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Obama Commits to Free Trade Deal With South Korea, But Auto Trade Remains Sticking Point

Money Morning (November 20th, 2009) Writes:

By Bob Blandeburgo Associate Editor Money Morning

On the last leg of his four-nation tour in Asia, U.S. President Barack Obama revived the issue of a still-pending free-trade agreement signed in 2007 with South Korea (KORUS FTA), but an auto trade imbalance will continue to be a major obstacle to Congressional approval.

At a news conference in Seoul, President Obama and Korean President Lee Myung-bak, both showed willingness to renegotiate elements of the deal and to have both countries ratify it as soon as possible.

“I am a strong believer that both countries can benefit from expanding our trade ties,” President Obama said. “I have told President Lee and his team that I am committed to seeing the two countries work together to move this agreement forward.”

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Emerging Markets Consider Capital Controls to Combat “Hot Money” Inflows

Jason Simpkins (November 20th, 2009) Writes:

By Jason Simpkins Managing Editor Money Morning

Concerned with accelerating inflows of so-called “hot money,” more emerging market nations are considering new capital controls to keep their currencies from appreciating and prevent asset bubbles from becoming a problem.

Loose monetary policy in the United States and Europe has flooded fast-growing Asian economies where Western investors are seeking higher yields. India, Taiwan, South Korea, Hong Kong, and Indonesia are among the regions investigating options to combat the rapid inflows of foreign capital that are driving up stock prices, and threatening their export sectors by forcing their currencies to appreciate.

“With interest rates exceptionally low and with abundant liquidity around the world, Hong Kong faces the potential risk next year that asset prices may go up sharply and become increasingly disconnected from economic fundamentals,” the Hong Kong Monetary Authority said on its Web site.

Hong Kong attracted a record $73 billion (HK$567.5

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Investors Can’t Ignore a Rebounding Japan

Martin Hutchinson (November 20th, 2009) Writes:

By Martin Hutchinson Contributing Editor Money Morning

In a visit to Japan in the early 1990s, U.S. President George H.W. Bush threw up over the Japanese prime minister. When President Barack Obama visited Japan last weekend, he offered an effusive bow to the Emperor Akihito.

Politically, U.S.-Japanese relations have improved dramatically during that two-decade stretch.

Yet investor regard for Japan has gone the opposite way. Twenty years ago – in the midst of the Japanese stock-and-real-estate bubble – U.S. and other world investors were kowtowing to Japanese investments – and banging their heads on the floor in the process.

Today those same investors are much more likely to throw up in the direction of those Japanese investments.

The up-chuck response to Japanese investment is a reasonable one, given that country’s stock-market performance since 1990. After all, the Nikkei 225 share index is down more than 75% from its January 1990

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Investment News Briefs

Money Morning (November 20th, 2009) Writes:

AOL to Cut One-Third of Workforce; Geithner Rebuffs Calls for Resignation; Oil Follows Equities’ Decline; Leading Indicators Hit Two-Year High; U.S. Making Plans for New Iran Sanctions; DirecTV Won’t Rule Out Possible Takeover;

AOL LLC Chief Executive Tim Armstrong told employees yesterday (Thursday) that he will ask for 2,500 volunteers, about one-third of the company’s workforce, to be laid off, The Wall Street Journal reported. The voluntary layoff program, which is part of an effort to trim some $300 million in annual costs, will begin on Dec. 4 and run through Dec. 11. AOL said the layoffs would result in restructuring charges of up to $200 million, which it announced last ...
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Hot Stocks: Comcast Looks to Expand Its Brand with Potential NBC Universal Takeover

Money Morning (November 20th, 2009) Writes:

By Bob Blandeburgo Associate Editor Money Morning

With a possible buyout of General Electric Co.’s (NYSE: GE) NBC Universal Inc. in the works, Comcast Corp. (Nasdaq: CMCSA) is adapting to a changing technological landscape.

Comcast, the United States’ largest cable television provider, is hoping to avoid becoming the next newspaper or record company by expanding its role from an entertainment medium to a content provider.

“The world of cable delivery is about to change,” Forrester Research (Nasdaq: FORR) analyst James McQuivey told the Los Angeles Times. “Cable companies for years have made their living by selling consumers hundreds of television channels bundled together. But the future is going to be very different, and cable companies instead will be selling an ‘entertainment experience.’

