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Hidden Traps Make Bank Stocks a Bad Deal

Contrarian Profits (October 6th, 2009) Writes:

Billionaire investor George Soros said yesterday (Monday) that the U.S. recovery would be a slow one because of all the “basically bankrupt” financial companies impeding it.

U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke and Congress agreed Friday that the financial system – not the American taxpayer – should bear the costs of bank bailouts. Sheila Bair, head of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC), wants the banks to ante up $45 billion – three years’ worth of deposit-insurance premiums – to bail out the fund that insures bank deposits.

When it comes to bank stocks, we all know that there were a number of Money Morning readers shrewd enough to buy Citigroup Inc. (NYSE: C) shares when the foundering giant’s stock price was below $1 a share.

If you’re one of those investors, good for you: With Citi’s shares now trading at nearly $4.70 a share,

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Boom, Bust and Rebuild: Bank of America and the Kenneth Lewis Legacy

Contrarian Profits (October 2nd, 2009) Writes:

Kenneth D. Lewis There are many ways to view Kenneth Lewis’ eight-year reign as Bank of America Corp. (NYSE: BAC) chief executive, but two seem to hold the most landscape.

On one hand, the $130 billion he spent on acquisitions – FleetBoston Financial Corp., MBNA Corp., LaSalle Bank Corp., Countrywide Financial Corp., Charles Schwab Corp.’s (Nasdaq: SCHW) U.S. Trust private banking unit and Merrill Lynch – that more than tripled the size of Bank of America, making it the largest U.S. lender both by assets and deposits.

On the other, his open-wallet policy and the example it set forth almost perfectly encapsulates the boom, bust and nascent rebound of the U.S. housing and banking crisis – which later became the financial plague that devastated markets all over the world.

In the second half of 2007, the extent of the U.S. housing crisis began to crystallize when Countrywide’s freewheeling

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Could Goldman Sachs Share GM’s Fate?

Contrarian Profits (October 1st, 2009) Writes:

Investment banks have gotten fat off the land since 1982, when the great U.S. bull market got its start. Their business has multiplied many-fold, and their earnings have soared into the stratosphere, to a level far higher than any other sector.

Now, JPMorgan Chase & Co.  (NYSE: JPM) has issued a report suggesting that investment-banking returns on capital will be sharply down over the next few years. Perhaps this will be only a moderate downturn.

However, there’s also a good chance that labor-cost pressures – combined with tightening margins – will take the likes of JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE: GS) down a path similar to that of General Motors Corp. (NYSE: GRM) and Chrysler Group LLP, both of which earlier this year declared bankruptcy.

Challenging Headwinds

JPMorgan anticipates that the regulatory changes that are likely to take place over the next year or so

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The Only Way to Profit from a Stock Market Bubble

Contrarian Profits (September 18th, 2009) Writes:

Former U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said it was impossible to tell a bubble while you were in it. Well Alan, I’ve got news for you: We’re in one now.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index is up 58% from its March lows, gold has finally broken through the $1,000-an-ounce level – and may go higher – and bond yields have fallen substantially in spite of the huge U.S. budget deficit.

It’s really not difficult to tell when you’re in a bubble. What’s tough is trying to figure out how to invest while it’s developing.

When current Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke doubled the monetary base in a few weeks last fall, it was pretty obvious that the extra money would appear somewhere, either as zooming asset prices or as surging inflation. After all, the rapid increases in the U.S. money supply after 1995 produced

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Five Ways to Outsmart 31,179 Other Investors

Keith Fitz-Gerald (September 10th, 2009) Writes:

[Editor's Note: As Money Morning Investment Director Keith Fitz-Gerald's market analysis demonstrates, success as an investor requires knowing when to act.

But it also requires knowing where to look.

Like under the Eiffel Tower.

The French Oil Ministry has confirmed there is a 40-billion-barrel reserve under that historic landmark – enough to fuel total U.S. oil demand for 5.2 years, according to the Energy Information Administration.

And a tiny U.S. company is poised to profit from this $2.8 trillion cache of crude. Opportunities such as this are the kind of potential profit plays that we focus on in our monthly affiliate newsletter, The Money Map Report. This publication tracks global money flows, and where those capital flows intersect with some of the most powerful economic and financial trends at play today.

For more information on The Money Map Report, as well as on …

Five Ways to Outsmart 31,179 Other Investors

Contrarian Profits (September 10th, 2009) Writes:

Back in mid-June, more than 75% of the investors responding to a CNNMoney poll said they were planning to buy stocks – many of them aggressively.

