follow that company guidance in adopting a herd mentality that morphs into a Wall

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