While Comcast is now a major player in the Internet service provider (ISP) business as well as telephone service, more than half of its revenue comes

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Unorthodox Exit Plan – what the Fed has up its sleeves

Don Miller (November 19th, 2009) Writes:

Don Miller, Associate Editor of Money Morning, reviews the process and implications of the Fed’s possible plan for raising intereste rates without actually raising the rate itself.

Don Miller (Money Morning): The U.S. Federal Reserve may take an unorthodox approach to raising interest rates by paying interest on bank reserves rather than relying on traditional open market remedies, as it exits from its long-term fiscal stimulus programs, Reuters reported today (Tuesday).

Paying interest on reserves is mostly untested and would represent an unexpected twist in the Fed’s response to the financial meltdown.

“In the old days … the Fed controlled the federal funds rate with open market operations,” Antulio Bomfim, a former Fed economist now with Macroeconomic Advisors LLC in Washington told Reuters. “Now, at least in this period when reserves are over-abundant, the way the Fed hopes to raise the federal funds rate will be primarily by raising

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OECD More Than Doubles 2010 Forecast, as China Leads the World Out of the Recession

Jason Simpkins (November 19th, 2009) Writes:

By Jason Simpkins Managing Editor Money Morning

The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) more than doubled its 2010 forecast for developed nations, saying that strong growth in Asia – particularly China – would help pull the “more feeble” West out of its financial malaise.

After predicting in June that the combined economy of its 30 member nations would grow 0.7% in 2010, the OECD raised its forecast for developed economies to grow 1.9% next year and 2.5% in 2011. Economic output will contract by 3.5% this year, the Paris-based organization said today.

We now have the numbers that support a recovery in motion,” Jorgen Elmeskov, the OECD’s acting chief economist, told Bloomberg News. “It’s still a slow recovery because of considerable headwinds from the need to adjust the balance sheets of households, enterprises and financial sectors.”

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Although President Obama Warns of a “Double-Dip” Recession, Money Morning Expects U.S. Recovery to Continue

Money Morning (November 19th, 2009) Writes:

Money Morning Staff Reports

In a warning that focuses on the need to contain the soaring federal deficit, U.S. President Barack Obama yesterday (Wednesday) said that a continued accumulation of government debt could be enough to blunt the recovery and then drop the U.S. economy into a “double-dip” recession.

It was President Obama’s most-severe warning yet about the dangers of growing budget deficits at a time when the U.S. unemployment rate is at 10.2% and climbing. The comments were made to Fox News during an interview granted in Beijing during the president’s nine-day trip through Asia.

“I think it is important, though, to recognize if we keep on adding to the debt, even in the midst of this recovery, that at some point, people could lose confidence in the U.S. economy in a way that could actually lead to a double-dip recession,” President Obama told Fox News

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Investment News Briefs

Money Morning (November 19th, 2009) Writes:

With our investment news briefs, Money Morning provides investors with a quick overview of the most important investing news stories from all around the world.

U.S. Rep: Give Regulators Power to Break Up Financial Giants; GM IPO Could Come in Q4 2010, Official Says; Fed May Not Increase Interest Rates Until 2012; Wells Fargo to Buy Back $1.3 Billion in Auction Debt; GE Says Appliance and Lighting Businesses Improving; October Housing Starts Miss Estimates; DirecTV Hires Pepsi Exec as New CEO; AMD to Pay Off $1 Billion in Debt;

U.S. Rep. Paul Kanjorski, D-PA, chairman of the House Capital Markets Subcommittee revealed a proposal that would empower regulators to break up financial firms that pose a risk to the nation’s economy. Kanjorski’s plan took the form as an amendment to a bill in the House Financial Services Committee that proposed new powers for regulators to ...
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Why Gold Will Reach a Record $2,000 in 2010

Jason Simpkins (November 19th, 2009) Writes:

[Editor's Note: This gold-price report is part of our “Outlook 2010” series, which will chronicle the global-investing outlook for the New Year.]

By Jason Simpkins Managing Editor Money Morning

Gold has surged 60% in the past 12months and it’s not letting up. The “yellow metal” is continuing that scorching surge into the last part of the year, establishing new highs on a near-daily basis. In fact, gold established yet another record price yesterday (Wednesday) when it peaked at $1,153.40 an ounce on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX).

And the records are going to keep on coming.

With the U.S. dollar in a freefall and global gold demand rising, analysts say the precious metal will likely continue its bullish trend through at least the first half of 2010. It could rise as high as $2,000 an ounce, which would represent a 73% gain from current record

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