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Prieur’s readings (November 16, 2009)

Prieur du Plessis (November 15th, 2009) Writes:

This post provides links to a number of interesting articles I have read over the past few days that you may also enjoy.

• Jennifer Hughes (Financial Times): Visibility improved but storms may lie ahead, November 13, 2008. The fog is beginning to lift. All year executives, analysts and investors have talked of a “lack of visibility” on the outlook for the economy, earnings and financial markets. By “visibility” they are in essence complaining about the uncertainty that clouds all forecasts all the time, but which we had increasingly managed to ignore during such a steady run of good times. Investors are becoming more confident that the fog is lifting, but that does not necessarily mean there is sunshine waiting just behind it.

• Doug Kass (TheStreet.com): Market ignorance is bliss, November 12, 2009. I do believe with some certainty that the market’s vulnerability

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Boom, Bust and Rebuild: Bank of America and the Kenneth Lewis Legacy

Contrarian Profits (October 2nd, 2009) Writes:

Kenneth D. Lewis There are many ways to view Kenneth Lewis’ eight-year reign as Bank of America Corp. (NYSE: BAC) chief executive, but two seem to hold the most landscape.

On one hand, the $130 billion he spent on acquisitions – FleetBoston Financial Corp., MBNA Corp., LaSalle Bank Corp., Countrywide Financial Corp., Charles Schwab Corp.’s (Nasdaq: SCHW) U.S. Trust private banking unit and Merrill Lynch – that more than tripled the size of Bank of America, making it the largest U.S. lender both by assets and deposits.

On the other, his open-wallet policy and the example it set forth almost perfectly encapsulates the boom, bust and nascent rebound of the U.S. housing and banking crisis – which later became the financial plague that devastated markets all over the world.

In the second half of 2007, the extent of the U.S. housing crisis began to crystallize when Countrywide’s freewheeling

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The No. 1 Way to Profit When Silver Upstages Gold

Contrarian Profits (September 28th, 2009) Writes:

While prices of gold don’t necessarily affect silver prices or vice versa, history has demonstrated that when gold rises or falls, silver usually follows suit.

This time around, silver has failed to match the gains that gold posted in recent months, spawning a widespread believe that silver is poised for a bull run. Such factors as a decline in supply and a weakening U.S. dollar have buttressed that bullish belief. And so has the fact that China’s government is strongly encouraging that country’s residents to buy the white metal.

With Beijing’s plan to inject $587 billion (4 trillion yuan) into China’s economy, and a growing desire to diversify away from the U.S. dollar as its key reserve currency, the Asian giant could increase its reliance on such precious metals as gold and silver – especially if global inflation takes hold.

China’s central bank “could use gold, silver or even a basket of

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Here’s Why the U.S.-China Tire Tiff Lead to Great Depression II

Martin Hutchinson (September 22nd, 2009) Writes:

[Editor’s Note: When it comes to global investing, longtime market guru Martin Hutchinson is one of the very best – because he knows the markets firsthand. After years of advising government finance ministers, crafting deals with global investment banks, and analyzing the world’s financial markets, Hutchinson has used his creative insights to create a trading service for savvy investors.

The Permanent Wealth Investorassembles high-yeilding dividend stocks, profit plays on gold and specially designated “Alpha Bull Dog” stocks into high-income/high-return portfolios for subscribers. Hutchinson’s strategy is tailor-made for periods of market uncertainty, during which investors all too often go completely to cash – only to miss some of the biggest market returns in history when market sentiment turns positive. But it can work in virtually every market environment.

To find out about this strategy – or Hutchinson’s new service, …

Here’s Why the U.S.-China Tire Tiff Lead to Great Depression II

Martin Hutchinson (September 15th, 2009) Writes:

[Editor's Note: When it comes to global investing, longtime market guru Martin Hutchinson is one of the very best - because he knows the markets firsthand. After years of advising government finance ministers, crafting deals with global investment banks, and analyzing the world's financial markets, Hutchinson has used his creative insights to create a trading service for savvy investors.

The Permanent Wealth Investorassembles high-yeilding dividend stocks, profit plays on gold and specially designated “Alpha Bull Dog” stocks into high-income/high-return portfolios for subscribers. Hutchinson’s strategy is tailor-made for periods of market uncertainty, during which investors all too often go completely to cash – only to miss some of the biggest market returns in history when market sentiment turns positive. But it can work in virtually every market environment.

