By Simon van Norden

Today, we're fortunate to have Simon van Norden, Professor of Finance at HEC Montréal (École des Hautes Études Commerciales), as a guest blogger.

"Once you've seen one financial market crisis...you've seen one financial market crisis."

-- Attributed to Federal Reserve Board Governor Kevin Warsh by former US Treasury Assistant Secretary for Economic Policy Phillip Swagel in The Financial Crisis: an Inside View, March 2009, p. 4.

The financial crisis has set a lot of records so far; it's certainly the worst US banking crisis of my lifetime. Some, as suggested by the above quote, see such crises as unique events; each one is singular and there's not much to be learned about how to handle one from looking at past crises. For example, there's no precedent that I know of for a banking crisis involves the failure of the biggest counterparties for credit default swaps.

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If you want to do well in today’s market, ignore this rally. Pay all your attention instead to the only class of companies you need to know about. I call these companies the “best of breed.”  They’re probably the least-talked about companies in the market. Many investors are missing the boat. And that’s a shame.

This has been a tough quarter for companies. Compared to last year’s second quarter, profit is down roughly 31 percent and revenue is down even more. Wall Street thought it was going to be even worse. So in one of the worst quarters ever, the market has rallied.

Investors learn all the wrong lessons from a rally like this. Nothing about it makes sense. The smallest companies are outgunning the biggest one. The most heavily shorted stocks are doing better than the least shorted stocks. The companies with the worst analyst ratings are outshining the ones with

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The silver market is showing signs of bullish strain and an incredible opportunity is being presented to you. I’m a staunch silver advocate and it’s time for an update right now. Silver stands to outperform gold as the long term precious metal bull market continues to unfold.The price of silver, along with gold, is kept under wraps by officials of the New York COMEX market, aka CRIMEX. The old boy network which runs CRIMEX have whipsawed the market in their desired direction for decades and profited accordingly. These actions are government sanctioned because precious metals are competition to un-backed fiat money. State mandated fiat is so weak and poorly designed that it cannot stand competitors.

I wrote a silver article 4½ years ago entitled Silver: Anatomy of A CRIME(X). In that article I compared activities at the COMEX market to prior incidents at Long Term Capital Management, Enron and Arthur

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Gold spent most of Far East and European trading hugging $890…and silver spent the same period within a dime of $12.70. Nothing to see here, folks! Then, shortly before the Comex open, both metals began smallish rallies…and half an hour after the Comex opened for business, it was lights out.

Not only did the dealers pull their bids in both metals, but I highly suspect that there was actually some fresh shorting by the Non-Commercials and Nonreportables [in the COT] as well.

As I’ve been saying for the last week or so, an assault on gold’s 200-day moving average would materialize sooner or later, as a couple of the U.S. bullion banks [JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) and HSBC USA (NYSE:HBC)] still had huge short positions to unwind. Well, this could be the start. And whether or not they are going to take their sweet time about it…or have it all over and

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Highlights include Citigroup Inc. (C), Union Bank of Switzerland (UBS), JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM), Bank of America Corp. (BAC), Wells Fargo & Co. (WFC).So far, most of the activity of the Obama Administration has been focused on cleaning up the existing mess. Today, it is turning its attention to preventing new, potentially world-threatening financial messes from occurring in the future. Please read Neena Mishra's blog for the details for regulatory overhaul proposed.One of the most important underlying factors in causing the current financial crisis -- and the resulting economic downturn -- was the gutting of the financial regulatory regime set up in the wake of the Great Depression, as well as the adamant refusal of the regulators to actually enforce the few regulations that remained.Lest someone think that I am being too partisan, I will ...

The Bernie Madoff scandal has investors newly terrified of money manager fraud. But fraud is actually not all that hard to avoid - the real lesson goes deeper than that. “Madoff with ya money.”

Of all the articles covering the scandal, that title from the Financial Times sums it up best. The opening of the piece is pretty good too:

Nothing stupefies like money. Even the savviest investors tend to look the other way when extraordinary returns are being made. This unfortunate human trait is the fuel behind speculative bubbles and the magic behind all financial scams.

No one, it seems, has exploited this as blatantly in recent times as Wall Street bigwig Bernard Madoff, a former Nasdaq chairman arrested this week for allegedly running the biggest dollar Ponzi scheme of all time.

