This analysis is from Evan Smith and Brian Hicks, co-managers of the Global Resources Fund (PSPFX). Oil prices have bounced more than 150 percent off of December 2008 lows but inventory levels remain at historically high levels despite a healing global economy. However, Goldman Sachs says robust 2010 oil demand growth will deplete these inventories over the next 12-to-18 months and diminishing production rates in key areas around the world will create a supply/demand imbalance. The above chart shows the decline in production from the worldrsquo;s top 230 projects. After peaking in 2009, production from these projects is set to fall for the next several years. Excluding OPEC countries (right chart), the decline rates quadruple from 2007 to 2012 (est). Over that time period, non-OPEC production is expected to fall by 2.5 million barrels per day. Only Brazil, Canada and the former countries of the Soviet Union are expected to see production growth. One of ...

The equities market is up big so far this summer, but not every stock has followed. Is it time for tanker companies like General Maritime (NYSE:GMR) to catch up?

Not all stocks are in positive territory these days. Even though the major indices have been nearly unstoppable this summer, a handful of companies are watching their Street values drop lower and lower.

There is no debating the world is using less oil these days. With many producers still pumping the thick, black stuff from the ground at pre-collapse levels, inventories are on the rise and storage facilities are screaming, “no mas.”

It is no wonder companies like General Maritime (NYSE:GMR) are forced to endure reduced demand and lower revenues. The world is simply sending less oil across its oceans. For crude tanker companies like General Maritine, a slow economic recovery that includes rising oil prices is bad news.

But some analysts

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The U.S. news media has convinced many investors that oil consumption is falling because of the global recession. While that may be true, it’s a disservice to millions of investors because production is declining at a pace that’s actually three times faster. And that suggests higher oil and gasoline prices in coming months - perhaps as much as 50% - 70% higher, or more - particularly if a U.S. economic recovery is truly in the offing. To really see what I’m talking about, let’s start with a close look at consumption. I’m asked about this frequently in my global wanderings, most recently at the Las Vegas Money Show last week. For months we’ve been hearing about a drop in global demand. It’s a popular story and one that sounds credible: After all, it seems logical to assume that during economic chaos, consumers and businesses alike will ...

In the energy market on Monday, crude for June delivery edged higher, closing at $59.65/barrel, up 62 cents. June reformulated gasoline gained 5.44 cents, to $1.8125/gallon. Traders reacted to expectations of the Energy Information Administration’s inventory report, due out today. Analysts surveyed by energy information provider Platts expect a 1.5-million-barrel drop in U.S. crude stockpiles.

Last week, the EIA reported that U.S. crude inventories fell for the first week in 10, as the country imported less oil.

The EIA is expected to report a rebound in imports when it releases the new report, “but the bounce will not likely be large enough to prevent another drop in stocks,” said Linda Rafield, senior oil analyst at Platts.

Also factoring in was a fire that broke out at a Flint Hills Resources refinery, curbing production. The catalytic cracker caught fire at Flint Hills’ Corpus Christi, Texas, refinery, which has a capacity of 300,000 barrels

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Euphoria managed to out-run swine flu last week as the epidemic-du-jour, with “consumer” confidence jumping and the big bank stocks nudging up. The H1N1 virus fizzled for now, at least in terms of kill ratio, though we’re warned it might boomerang in the fall with a vengeance. No one was surprised to see Chrysler roll over like a possum on a county highway, but the memory of their muscle cars will linger on like a California surfing song. Here in the northeast, where Sundays are not spent at the NASCAR oval, the spring foliage reached the tenderly explosive stage and it was hard to feel bad about anything.

For now, the “bottom” is in — that is, the bottom of this society’s ability to process reality. It may continue for a month of so, even after the “stress test” for banks is finally let out of the massage parlor with a

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Investors are pouring money into the United States Oil Fund right now. They must be out of their minds.

I have nothing against people wanting to buy oil at $40/barrel. That's a cheap price, and there's reason to believe that spot crude may rise over the next six-to-twelve months. OPEC appears to be sticking by its production cuts, overall supply is down and it feels like the global economy may be leveling off. Oil could easily go to $50/barrel, which would be a 25% jump from here. Where else in today's market are you going to get that kind of return?

But if you want to profit from that rise, USO isn't the way to do it. 

This is a big deal. According to the Wall Street Journal, investors poured $3.46 billion in new money into the U.S. Oil Fund (NYSE Arca: USO) in December and January. That makes my

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U.S. oil price rises above $36… UAE follows OPEC deals with Jan, Feb cuts… Expectations of slowing energy demand weigh

Oil rose above $36 a barrel on Friday after the United Arab Emirates joined leading exporter Saudi Arabia in deepening supply curbs in line with OPEC’s biggest ever output cut announced last week.

U.S. crude gained $1.01 to $36.36 a barrel by 1219 GMT, off a session high of $36.90.

London Brent rose 94 cents to $37.55.

“The only positive news (for the market)… came from the UAE,” Olivier Jakob of Petromatrix wrote in a report. “For now at least, Saudi Arabia and the UAE seem to be fully complying with the cuts.”

Abu Dhabi National Oil Co (ADNOC), the main producer in the UAE, the world’s fifth-largest oil exporter, said it would cut supplies of February Murban and Upper Zakum allocations

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OPEC cuts 2.2 million bpd of crude output… Dealers say record cut not enough to offset demand slide

Oil prices dropped 3 percent on Wednesday after OPEC announced a record supply cut that dealers said may fail to offset slumping world energy demand.

U.S. crude oil prices fell $1.40 to $42.20 a barrel by 1:35 p.m. EST (1835 GMT), after dipping to a more than four year low of $40.20 earlier in the trading session. London Brent rose 66 cents to $47.31 per barrel.

Oil prices have fallen more than $100 since July as a global financial crisis cuts into consumer and industrial fuel demand, and top forecasters are now predicting the first decline in world energy use since 1983.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, eager to push prices back up, announced on Wednesday an agreement to cut 2.2 million barrels per

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IEA predicts 2009 oil demand growth after 2008 contraction… Saudi Nov oil output complies with OPEC target-oil min… Expectations of deeper supply cut by OPEC next week

Oil rose above $45 on Thursday after the International Energy Agency predicted global growth in oil demand would resume in 2009 and Saudi oil minister said OPEC’s top exporter pumped less oil than expected last month.

World oil demand growth would return in 2009 after shrinking this year for the first time since 1983, the IEA, which advises 28 industrialized nations on energy policy, said in a monthly report. It also cut forecasts for supply outside OPEC next year.

“We knew the bad bits, demand down, but the supply downgrade was supportive,” said Rob Laughlin of MF Global.

U.S. crude was up $2.23 at $45.75 a barrel by 1152 GMT, after surging $1.45 to settle at

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Stuck for Christmas gift ideas? Why not try a barrel of oil? You can get one for around US$40 these days. That’s 54% lower than this time last year and 72% below the price on July 14th ($145.16).

True, a big barrel of West Texas Intermediate crude oil might be hard to fit under a Christmas tree. And it’s probably a fire hazard. But it also makes an excellent end table or lectern. However, we would wait for the post-Christmas sale, or maybe even until 2009, for a lower price.

Speaking of Christmas, just a reminder that our third annual Doomer’s Ball is tomorrow night. The location is BLVD Bar, located at 6 Queensbridge Square on Southbank in Melbourne, from 6:30 p.m. until later. There will signs directing to the right room and even be a red carpet, we hear. If you’ve RSVPd, there will be a check in desk where you

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