To find out about this strategy – or Hutchinson’s new service, …

The Two Reasons it’s Time to Short U.S. Stocks

Martin Hutchinson (September 9th, 2009) Writes:

$172,000 Payday First subscribers to Martin Hutchinson’s new advisory service were able to collect $13,301 in guaranteed cash in record time. Now, Martin’s using the same “guaranteed payment” strategy to help new subscribers collect $172,000. He explains how here.

The stock market is up 51% from its March 9 lows. The leading economic indicators have turned sharply positive, showing gains for each of the last four months. Manufacturing is on the rebound. And banks are promising to pay record bonuses, as their earnings have rebounded.

With this recent rush of upbeat economic news, it’s no wonder commentators are trumpeting the rebound of the U.S. economy.

But I think it’s time to short U.S. stocks.

Shocked?

Don’t be.

What most experts see as a strengthening U.S. rebound, I see as an increasingly dangerous “false dawn” – for these …

Yesterday’s Sept. 1 Downer For Stocks Darkens the Outlook in an Already Bleak Month For Investors

Money Morning (September 3rd, 2009) Writes:

The $300 Trillion “Recovery” No One’s Talking About The biggest mega trend in 100 years is already taking over half the world. Early investors could stand to make initial gains of 237%, 139%, 163%, 356%, 341%, and 600% on six companies driving this trend. Click here for details.

Yesterday’s Sept. 1 Downer For Stocks Darkens the Outlook in an Already Bleak Month For Investors

When it comes to U.S. stocks, the first trading day of September typically sets the tone for the rest of the month.

And with share prices having hit a sour note yesterday (Tuesday), investors probably shouldn’t anticipate a positive showing for the rest of September.

U.S. stocks nose-dived yesterday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average plunging 185.68 points, or 2%, to close at 9,310.60 – the biggest hit that blue-chip index has taken in two weeks. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index fell 22.58 …

Landslide Election Victory in Japan Will Lead to an Avalanche of Future Profits For Global Investors

Martin Hutchinson (September 3rd, 2009) Writes:

[Editor's Note: When it comes to global investing, longtime market guru Martin Hutchinson is one of the very best - because he knows the markets firsthand. After years of advising government finance ministers, crafting deals with global investment banks, and analyzing the world's financial markets, Hutchinson has used his creative insights to create a trading service for savvy investors.

The Permanent Wealth Investorassembles high-yielding dividend stocks, profit plays on gold and specially designated “Alpha Bulldog” stocks into high-income/high-return portfolios for subscribers. Hutchinson’s strategy is tailor-made for periods of market uncertainty, during which investors all too often go completely to cash – only to miss some of the biggest market returns in history when market sentiment turns positive. But it can work in virtually every market environment.

To find out about this strategy – or Hutchinson’s new service, The Permanent

High Frequency Trading: How This Toxic Trading Affects Investors

Investment U (August 19th, 2009) Writes:

High Frequency Trading: How This Toxic Trading Affects Investors

by Martin Hutchinson, Contributing Editor

Editor’s Note: With whipsaw markets like we’ve seen over the past couple of days, we thought an explanation from our esteemed colleague Martin Hutchinson at Money Morning might be in order. An expert on international finance, he guides us through the back rooms of institutional high frequency trading, why it’s affecting the markets, and what we can do about it…

Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE: GS) disclosed recently that it had 46 “$100 million trading days” in the second quarter of 2009. That was a record number, even for one of the biggest players on Wall Street.

When the U.S. economy is facing collapse and merger and acquisition volume is way down, it seems odd that investment banks like Goldman had record quarters.

Well, here’s the secret: They’ve found a new way to skim more

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High Frequency Trading: Wall Street’s New Rent-Seeking Trick

Martin Hutchinson (August 14th, 2009) Writes:

China is Investing Billions in Renewable Energy One firm has already built China’s largest wind turbine manufacturing factory. And it’s working with the Chinese Science Academy to develop new wind, solar, and geothermal technologies… for which it will own 70% of the rights. But this company’s business reaches far beyond the Chinese border, with operations in Southeast Asia, the Middle East, Africa and Eastern Europe. It’s first quarter net income increased by 294% over a year ago. Click here for the full report.

Martin Hutchinson
Contributing Editor
Money Morning

Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE: GS) disclosed recently that it had 46 “$100 million trading days” in the second quarter of 2009. That was a record number, even for one of the biggest players on Wall Street.

When the U.S. economy is facing collapse and merger and acquisition volume is way down, it seems odd that investment banks like Goldman …


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