Little Response to Earnings Beats – Earnings Trends
Dirk Van Dijk (August 3rd, 2009) Writes:
Growth Second-quarter total net income expected to be down 28% year-over-year Third quarter expected to be down 23.5% year-over-year Staples and Health Care only sectors expected to post positive growth in second quarter Only 31.5% of reporting companies post earnings growth; 24.0% post sales growth year-over-year
Surprise Early results much stronger than expected; the median surprise is 6.7% Early positive surprises lead disappointments by 3.9:1 margin Surprise ratio above 6:1 for Health Care, Tech, Discretionary and Materials Margins the cause, not revenue growth 72.7% of firms beat on earnings; 46.3% beat sales estimates
Full-Year Forecast Bottom-up estimate for S&P 500 now $60.20 in 2009 versus $60.12 last week. S&P 500 now expected to earn $74.42 in 2010 versus $74.41 last week Top down estimates $54.19 and $68.48, respectively
Revisions Total estimate increases outnumber cuts by almost 4:3 for 2009 Upward revisions outnumber cuts by almost 7:6 for 2010 Level of increases small given positive earnings surprises For 2009, Staples and Health Care lead; Utilities,
...

![[Most Recent Quotes from www.kitco.com]](http://www.kitconet.com/charts/metals/gold/t24_au_en_usoz_2.gif)
![[Most Recent Quotes from www.kitco.com]](http://www.kitconet.com/charts/metals/silver/t24_ag_en_usoz_2.gif)

