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Snapshot Observations on the Global Economic Crisis

Robert Amsterdam (September 22nd, 2009) Writes:
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CNN Money is running an interesting feature by David Goldman entitled "10 countries, 10 solutions" which details the particularities of the global economic crisis facing 10 key countries. In typical old-media fashion, the layout makes no sense from a user-friendliness perspective, so I'm going to take significant liberties in reposting their original content. They also have a single table layout of the 10 countries here. Time Warner lawyers, if you're watching this, get your editorial guys to put their content into a more sensible format that doesn't require constant clicking and I won't have to go such lengths to discuss it and in turn will actually drive more traffic to your site. Got that? Good. Now then, first some

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A Rout On The Dollar!

Contrarian Profits (September 8th, 2009) Writes:

Currencies rally strong! China is upset with printing of dollars…The UN talks of a new currency…Unemployment rate rises to 9.7% And Now… Today’s Pfennig!

Good day… And a Terrific Tuesday to you! A long Holiday Weekend, that was quite good for yours truly! A great tailgate, a great Missouri Tigers victory, 3 of 4 for the Cardinals, a great end of summer bar-b-que at the Butler House, and a

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Brazil is More Than Soccer and ‘Carnival’

QualityStocks (July 24th, 2009) Writes:

Many investors rarely think about Brazil as a place to put their investment dollars. They think Brazil is just a country that goes crazy over soccer and has a wild ‘Carnival’ every year in Rio. But Brazil is so much more. They may have the best economy in the Americas.

Brazil has made great strides under current President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, commonly known as Lula. Lula took office on January 1, 2003 and he has, since being in office, run a very orthodox fiscal policy. The country has maintained fiscal and trade surpluses for the better part of his presidency.

Brazil’s highly capable central bank has followed a very strong monetary policy. They have maintained high levels of real interest rates, which prevented the economy from overheating and creating an over-expansion of credit – unlike the policies of others like the Federal Reserve.

In late April, the Brazilian central bank

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Mark Mobius on the outlook for emerging markets

Prieur du Plessis (July 11th, 2009) Writes:

This post is a guest contribution by Dr Mark Mobius, executive chairman of Templeton Asset Management.

Emerging markets surged in the second quarter of 2009 with the MSCI Emerging Markets Index returning 34.8% in US$ terms. Part of this return was due to weakness in the US dollar. A return of confidence in emerging markets, the desire for higher returns and the search for undervalued companies support the markets’ uptrend.

Latin American and Eastern European markets were among the strongest performers during the quarter, while most Asian markets also recorded strong double-digit returns. A rebound in commodity prices and stronger domestic currencies supported markets in Latin America. Asian markets continued to attract significant portfolio inflows allowing markets such as China, India and Thailand to outperform their regional counterparts. In Eastern Europe, Hungary returned 69.7% in US$ terms in part due to a strong forint. Poland returned 37.0% in

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African National Congress (ANC), Ahmet Davutoglu, Ali Babacan, Barack Obama, Brazil, Brussels, China, Commission of European Communities;, Eastern Europe, Emerging Markets, energy, Erdogan, European Union, executive chairman, finance, Financial Services Commission, Flexible Credit Line facility, food, Foreign Minister, government infrastructure;, hillary clinton, Hu Jintao, Hungary, India, International Monetary Fund, investment postcards, Jacob Zuma;, Japan, Latin America, Lee Myung-bak, Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, machinery, Mark Mobius, Market Commentary, Mexico, Mongolia, MSCI Emerging Markets, nuclear energy program, Party leader, Poland, president, Prime Minister, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, retail, Retail Sales, ruling African National Congress, Russia, Secretary of State, South Africa, South African Reserve Bank;, south korea, State Minister and Deputy Minister, Taiwan, Templeton Asset Management;, Thailand, The central bank, The Macro Trader, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, United States, USD, vladimir putin, Washington

