This post provides links to a number of interesting articles I have read over the past few days that you may also enjoy.

• Gerard Lyons (Times Online): Discovering if we learnt the lessons of Black Monday, October 19, 2009. Today (Monday) is the twenty-second anniversary of Black Monday. On this day in 1987 stock markets around the world crashed. The Dow Jones fell 22.6 per cent in one day, London shed one fifth of its value over two days. The newspapers and television were full of pictures of traders in panic. Sound familiar? Reflecting on 1987 is interesting in its own right and has lessons for today.

• Allan Dodds Frank (The Daily Beast): Hedge fund dominoes, October 18, 2009. Friday’s insider-trading charges against the founder of Galleon could be the tip of the iceberg. Other hedge funds and the McKinsey consulting

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“Stocks are clearly having trouble extending their gains,” reports today’s Wall Street Journal. And that a number of key market health indicators are flashing red right now.  When were these indicators flashing green? We don’t recall.

Our memory of the recent rally was on kicked-off by a bogus memo from Citigroup CEO Vikram Pandit about profitability, followed by a load of baloney from stress test regulators about banks’ health.

“People also are beginning to question whether the economic fundamentals are strong enough to justify continued gains,” continues the WSJ. This has got to be one of the most naïve sentences ever written. The 40% rise in stocks since early March never had anything to do with a 40% increase in economic fundamentals. The economy is collapsing (albeit at a slightly slower pace than before).

Stocks rose because the same “irrational exuberance” that got us into trouble in the first place

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“Don’t be fooled by bear market rallies, which are sharp, short-lived and, in some cases, extremely powerful,” says Martin Weiss. In his The Safe Money Report, he looks at inverse ETFs.

“Bear market rallies prompt short-sellers to panic, bears to mellow, bulls to come out of hiding, and Washington to declare ‘the worst is over.’ That’s precisely what’s happening today.  But don’t be fooled!

“So our targets for this bear market are unchanged: 5000 on the Dow, 500 on the S&P 500, and 850 on the Nasdaq. Meanwhile, here are some of the best investments for protection and profit as the bear market resumes:……

……”The Short Dow30 ProShares (NYSE: DOG) inverse ETF is designed to rise 1% for every 1% decline in the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

“The Short QQQ ProShares (NYSE: PSQ) is an inverse ETF gains 1% for every 1% decline in

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Notes from the Investment Underground

Thursday, April 23, 2009

Palermo Viejo, Buenos Aires, Argentina

The greatest economic disaster in recorded history (and how to profit from it)… Your market ”script”… Lessons on guerrilla investing… Banks switch sides… The best communications company in the world… 3 sectors you should own now… Your key to “permanent wealth”… A massive glitch in the administration’s matrix… Notes subscribers beat up on your editor… 1,159% gains as stocks go bust… And more!

*** “The current administration’s economic strategy could create the greatest economic disaster in recorded history,” says Porter Stansberry in today’s DailyWealth.

Not only is the administration planning on enormous deficit spending this year, but the current plan calls for increasing deficit spending for the next decade – spending that will more than double ...

Notes from the Investment Underground

April 14, 2009

Palermo Viejo, Buenos Aires, Argentina

Richard Russell: Why this is a bear market correction… That latest outbreak of investor credulity… 25 biggest earnings-per-share movers and shakers heading into earnings season… Banks to be allowed to screw up indefinitely… The great “too big to fail” fraud… Bailouts costing $42,105 for each U.S. citizen… Bush-Obama tag team piles on debt at the rate of $60,000 a second… Bob Higgs on C-SPAN… China wises up… And more!

*** This Richard Russell quote is a must-read for investors thinking about buying back into stocks. Russell, now in his 50th year of publishing the excellent Dow Theory Letter, believes we are now witnessing a bear market correction.

The essence of Dow Theory has to do with VALUES. At the March low the price/earnings ratio for the Dow was 25.79 and the dividend ...

Notes from the Investment Underground April 9, 2009 Palermo Viejo, Buenos Aires, Argentina

Why you should invest in pipeline companies… Wither Geither’s stress test results? Congress vs the Treasury… Check out of USA Inc with these four BRIC EFTs… How to survive the “Great Money Famine of 2009”… Three questions for Barney Frank… Congressional panel: Liquidate banks, fire top execs… PPIP FLOP… Geithner’s latest Orwellian manoeuvre… And more!

*** We’ve added a new section to Notes. It’s called “Must Reads” and it’s basically a list of the day’s must read articles on money-making and the markets. It’s at the very bottom of the issue. Tell us what you think: info@contrarianprofits.com. Don’t be shy. We’ve got thick skins.

*** We love DailyWealth. It’s quite possibly the single best free source of contrarian money-making ideas out there (apart from Notes, of course).

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Notes from theInvestment Underground

Tuesday, March 24, 2009Recoleta, Buenos Aires, Argentina

The 15-year depression is coming… Drink yourself to death! Martin Weiss’s deflationary outlook… A sucker’s rally with legs… Protecting your wealth from inflation… Jeff Clark: the S&P will go below 600… The truth behind China’s dollar holdings… Big government gets bigger… And more! 

*** “This is the big one,” says Republican Congressman Ron Paul, who yesterday said the depression will last 15 years. It makes a nice change from all the hooting and wailing about a bottom being in for stocks.

“The U.S. government just won’t allow the correction the economy needs,” says Paul, citing the mini-depression of 1921, which lasted just a year. This was because insolvent companies were allowed to fail. “No one remembers that one. They’ll remember this one, because it will last 15 years.”

Paul

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If $2.8 trillion has been lost, then how much of this lost money that came into existence when it was first borrowed from a bank, is still owed to a bank? Or the shadow banking system?

I was sitting outside, looking up at the stars, and wondering how many planets circle those billions of twinkling lights, and of that number, how many actually have sentient beings so stupid that they, like the beings here in the biggest economy on the planet Earth, would allow such unfettered expansions of money and credit by a central bank (like the Federal Reserve) so that somebody could borrow that money and use it to buy the new government debt so that the government could spend the money to satisfy the gluttonous growth itself and its friends, all of which guarantees Collapse And Ruination (CAR).

And then I started thinking about how I either sat in a

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viastockadvisors

For speculators, Martin Weiss has uncovered a stock that benefits from rising home foreclosures. In his The Safe Money Report he looks at Lender Processing Services (NYSE: LPS).

track Martin’s picks at;

http://trackthepros.com/stocks/category/573

“We have a new speculative pick: Lender Processing Services. This company was spun off from Fidelity National Information Services a couple of months ago.

“It is the biggest outsourcing firm in the business of processing home loan defaults and foreclosures.

“As you might imagine, that business is booming due to the massive flood of troubled mortgages — revenues in the company’s default services unit soared 90% to $197.2 million in the second quarter from a year earlier.

“LPS also has a division that helps investors, banks and other clients model prepayments, defaults and other characteristics of mortgage-related securities.

“With everyone trying to figureout the value of all the troubled paper out there, the demand for those services should also ramp up. We emphasize, however, that

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The commodity correction continues. And it's getting more painful by the minute as big trading houses like Lehman and Merrill Lynch go belly up or are forced into mergers. I think we're seeing a margin call on a global scale. The good news is it should bring incredible opportunities for long-term investors. The bad news is we could see a lot more pain before this is over. A "margin call" is when an investment, bought with borrowed money, decreases in value past a certain point, and an investor either has to put up more money or sell the investment. And we're seeing margin calls as Lehman and others liquidate their trading books. What's more, we're seeing margin calls in oil. Speculators pushing prices down Now, here's where I eat ...