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Going Long on the Dollar? Go Longer on Gold!

Justice Litle (November 9th, 2009) Writes:

Taipan Daily’s Justice Litle review the current trends of gold, the U.S. Dollar and small caps. Finding suprising strength in the dollar in the short term, he finds greater strength in gold and gold stocks for the long term.

Justice Litle, Editorial Director, Taipan Publishing Group Gold, small caps and the U.S. dollar have had a stable three-way relationship for the better part of the 2009 rally. Now the three could be parting ways.

Dr. Marc Faber is one of the few market wise men whose thoughts are worth pondering. His monthly “Gloom, Boom & Doom Report” is always a good read. He is an active, Asia-based investor with decades of experience, hundreds of millions under management, and many prescient calls under his belt.

Faber has stated firmly and clearly what he thinks of the U.S. dollar. As you might expect, his opinion is not too flattering.

In the long

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Gold, Small Caps and the Dollar Look Ready to Part Ways

Taipan Publishing Group (November 9th, 2009) Writes:
Gold, small caps and the U.S. dollar have had a stable three-way relationship for the better part of the 2009 rally. Now the three could be parting ways. Dr. Marc Faber is one of the few market wise...div class="feedflare" a href="http://feeds.taipanpublishinggroup.com/~ff/taipan?a=ADeba3WNcj4:RY9KCo6s3us:yIl2AUoC8zA"img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/taipan?d=yIl2AUoC8zA" border="0"/img/a a href="http://feeds.taipanpublishinggroup.com/~ff/taipan?a=ADeba3WNcj4:RY9KCo6s3us:V_sGLiPBpWU"img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/taipan?i=ADeba3WNcj4:RY9KCo6s3us:V_sGLiPBpWU" border="0"/img/a a href="http://feeds.taipanpublishinggroup.com/~ff/taipan?a=ADeba3WNcj4:RY9KCo6s3us:F7zBnMyn0Lo"img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/taipan?i=ADeba3WNcj4:RY9KCo6s3us:F7zBnMyn0Lo" border="0"/img/a a href="http://feeds.taipanpublishinggroup.com/~ff/taipan?a=ADeba3WNcj4:RY9KCo6s3us:wd9GD17jvC4"img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/taipan?d=wd9GD17jvC4" border="0"/img/a a href="http://feeds.taipanpublishinggroup.com/~ff/taipan?a=ADeba3WNcj4:RY9KCo6s3us:l6gmwiTKsz0"img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/taipan?d=l6gmwiTKsz0" border="0"/img/a /divimg src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/taipan/~4/ADeba3WNcj4" height="1" width="1"/
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http, Investing Lessons, Marc Faber

Prieur’s readings (November 9, 2009)

Prieur du Plessis (November 9th, 2009) Writes:

This post provides links to a number of interesting articles I have read over the past few days that you may also enjoy.

• Business Intelligence: Marc Faber has short term concerns about commodities, says gold may drop to US$800, November 6, 2009. Marc Faber the Swiss fund manager and Gloom Boom & Doom editor said he has some short-term concerns about commodity prices including gold. He is also reluctant to invest in bonds.

• Aline van Duyn (Financial Times): Why dollar carry trade faces hidden dangers, November 7, 2009. Most investors agree that it is out there. What is less clear is how big it is, or how worried investors should be about it. The “it” in question is the dollar carry trade. This is an investment strategy that has recently been extremely profitable and as a result has become increasingly popular.

...

Marc Faber: Buy emerging market stocks

Prieur du Plessis (November 4th, 2009) Writes:

Marc Faber, author of the Gloom Boom & Doom Report, said at the Barron’s Art of Successful Investing Conference that the dollar should have “some kind of a rebound”, but longer term is in a “structural bear market”. He advises investors to increase holdings in emerging markets and says cash is less attractive than stocks.

Source: Barron’s, October 29, 2009.

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Resources: A Demand StoryResources: A Demand Story

Frank Holmes (October 14th, 2009) Writes:
This analysis from Dr. Marc Faber is adapted from our exclusive webcast Global Investing Outlook. Dr. Faber, based in Hong Kong, is a prominent international investor and a member of the influential Barronrsquo;s Roundtable. These are some of the thoughts he shared: If you look at the next 10 to 20 years in the West, I donrsquo;t see how the lifestyle of the average person will improve meaningfully. On the other hand, if you look at a country like Vietnam, they have a GDP per capita annually of $800 which may go to $3,000 over the next 15-20 years. The same is true for China and India. You suddenly have a middle class of 230 million people in India who will be buying cars like the $2,500 Nano (pictured) and other goods. Once a family moves from the bicycle to the motorcycle, itrsquo;s an improvement in their standard of living. But when you ...

