h1 style="text-align: center;"bBank Nationalization/b/h1h2 style="text-align: center;"bspan class="Apple-style-span" style="color: rgb(102, 0, 0);"Bank Nationalization Day/span/b/h2a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_tvshDVnXSLc/SS_l74vGpJI/AAAAAAAAAf4/J6EgOxMC024/s1600-h/RBS-DundasHouse.jpg"img style="margin: 0px auto 10px; display: block; text-align: center; cursor: pointer; width: 320px; height: 200px;" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_tvshDVnXSLc/SS_l74vGpJI/AAAAAAAAAf4/J6EgOxMC024/s320/RBS-DundasHouse.jpg" alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5273686505679135890" border="0" //a Old HQ pictured. Following failure of shareholders to buy more than 0.24% (only £36m for 56m shares) of the Royal Bank of Scotland Group's £20bn share issue, RBS (1) (including Citizens Bank, USA, and NatWest Bank, England) today became the third to be formally nationalised (nearly 58%). The small take-up of the issue by existing shareholders had been expected as the offer price of 65.5p was 10p higher than the price at which the shares were trading, so those who did buy on paper lost £5m doing so. The share issue by RBS was part of the government's plan to recapitalise banks. The government will pay £15bn for the majority stake in the bank plus £5bn of ...

Not too long ago it seemed that everybody loved China.  It was a panacea, a magic bullet, the answer to every question. How can the US avoid recession? China.Why are the stock markets racing higher? China. Why is oil over $140 a barrel? China.You may have noticed that all this cheerleading has gone very quiet, very quickly.

The economists that prophesied China would become the world’s biggest economy by 2015 have changed their tune. Those that recommended investing in China have quickly gone broke.

Believe it or not, China could be next on the credit crunch’s hit list.

The City still doesn’t buy it though. To quote arch-bear Albert Edwards:

“The consensus still touchingly believes that despite a deep economic downturn in developed economies, continued rapid emerging market growth will keep overall world growth resilient.

“My view is that outright contraction of global growth is entirely possible next year.”

I think he’s right. A sharp slowdown

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Bill Bonner says the Fed will make this slump longer and harder than it should be. Bernanke & Co are using every weapon in their arsenal to prevent deflation. But they tried this during the Great Depression. And Japan tried it in the 90s. And both times they only managed to deepen the pain.

This from the Daily Reckoning:

You’ll recall that the credit crisis began in the summer of ’07. Before that the ‘war’ between inflation and deflation had been an even match. But then, sub-prime debt came upon the battlefield like a new tank. In a matter of days, deflation seized the high ground and has been winning ever since.

Of course, you have to give the feds credit. They’ve fought a good fight. First, in England, they bailed out Northern Rock and later nationalized the whole banking system, guaranteeing practically all deposits. In the US, they

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by Edward Hugh: BarcelonaThe euro fell against the dollar yesterday - by the largest amount registered in any single day since the introduction of the single currency in 1999. The drop was effectively a response to the growing signs of strain in Europe's banking sector. Activity in support of banks was widespread throught the day, and across the whole system. The euro fell 2.5 percent to $1.4077 by mid morning in New York, down from $1.4434 on Monday. Early this morning in Europe it was trading in the $1.41 range.This current pressure on the euro is more the result of signs of liquidity problems in the banking sector than it is a response to the growing weaknesses in the eurozone real economies, which, as we saw at the end of last week, are really pretty substantial in their own right. What follows is simply ...

The market seems surprised that retail sales ex-autos fell 0.4%. Wow, these folks bidding down stock futures this morning need to get out more among the masses and get a clue about what’s going on out there. Either that, or they need to stop listening to the consensus forecasts of the economists crowd who are scrambling to adjust their rosy expectations. Remember the consensus still sees the economy growing at over 2% next year. I won’t bore you the regular reader with the factors that would crimp the consumer since they’ve been well chronicled here. For someone who may have stumbled in here this morning — think shutdown housing ATM, think declining spending confidence, think diminishing wealth effect, etc.