The scale of the fraud is staggering. Tens of billions have been lost - perhaps as much as $50 billion over

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I don't usually read Bill Kristol's column, but once in a while, my eyes get caught by a headline (that's the difference between reading online and "on paper"), and I'll check out what he has to say. The other day, I read his column "Admit we don't know" on the current economic crisis that, while not in my mind "wrong", seemed puzzling to me. Pay attention to the last paragraph (highlighted in bold).

...basically, it seems to me, we're all flying blind. The markets are spiraling down, and our leading experts don't have much of a clue as to what to do.

Given that, one has to welcome the expected appointment to senior positions in the Obama administration of economists like Lawrence Summers, Timothy Geithner, Jason Furman, Peter Orszag, and Goolsbee himself. They're sober and competent people who know we face a real crisis -- and who, importantly, may be more

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It's time to start doing your gift shopping. Here are some great investment, finance, and stock market books to give your friends and relatives. These are in no particular order other than the approximate order that I wrote about them, within the categories. You can click on the title of each book to get more info about them. And if you aren't sure what books are right for gifts, how about an a href="http://www.amazon.com/dp/B00067L6TQ/ref=nosim/?%5Fencoding=UTF8tag=antiquestocka-20linkCode=ur2camp=1789creative=9325"Amazon Gift Certificate/aimg src="http://www.assoc-amazon.com/e/ir?t=antiquestocka-20amp;l=ur2amp;o=1" width="1" height="1" border="0" alt="" style="border:none !important; margin:0px !important;" /.br /br / center span style="font-weight:bold;"Fiction/span /centerbr /br /a href="http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0804119120?ie=UTF8tag=antiquestocka-20linkCode=as2camp=1789creative=9325creativeASIN=0804119120"A Conspiracy of Paper/aimg src="http://www.assoc-amazon.com/e/ir?t=antiquestocka-20l=as2o=1a=0804119120" width="1" height="1" border="0" alt="" style="border:none !important; margin:0px !important;" / by David Lissbr /br /a href="http://www.amazon.com/gp/redirect.html?ie=UTF8location=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.amazon.com%2FDay-Trader-Stephen-Frey%2Fdp%2F034544325X%2Ftag=antiquestocka-20linkCode=ur2camp=1789creative=9325"The Day Trader/aimg src="http://www.assoc-amazon.com/e/ir?t=antiquestocka-20amp;l=ur2amp;o=1" width="1" height="1" border="0" alt="" style="border:none !important; margin:0px !important;" / by Stephen Freybr /br /a href="http://www.amazon.com/gp/redirect.html?ie=UTF8location=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.amazon.com%2FSet-Up-Paul-Erdman%2Fdp%2F0312968051%3Fie%3DUTF8%26s%3Dbooks%26qid%3D1194850092%26sr%3D1-1tag=antiquestocka-20linkCode=ur2camp=1789creative=9325" The Set-Up/aimg ...

In a recent interview with Financial Times, mega-investor Jim Rogers had some interesting comments about the fate of the US Dollar.

He sure doesnt mince words.

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Insight: The dollar is a flawed currency

By Jim Rogers

Published: November 17 2008 16:05 | Last updated: November 17 2008 16:05

The following are excerpts from this week’s View from the Markets online interview

FT: It’s a year since we last interviewed you. You were aggressively bearish about the dollar, but you thought there would probably be a rebound and you would take that as an opportunity to further get out of the dollar. Have you made a further exit from the dollar?

JR: Not yet, no. And the reason I haven’t is because we’re in a period of forced liquidation of everything. We’ve only had eight or nine periods like this in the past 150 years, where everybody has to reverse their positions on everything. There is a gigantic

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MARKET COMMENT November 10, 2008 Friday after the close stock futures rallied mightily and I posted that image for subscribers on Sunday. Something was up, as in someone or some group had some inside information and was running with it. The 5 minute chart below is Friday’s NASDAQ futures which included the ramp 30 minutes before the close and thereafter. That was a large 5% move with much of it on heavy volume. That made me think a Sunday Surprise was in the offing once again. What could it be? AIG was going to report earnings before the bell vs after the close. That was suspicious but in after hours trading not much was going on there. [It turned out, they just needed more money. Well, of course they would…silly me!] There were some rumors ...