India's Wholesale Price Inflation Enters Negative Territory, But No Risk of DeflationIndia's Wholesale Price Index (WPI) for the first week of June went sub-zero for the first time in 35 years. The fall is largely due to the high base effect caused by the sudden jump in prices of fuel and power as well as manufactured goods last year.The WPI had reported an 11.7% rise for the first week of June 2008. The situation has changed a lot since then. Due to the bloated base, the current decline seems to be of more statistical significance.Decline in wholesale prices however provides some scope to the Reserve Bank of India to cut interest rates again in order to offer additional stimulus to the economy. The central bank estimates that three stimulus packages already announced, along with six interest-rate cuts in last ...

TODAY: SCO wraps up in blaze of activity; Medvedev calls BRIC 'historic event'; no decision from US on defense system; German MPs agree Khodorkovsky trial is trial for Russian justice; Vaclev Havel speaks out against RussiaFor detailed step-by-step coverage of the SCO summit, see Ria-Novosti.  The countries endorsed the re-election of Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, with Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov calling his visit to Russia 'symbolic'.  Yulia Latynina comments on long-standing collusion between Russia and Iran:  'Iran spends so much money on Russia that supporters of the Islamic revolution work in the Russian Embassy in Tehran'.   The summit also saw: the signing of a declaration affirming a multipolar world, castigation of North Korea, promises to help Afghanistan and ...

This week Russia is hosting the first summit of BRIC nations in Yekatrinberg, which is the third summit in a row in under a week - all of which do not include any participation of North American or Western European countries.  It appears that Russia living up to its promises to built a "new global architecture" of multilateralism.  We think that this is a positive trend, and that the world can only benefit from the foundation of greater rule-based international institutions, especially among non-traditional powers.  We also think that it would be even better if Russia and its new rising star partners had a clearer idea of what they wanted to accomplish, but the fact that these meetings are happening is indisputably important and noteworthy....

Russia is busy hosting this week: the city of Yekaterinburg will be both the first destination for newly re-elected Iranian President Ahmadinejad, and the site of the first meeting between Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh and Pakistani President Asif Ali Zardari since last year's attack on Mumba.i There's a flurry of talk about the first formal BRIC summit.  Will the countries, manage to achieve concrete advances in cultivating a united front?  Or will their differences overpower?  The Moscow Times reports:  "Between the BRIC countries, there is really little in common," said Yevgeny G. Yasin, head of research at the Higher School of Economics in Moscow. "Each of them has its own destiny, its own special character, and it will be much more difficult for them to agree among themselves than separately with Western countries." Is the organization, ...

The Indian Stock Market has gone up sharply in the recent weeks based on high expectations from the re-elected United Progressive Alliance government, (this time with a record mandate), which promised to bring about high economic growth by opening up foreign investment and boosting infrastructure spending.The Bombay Sensex is now at around 15000, almost double from the bottom hit in November 2008. The rally has been broad-based, with shares of Indian ADRs of software companies like Infosys (INFY) and Wipro (WIT), banks like ICICI (IBN) and HDFC (HDB) and automobile companies like Tata Motors (TTM) up sharply.Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) have invested more than $5 billion (over Rs 25,000 crore) in Indian stock markets so far this calendar year, with as much as $3.2 billion coming since the UPA government came to power last month, which is one of the ...

By Martin Hutchinson
Contributing EditorMoney Morning

[Editor's Note: When Slate magazine recently set out to identify the stock-market guru who most correctly predicted the stock-market decline that accompanied the current financial crisis, the respected online publication concluded it was Martin Hutchinson, a veteran international investment banker who is one of Money Morning's top forecasters. It was no surprise to our readers: After all, Hutchinson warned investors about the evils of credit default swaps six months before the complex derivatives did in insurer American International Group Inc. Then, last fall, Hutchinson "called" the market bottom.

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India remains a …

by Edward Hugh: Barcelonabr /br /br /blockquote"For what it’s worth, a key conclusion from the IMF’s new World Economic Outlook is that recessions caused by financial crisis typically end with export booms, with the trade balance improving,on average, by more than 3 percent of GDP. I find this a disturbing result: we’re now suffering from a global financial crisis, which means that the usual driver of recovery will only be available if we can find another planet to export to."br /a href="http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/04/27/japans-recovery-again/"Paul Krugman /abr /br //blockquoteblockquoteWith results still coming in, projections show the United Progressive Alliance is likely to win about 250 seats, making it a shoo-in to form the next government and provide continuity, a stable administration and progress on key economic and corporate reforms.br /a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB124247401653426893.html"Wall Street Journal/a, May 16 2009/blockquotebr /blockquotePrime Minister Manmohan Singh’s electoral victory, the biggest any Indian politician has scored in two decades, may ...

by Manuel Alvarez-Rivera, Puerto Ricobr /br /Contrary to exit poll findings and widespread expectations of a closely fought race, India's ruling Congress Party - formally the Indian National Congress - and its allies won a clear victory in the general election held in April and May of this year, emerging well ahead of the right-wing, Hindu nationalist Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP). In all, the Congress-led United Progressive Alliance (UPA) won 261 of 543 seats in the Lok Sabha - the lower house of India's bicameral Parliament - and came within eleven seats of an absolute parliamentary majority, while the BJP-headed National Democratic Alliance (NDA) secured only 157 and the Third Front - composed of leftist and regional parties - captured 80 seats. Meanwhile, the new Fourth Front also fared poorly, obtaining just 27 seats, while the remaining 18 seats went to other parties.br /br /The Election Commission of India has ...

Major energy companies are lined up to lock deals and land big profits with India’s new nuclear trade. India was out of the global nuclear loop for over 30 years, until now.

Jason Simpkins of Money Morning says that “…some analysts estimate that India’s nuclear energy sector could be worth as much as $200 billion.”

Here he shows us what majors are lined up for the deal:

India launched its first nuclear test in 1974, but the country refused to sign the global Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT). As a result, the 45-member Nuclear Suppliers Group (NSG) banned India from global nuclear trade.

That ban was lifted last September when Washington pushed through a “waiver” that freed India from 34 years of sanctions.

Critics of the deal worry that by lifting the trade

...

India’s central bank yesterday (Monday) unexpectedly lowered its base lending rate for the first time since 2004 – a move that signals that India Reserve Bank Governor Duvvuri Subbarao sees weaker growth and the credit crisis as bigger threats than inflation in Asia’s third-largest economy. The Reserve Bank of India cut its overnight lending rate from 9% to 8%, according to a government statement issued in Mumbai yesterday. The “surprise move” that came days before a regularly scheduled meeting of its policy board came after India’s central bank reduced the cash reserve ratio by 2.5 percentage points to 6.5% – retroactive to Oct. 11, Bloomberg News and MarketWatch.com both reported. The so-called “repurchase rate” is the discount rate at which India’s central bank lends money to commercial banks to infuse liquidity into the market. India’s rupee ...