Marc Faber on the economy and financial markets

Prieur du Plessis (October 7th, 2009) Writes:

Below is a wide-ranging interview with Marc Faber on four videos on CNBC TV18 in India in which he explains his views on inflation, currencies, commodities, stocks and more, all courtesy of Edward Harrison at Credit Writedowns.

Asset-based economy. In general, he thinks we are in an inflationary environment, whereas I think deleveraging is secular and means any inflation is only cyclical. But he shares my belief that zero interest rates induce money balances to move into consumption or into higher-yielding assets. He believes this is a boon over the medium term (if not the short or long term) for financial assets, whether they be stocks, bonds, commodities, real estate or art. And it is something that will continue, he says. Faber believes Bernanke will be loath to raise rates aggressively given his prior statements and writings.

Currencies. Faber takes the view, with which I agree, that

...

In praise of emerging markets

Prieur du Plessis (October 5th, 2009) Writes:

This post is a guest contribution by John Derrick, Director of Research at US Global Investors.

We believe global growth is the most powerful investment theme now and for the foreseeable future. You can see this playing out as countries like China, India and Brazil grow in economic stature. As we saw in Pittsburgh last week, the G-7 is being supplanted by the more inclusive G-20 when it comes to global economic decision-making.

Emerging market stocks were hit especially hard during the financial crisis but have been among the best performers during the rebound. We are currently in the midst of a synchronized global recovery, and with aggressive government stimulus, strong balance sheets and an ever-growing share of global GDP, emerging markets are likely to outperform the developed markets due to strong domestic consumption and forward-looking infrastructure investments.

The chart below from Goldman Sachs on consumer spending

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In Praise of Emerging MarketsIn Praise of Emerging Markets

Frank Holmes (October 5th, 2009) Writes:
This commentary is from John Derrick, U.S. Global Investorsrsquo; director of research. If you believe now is a good time to invest in U.S. stocks, emerging markets may offer even more opportunity. We believe global growth is the most powerful investment theme now and for the foreseeable future. You can see this playing out as countries like China, India and Brazil grow in economic stature. As we saw in Pittsburgh last week, the G-7 is being supplanted by the more inclusive G-20 when it comes to global economic decision-making. Emerging market stocks were hit especially hard during the financial crisis but have been among the best performers during the rebound. We are currently in the midst of a synchronized global recovery, and with aggressive government stimulus, strong balance sheets and an ever-growing share of global GDP, emerging markets are likely to outperform the developed markets due to strong domestic consumption and forward-looking infrastructure ...

In Praise of Emerging Markets

Frank Holmes (October 5th, 2009) Writes:
This commentary is from John Derrick, U.S. Global Investorsrsquo; director of research. If you believe now is a good time to invest in U.S. stocks, emerging markets may offer even more opportunity. We believe global growth is the most powerful investment theme now and for the foreseeable future. You can see this playing out as countries like China, India and Brazil grow in economic stature. As we saw in Pittsburgh last week, the G-7 is being supplanted by the more inclusive G-20 when it comes to global economic decision-making. Emerging market stocks were hit especially hard during the financial crisis but have been among the best performers during the rebound. We are currently in the midst of a synchronized global recovery, and with aggressive government stimulus, strong balance sheets and an ever-growing share of global GDP, emerging markets are likely to outperform the developed markets due to strong domestic consumption and forward-looking infrastructure ...

A Century of Bad Ideas

Bill Bonner (September 30th, 2009) Writes:

Not much happened yesterday. The Dow fell 47 points. The newspapers attributed the reversal to surprisingly low consumer confidence numbers. Apparently, consumers aren’t so sure this crisis is over. As we reported yesterday, they’re saving money… maybe even at an 8% rate.

Oil didn’t move yesterday. Neither did gold.

The Wall Street Journal reported that markets were reacting to “mixed data”.

That is to say, some reports were encouraging. Others were not. It was as if one weather forecaster called for a blizzard. The other for sunny skies and warm temperatures. Investors didn’t know how to dress.

Among the dark clouds was an item on the falloff in tax revenues. States are having a hard time balancing their books, because their tax receipts are declining. The WSJ reports that they are running 17% below last year.

Since states cannot print money, they’re forced to make cutbacks – typically reducing hours worked per employee as

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