Of the 41,572 people polled, it now looks like those 31,179 bullish investors kept their word.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index has zoomed 15% since those investors were polled (and 53% from its March 9 market bottom).

Let’s face it. A 75% bullish inclination is a disproportionately high percentage. It’s way out of the norm.

What those 31,179 bulls are telling me is … well … we’d better watch out. Statistically, the individual investor excels at making the wrong decision at precisely the worst possible time. I view this survey as yet more evidence that the “herd” may once again be heading down the wrong path.

After the collapse of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. (NYSE: LEHMQ) investors yanked

...

BofA to Sell TALF Auto Loans – Analyst Blog

Zacks Market Commentaries (August 27th, 2009) Writes:
Bank of America Corp. (BAC) plans to sell bonds worth $2 billion backed by auto loans that are eligible for the Federal Reserve’s Term Asset Backed Securities Loan Facility (TALF) program to boost lending and maintain credit flow to the broader economy.

Investors can procure cheap loans for buying newly created consumer loan-backed, new and existing commercial mortgage-backed bonds. The deadline for investors to request loans for buying asset- backed debt for the seventh round of the TALF is Sept. 3.

The deal, called BAAT 2009-2, will be jointly led by Bank of America/Merrill Lynch, Barclays Capital (BARC), Citigroup Inc. (C), Credit Suisse Group (CS) and Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS). Last month, Bank of America sold the first deal eligible under TALF of $4 billion auto-loan backed deal at 135 basis points over a benchmark.

TALF was set up in March to reinvigorate

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Money Morning’s Hutchinson Makes the National News – Again

Martin Hutchinson (August 6th, 2009) Writes:

Thanks to his market insights, Money Morning’s Martin Hutchinson has made the national news again.

When economics author George Melloan penned a Wall Street Journal op-ed piece detailing the shortcomings of U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke’s so-called stimulus “exit strategy,” he cited an argument made by Money Morning Contributing Editor Martin Hutchinson as part of his proof.

In a story in yesterday’s (Tuesday’s) edition that carried the headline “Bernanke’s Exit Dilemma,” Melloan, The Journal’s former deputy editorial page editor, concluded that “there are very good reasons to doubt that the Fed can cope with the political problems of avoiding inflation. The technical problems don’t look very easy, either.”

Melloan knows his topic well. After all, he’s just finished a book on the topic – “The Great Money Binge: Spending Our Way to Socialism” – that’s scheduled to appear in stores in mid-November.

But in his op-ed piece, Melloan cites the …

Obama’s Financial System Overhaul Would Give the Fed Broad Powers Over Wall Street

Don Miller (July 7th, 2009) Writes:

Grow Rich Automatically with the World’s Only Gold-Backed “Cash” The U.S. Treasury Dept. has finally approved the new gold-backed “cash.” And according to gold expert Peter Schiff, this new money, called “Gold Dollars,” is not only the best place for your savings today… it could prove very profitable. Why? Because every “dollar” you hold in your bank account is backed by 1 gram of solid gold, held in Fort Knox-like security. So when each gram of gold goes up in value, so does your cash! (Meanwhile, you can spend your money just like you would regular paper dollars.) For Schiff’s full report, please go here.

U.S. President Barack Obama took a swipe at Wall Street yesterday (Wednesday) as he unveiled a sweeping 85-page proposal to reinvigorate government regulation of the U.S. financial markets by giving the Federal Reserve new powers to supervise the economy. The proposal is part of …

Obama’s Financial System Overhaul Would Give the Fed Broad Powers Over Wall Street

Don Miller (June 18th, 2009) Writes:

Grow Rich Automatically with the World’s Only Gold-Backed “Cash” The U.S. Treasury Dept. has finally approved the new gold-backed “cash.” And according to gold expert Peter Schiff, this new money, called “Gold Dollars,” is not only the best place for your savings today… it could prove very profitable. Why? Because every “dollar” you hold in your bank account is backed by 1 gram of solid gold, held in Fort Knox-like security. So when each gram of gold goes up in value, so does your cash! (Meanwhile, you can spend your money just like you would regular paper dollars.) For Schiff’s full report, please go here.

By Don Miller Associate Editor Money Morning

U.S. President Barack Obama took a swipe at Wall Street yesterday (Wednesday) as he unveiled a sweeping 85-page proposal to reinvigorate government regulation of the U.S. financial markets by giving the Federal Reserve new powers to supervise the …


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