RA’s Daily Russian News Blast – June 17, 2009

Robert Amsterdam (June 17th, 2009) Writes:
front_2.jpgTODAY: SCO wraps up in blaze of activity; Medvedev calls BRIC 'historic event'; no decision from US on defense system; German MPs agree Khodorkovsky trial is trial for Russian justice; Vaclev Havel speaks out against RussiaFor detailed step-by-step coverage of the SCO summit, see Ria-Novosti.  The countries endorsed the re-election of Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, with Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov calling his visit to Russia 'symbolic'.  Yulia Latynina comments on long-standing collusion between Russia and Iran:  'Iran spends so much money on Russia that supporters of the Islamic revolution work in the Russian Embassy in Tehran'.   The summit also saw: the signing of a declaration affirming a multipolar world, castigation of North Korea, promises to help Afghanistan and ...

Best Economy in the Americas – Brazil

Investment U (June 16th, 2009) Writes:

Best Economy in the Americas – Brazil

Tony Daltorio, The Investment U Research Team

Wall Street tends to take a very myopic view of the world – the view that the entire financial universe revolves around them and the United States. And that what goes on in other countries is unimportant.

It’s why many Wall Streeters have missed one of the greatest rags-to-riches stories in global economic history – Brazil. Brazil’s economy has gone from a “basket case” to being as solid as a Brick.

Brazil has made huge strides from the very debt-ridden, bureaucratic country of the past. Years ago, the country restructured its finances and has resisted the temptation to use economic crises, such as in neighboring Argentina, as an excuse to default on its obligations.

Yet, many on Wall Street still think of Brazil as a backwards “third-world” country that goes crazy

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Brazil, Petrobas, Investment Grade, Soya Exports, Shipbuilding and Consumer Demand – We Have Take-Off!

Edward Hugh (May 17th, 2008) Writes:
Petroleo Brasileiro SA, Brazil's state-controlled oil company, continues to drill away and is now about halfway through its offshore Carioca deposit according to Mines and Energy Minister Edison Lobao said. Carioca forms part of Brazil's new pre-salt region, which lies beneath 2,000 meters of water and as much as 4,000 meters of seabed. The pre-salt region is also home to the Tupi field, which holds an estimated 8 billion barrels of oil and is the largest Western Hemisphere oil discovery in three decades. Lobao is also quoted as saying that Betrobras will need more time to determine the size of the Carioca field, so I suppose for the time being it's just a question of "on we go with the drilling".Following up on my post about oil rigs earlier in the week, Petrobras have also announced plans to lease 146 ...

Petrobas Stock on the Way Up

Edward Hugh (May 2nd, 2008) Writes:
The biggest oil discovery in the Western hemisphere in three decades and speculation about the existence of an even larger deposit has turned Petroleo Brasileiro SA into the world's most expensive energy producer, at least in terms of its share price to profits ratio. Petrobras shares currently trade at 17.2 times profits after rallying 87 percent over the last year. (By way of comparison Petrobras's price-earnings ratio was 8.77 a year ago and under 5 back in June 2004).This makes Petrobas shares effectively twice as expensive as Russia's Lukoil and or the netherland's Royal Dutch Shell, and 50 percent more expensive than Exxon Mobil - which only this week announced that total output was down 10% in the first three months of 2008 when compared with a year earlier - as investors focus on the Rio de Janeiro-based company's oil finds rather than its falling profits. Lukoil trades ...

Brazil Debt Raised To Investment Grade By Standar and Poor’s

Edward Hugh (May 1st, 2008) Writes:
Brazil yesterday received an investment grade credit rating for the first time from Standard & Poor's, sending the benchmark stock market index to a record and yields on dollar bonds to an all-time low.Brazil, whose economy grew last year at the fastest pace since 2004, should be able to maintain annual growth of as much as 4.5 percent, S&P said in a statement. The country's long-term foreign currency debt rating was raised to BBB-from BB+. Foreign direct investment, which reached a record of $34.6 billion last year, is likely to cover the country's current account deficit this year, the ratings company said.Brazilian exports have tripled since President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva took office in January 2003 on rising world demand for soybeans, iron-ore, beef and cars. Brazil, once the world's largest emerging-market debtor, became a net foreign creditor for the first time in January as ...

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